Elise Mertens and Danielle Rose Collins will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Lous Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Danielle Rose Collins who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Danielle Rose Collins is the pick to win this match.
Danielle Rose Collins -> 1.5
Elise Mertens -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Danielle Rose Collins

This will be the 5th time that Elise Mertens and Danielle Rose Collins square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Collins (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Collins won 6-4 7-6(6) in the 1st round in Doha back in February 2023.

Elise Mertens

Elise Mertens

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
20
High
12
LWWLLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-20 17-13 6-5 5-0 8-2 0-0
2024 28-25 18-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 32, the Belgian reached the 2nd round after beating Mirjam Bjorklund 3-6 6-3 7-63.

In the 1st round against Bjorklund, Mertens recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-63).During the match, Mertens scored less points (1) than Bjorklund. In fact, the world no. 32 won 122 points vs Bjorklund’s. That means that Mertens was more focused during the important points. The Belgian was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mertens fired 6 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 5 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 54% of her first serves in, winning 74% (39/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (15/45) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Bjorklund 5 times after converting 26% of her break points (5/19).

Mertens has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (378-224). 15-11 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Mertens has an aggregate 209-112 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Belgian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Monterrey.

The Belgian has an overall 21-17 win-loss record in 2023, 15-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Mertens's Record

Danielle Rose Collins

Danielle Rose Collins

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
64
High
7
LLLWLLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-14 6-8 7-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2024 42-17 20-10 19-5 0-1 3-1 0-0
2023 22-18 19-15 0-2 2-0 1-1 0-0
2022 21-12 17-6 3-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2021 40-15 23-10 11-3 5-1 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 34, Collins reached the 2nd round after beating Linda Fruhvirtova 6-2 6-0.

In the 1st round, Danielle had a good straight sets win against Fruhvirtova (6-2 6-0). During the match Collins scored 51 points vs Fruhvirtova’s 19. Danielle was extremely aggressive to blast 16 winners.

Talking about serving, Collins struck 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Danielle Rose Collins was quite efficient on serve to win 100% (16/16) of her 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Collins broke Fruhvirtova 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

The American’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Austin.

The American has an aggregate 17-15 win-loss record in 2023, 16-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See her history.

U.S. Open
Collins's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

E.Mertens
D.Collins
!
3h:14
3h:14
Time on court​
0h:52
0h:52
!
3h:14
3h:14
Last match​
!
0h:52
0h:52
1
1
Match played
1
1
31
31
Games Played​
14
14
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
122
122
Total points​
51
51
122
122
Avg point​
51
51
39
39
Winners
16
16
39
39
Avg Winners​
16
16
32%
32%
Ratio winners
31%
31%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
4
4
6
6
Avg Aces
4
4
12
12
Double Faults
2
2
!
12
12
Avg Double Faults
2
2
39/53
39/53
1st won total​
16/16
16/16
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
100%
100%
15/45
15/45
2nd won total​
12/18
12/18
!
33%
33%
2nd won %
!
67%
67%
-- Break Points --
5/19
5/19
BP won
5/7
5/7
5/19
5/19
Avg BP won
5/7
5/7
!
26%
26%
Won
!
71%
71%
12
12
Conceded
0
0
12
12
Avg Conceded
0
0
5
5
Broken
0
0
!
5
5
Avg Broken
!
0
0
7
7
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mertens Collins
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 31 14
Pts 122-123 51-19
Total Points 245 70
Winners 39 16
%Winners 32% 31%

Both Mertens and Collins played 1 match. At the moment, Elise Mertens lost 1 set while Danielle Rose Collins hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mertens has played 1 set more than Collins (3 vs 2). Therefore, Mertens played 17 games more than Collins. The Belgian scored 39 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Danielle bagged 16 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mertens Collins
Aces 6 4
Avg per match 6 4
1st in 53/98 16/34
%1st in 54% 47%
1st pts 39/53 16/16
%1st pts 74% 100%
2nd pts 15/45 12/18
%2nd pts 33% 67%

Mertens made 6 aces . Collins managed to score 4 aces . Mertens won 74% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 33% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 100% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mertens Collins
Won 5 5
Converted 5/19 5/7
% Converted 26% 71%
Conceded 12 0
Saved 7 0
% Saved 58% 0%
Times Broken 5 0

Elise broke her opponent 5 times with a 26% conversion rate. Elise lost her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. Collins broke her opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Danielle was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Mertens
R1
Bjorklund
Total
Score 3-6 6-3 7-63
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 122-123 122-123
Total points 245 245
Winners 39 39
%Winners 32% 32%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 12 12
1st in 53/98 53/98
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 39/53 39/53
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 15/45 15/45
% 2nd pts 33% 33%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/19 5/19
Converted % 26% 26%
Conceded 12 12
Saved 7/12 7
Saved % 58% 58%
Times Broken 5 5
Collins
R1
Fruhvirtova
Total
Score 6-2 6-0
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 14 14
pts 51-19 51-19
Total points 70 70
Winners 16 16
%Winners 31% 31%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 16/34 16/34
% 1st in 47% 47%
1st pts 16/16 16/16
% 1st pts 100% 100%
2nd pts 12/18 12/18
% 2nd pts 67% 67%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/7 5/7
Converted % 71% 71%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw