Elise Mertens and Danielle Rose Collins will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Lous Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Danielle Rose Collins who should win in 3 sets.
Danielle Rose Collins -> 1.5
Elise Mertens -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Danielle Rose Collins
This will be the 5th time that Elise Mertens and Danielle Rose Collins square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Collins (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Collins won 6-4 7-6(6) in the 1st round in Doha back in February 2023.
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-20 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 5-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-25 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, the Belgian reached the 2nd round after beating Mirjam Bjorklund 3-6 6-3 7-63.
In the 1st round against Bjorklund, Mertens recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-63).During the match, Mertens scored less points (1) than Bjorklund. In fact, the world no. 32 won 122 points vs Bjorklund’s. That means that Mertens was more focused during the important points. The Belgian was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mertens fired 6 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 5 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 54% of her first serves in, winning 74% (39/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (15/45) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Bjorklund 5 times after converting 26% of her break points (5/19).
Mertens has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (378-224). 15-11 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Mertens has an aggregate 209-112 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Belgian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Monterrey.
The Belgian has an overall 21-17 win-loss record in 2023, 15-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Danielle Rose Collins
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-14 | 6-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-17 | 20-10 | 19-5 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-18 | 19-15 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-12 | 17-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-15 | 23-10 | 11-3 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Collins reached the 2nd round after beating Linda Fruhvirtova 6-2 6-0.
In the 1st round, Danielle had a good straight sets win against Fruhvirtova (6-2 6-0). During the match Collins scored 51 points vs Fruhvirtova’s 19. Danielle was extremely aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about serving, Collins struck 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Danielle Rose Collins was quite efficient on serve to win 100% (16/16) of her 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Collins broke Fruhvirtova 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
The American’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Austin.
The American has an aggregate 17-15 win-loss record in 2023, 16-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mertens | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 14 |
| Pts | 122-123 | 51-19 |
| Total Points | 245 | 70 |
| Winners | 39 | 16 |
| %Winners | 32% | 31% |
Both Mertens and Collins played 1 match. At the moment, Elise Mertens lost 1 set while Danielle Rose Collins hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mertens has played 1 set more than Collins (3 vs 2). Therefore, Mertens played 17 games more than Collins. The Belgian scored 39 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Danielle bagged 16 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mertens | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 4 |
| 1st in | 53/98 | 16/34 |
| %1st in | 54% | 47% |
| 1st pts | 39/53 | 16/16 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 100% |
| 2nd pts | 15/45 | 12/18 |
| %2nd pts | 33% | 67% |
Mertens made 6 aces . Collins managed to score 4 aces . Mertens won 74% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 33% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 100% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mertens | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/19 | 5/7 |
| % Converted | 26% | 71% |
| Conceded | 12 | 0 |
| Saved | 7 | 0 |
| % Saved | 58% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 |
Elise broke her opponent 5 times with a 26% conversion rate. Elise lost her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. Collins broke her opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Danielle was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Mertens | |||
| R1 Bjorklund | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 122-123 | 122-123 | |
| Total points | 245 | 245 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 12 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 53/98 | 53/98 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 39/53 | 39/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/45 | 15/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 33% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/19 | 5/19 | |
| Converted % | 26% | 26% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 7/12 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 58% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Collins | |||
| R1 Fruhvirtova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 51-19 | 51-19 | |
| Total points | 70 | 70 | |
| Winners | 16 | 16 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 16/34 | 16/34 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 16/16 | 16/16 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 100% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 12/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Juan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah – Hyeon Chung/Denis ShapovalovChung/Denis Shapovalov (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev – Jamie Murray/Bruno SoaresMurray/Bruno Soares (4-6 7-5 10-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Roger FedererFederer (3-6 6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Nicola KuhnKuhn (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Marius CopilCopil (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomas BerdychBerdych – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Steve JohnsonJohnson – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Guillermo Garcia-LopezGarcia-Lopez (4-6 6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sam QuerreyQuerrey – Radu AlbotAlbot (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Kyle EdmundEdmund (7-64 4-6 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jack SockSock – Yuki BhambriBhambri (6-3 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Denis IstominIstomin (6-1 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 1-6 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- David FerrerFerrer – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin AndersonAnderson – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Borna CoricCoric – Leonardo MayerMayer (6-75 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Liam BroadyBroady (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jared DonaldsonDonaldson – Feliciano LopezLopez (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benoit PairePaire – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hyeon ChungChung – Matthew EbdenEbden (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Maximilian MartererMarterer (4-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – John MillmanMillman (7-64 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mikhail YouzhnyYouzhny – Gilles MullerMuller (4-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Mikael YmerYmer (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- John IsnerIsner – Jiri VeselyVesely (7-63 1-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Michael MmohMmoh – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-64 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marin CilicCilic – Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro – Robin HaaseHaase (6-4 5-7 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vasek PospisilPospisil – Andrey RublevRublev (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Joao SousaSousa – David GoffinGoffin (6-0 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jeremy ChardyChardy – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lauren DavisDavis – Kaja JuvanJuvan (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xiyu WangWang – Bernarda PeraPera (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki (8-6) – H2H and prediction
- Jennifer BradyBrady – Magda LinetteLinette (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Lin ZhuZhu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yuriko MiyazakiMiyazaki – Belinda BencicBencic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yafan WangWang – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Clara TausonTauson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Tamara KorpatschKorpatsch (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yanina WickmayerWickmayer – Madison KeysKeys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Patricia Maria TigMaria Tig – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Kaia KanepiKanepi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Eva LysLys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Sofia KeninKenin (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Greetje MinnenMinnen – Sachia VickeryVickery (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Clara BurelBurel (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction