Elena Rybakina and Ajla Tomljanovic will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.194
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 4.65
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Ajla Tomljanovic
This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Ajla Tomljanovic clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 4-6 6-2 6-3 in the quarter in at the Wimbledon back in 2022.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Ajla Tomljanovic – Wimbledon 06-July-2022
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-9 | 22-5 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Elena reached the 2nd round after beating Marta Kostyuk 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, Elena had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-2 6-1). During the match, Rybakina scored 72 points vs Kostyuk’s 52. Rybakina was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina fired 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 47% of her first serves in, winning 75% (21/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Kostyuk 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (284-128). 26-7 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a composed122-62 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Indian Wells where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-6(11) 6-4 and in Rome where she defeated Anhelina Kalinina in the final 6-4 1-0 ret..
The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 42-11 win-loss record in 2023, 26-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Ajla Tomljanovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-3 | 2-2 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-27 | 19-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 11-12 | 10-6 | 3-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 127, Tomljanovic reached the 2nd round after beating Panna Udvardy 3-6 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round against Udvardy, Tomljanovic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-4). During the match Tomljanovic scored 88 points vs Udvardy’s 77. Ajla was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Tomljanovic struck 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Ajla Tomljanovic lost the serve 5 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tomljanovic put 64% of her first serves in, winning 62% (29/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. Ajla broke Udvardy 7 times after converting 78% of her break points (7/9).
Ajla has an overall 1-0 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 27 |
| Pts | 72-52 | 88-77 |
| Total Points | 124 | 165 |
| Winners | 21 | 29 |
| %Winners | 29% | 33% |
Both Rybakina and Tomljanovic played 1 match. At the moment, Ajla Tomljanovic lost 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Tomljanovic (2 vs 3). Therefore, Rybakina played 12 games less than Tomljanovic. Elena scored 21 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Ajla struck 29 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 28/60 | 47/74 |
| %1st in | 47% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 29/47 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 15/32 | 14/27 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 52% |
Rybakina blasted 2 aces . Tomljanovic fired 2 aces . Rybakina won 75% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Tomljanovic won 62% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 7/9 |
| % Converted | 42% | 78% |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 80% | 38% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Rybakina broke her opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. The Australian broke her opponent 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. The Australian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R1 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 72-52 | 72-52 | |
| Total points | 124 | 124 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 28/60 | 28/60 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 21/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/32 | 15/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Tomljanovic | |||
| R1 Udvardy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 88-77 | 88-77 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 47/74 | 47/74 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 29/47 | 29/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 14/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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