Taylor Fritz and Juan Pablo Varillas will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 3 sets.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.009
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 16
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Juan Pablo Varillas
There is no head to head record between Taylor Fritz and Juan Pablo Varillas since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 31-12 | 3-4 | 6-5 | 13-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-23 | 23-10 | 15-7 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Fritz got to the 2nd round after beating Steve Johnson 6-2 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Johnson (6-2 6-1 6-2). During the match, Fritz scored 81 points vs Johnson’s 39. Fritz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fritz scored 10 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Taylor Fritz was pretty efficient on serve to win 100% (23/23) of his 1st serve and 78% (21/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Taylor broke Johnson 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).
Fritz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (344-212). 30-8 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Fritz has an overall 208-108 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(6) and in Delray Beach where he beat Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-0 5-7 6-2 and in Atlanta where he overcame Aleksandar Vukic in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-4.
The American has a composed 46-19 win-loss record in 2023, 30-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Juan Pablo Varillas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-20 | 0-1 | 31-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-31 | 0-5 | 27-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 4-7 | 23-17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-27 | 2-3 | 51-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 51-23 | 0-2 | 51-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 74, Pablo Patino-Samudio reached the 2nd round after beating Miomir Kecmanovic 1-6 7-5 7-5 6-4.
In the 1st round against Kecmanovic, Juan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 7-5 6-4).During the match Pablo Patino-Samudio scored less points (1) than Kecmanovic. In fact, the world no. 9 won 134 points vs Kecmanovic’s. That means that Pablo Patino-Samudio was more focused during the important points. The Peruvian was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about serving, Pablo Patino-Samudio recorded 15 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Juan Pablo Varillas lost the serve 6 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Pablo Patino-Samudio put 57% of his first serves in, winning 65% (53/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (31/60) on the 2nd serve. Pablo Patino-Samudio broke Kecmanovic 6 times after converting 33% of his break points (6/18).
Pablo Patino-Samudio’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Sanremo Challenger.
Juan has an overall 22-21 win-loss record in 2023, 3-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Pablo Patino-Samudio |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 41 |
| Pts | 81-39 | 134-135 |
| Total Points | 120 | 269 |
| Winners | 23 | 53 |
| %Winners | 28% | 40% |
Both Fritz and Pablo Patino-Samudio played 1 match. At the moment, Juan Pablo Varillas surrendered 1 set while Taylor Fritz hasn’t lost a set so far. Fritz has played 1 set(s) less than Pablo Patino-Samudio (3 vs 4). Therefore, Fritz played 18 games less than Pablo Patino-Samudio. The American scored 23 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo Patino-Samudio fired 53 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Pablo Patino-Samudio |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 15 |
| 1st in | 23/50 | 81/141 |
| %1st in | 46% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 23/23 | 53/81 |
| %1st pts | 100% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 21/27 | 31/60 |
| %2nd pts | 78% | 52% |
Fritz blasted 10 aces . Pablo Patino-Samudio recorded 15 aces . Fritz won 100% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 78% of the points. On the other side, Pablo Patino-Samudio won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Pablo Patino-Samudio |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 6 |
| Converted | 7/9 | 6/18 |
| % Converted | 78% | 33% |
| Conceded | 0 | 13 |
| Saved | 0 | 7 |
| % Saved | 0% | 54% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 |
Taylor broke his opponent 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. The American had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Juan broke his opponent 6 times with a 33% conversion rate. Pablo Patino-Samudio conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | |||
| R1 Johnson | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 81-39 | 81-39 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 23/50 | 23/50 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 23/23 | 23/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 100% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/27 | 21/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 78% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Pablo Patino-Samudio | |||
| R1 Kecmanovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-5 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 41 | 41 | |
| pts | 134-135 | 134-135 | |
| Total points | 269 | 269 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 15 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 81/141 | 81/141 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 53/81 | 53/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 31/60 | 31/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/18 | 6/18 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 7/13 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 54% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Borna GojoGojo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-3 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-5 6-72 6-75 7-66 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Laslo DjereDjere – Hugo GastonGaston (6-1 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-4 6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
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