Roberto Carballes Baena and Aslan Karatsev will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Court 7. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.27
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 3.76

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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Aslan Karatsev

This will be the 4th time that Roberto Carballes Baena and Aslan Karatsev play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Carballes Baena won 6-2 2-6 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Kenitra Challenger back in 2014.

Roberto Carballes Baena

Roberto Carballes Baena

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
57
High
49
LLLWLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-31 10-12 24-13 2-4 1-2 0-0
2023 25-29 3-8 19-14 1-4 2-3 0-0
2022 46-33 3-8 41-23 2-1 0-1 0-0
2021 41-30 3-5 33-20 3-3 2-2 0-0
2020 19-18 3-4 16-12 0-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 63, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after defeating Holger Rune 6-3 4-6 6-3 6-2.

In the 1st round, Carballes Baena defeated Rune (6-3 4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Carballes Baena scored 119 points vs Rune’s 90. Roberto was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Regarding the service games, Carballes Baena bagged 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Roberto Carballes Baena was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (41/54) of his 1st serve and 64% (30/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Carballes Baena broke Rune 7 times after converting 50% of his break points (7/14).

Carballes Baena has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (391-294). 3-5 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Carballes Baena has a compiled 25-44 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Marrakech where he defeated Alexandre Muller in the final 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2.

The Spaniard has an overall 19-21 win-loss record in 2023, 3-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Carballes Baena's Record

Aslan Karatsev

Aslan Karatsev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
291
High
14
LLWWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-18 6-9 1-4 5-3 0-2 0-0
2023 32-22 13-10 14-5 2-3 3-4 0-0
2022 18-31 8-9 5-9 4-10 1-3 0-0
2021 37-20 23-9 9-6 4-3 1-2 0-0
2020 36-11 7-4 17-2 12-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 77, Karatsev reached the 2nd round after defeating Jiri Lehecka 6-3 6-3 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Lehecka (6-3 6-3 6-3). During the match Karatsev scored 92 points vs Lehecka’s 71. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Karatsev scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Aslan Karatsev lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Karatsev put 49% of his first serves in, winning 90% (35/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (19/41) on the 2nd serve. Aslan broke Lehecka 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Aslan’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Pune and Madrid.

Karatsev has a compiled 24-17 win-loss record in 2023, 5-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open
Karatsev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

R.Carballes Baena
A.Karatsev
2h:42
2h:42
Time on court​
2h:00
2h:00
!
2h:42
2h:42
Last match​
2h:00
2h:00
1
1
Match played
1
1
36
36
Games Played​
27
27
4
4
Set played​​
3
3
119
119
Total points​
92
92
119
119
Avg point​
92
92
41
41
Winners
35
35
41
41
Avg Winners​
35
35
34%
34%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
8
8
7
7
Avg Aces
8
8
5
5
Double Faults
1
1
5
5
Avg Double Faults
1
1
41/54
41/54
1st won total​
35/39
35/39
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
90%
90%
30/47
30/47
2nd won total​
19/41
19/41
!
64%
64%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
7/14
7/14
BP won
6/14
6/14
7/14
7/14
Avg BP won
6/14
6/14
50%
50%
Won
43%
43%
6
6
Conceded
7
7
6
6
Avg Conceded
7
7
3
3
Broken
1
1
3
3
Avg Broken
1
1
3
3
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Carballes Baena Karatsev
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 4 3
Tot Games 36 27
Pts 119-90 92-71
Total Points 209 163
Winners 41 35
%Winners 34% 38%

Both Carballes Baena and Karatsev played 1 match. At the moment, Roberto Carballes Baena dropped 1 set while Aslan Karatsev hasn’t lost a set so far. Carballes Baena has played 1 set more than Karatsev (4 vs 3). Therefore, Carballes Baena played 9 games more than Karatsev. The Spaniard scored 41 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Aslan made 35 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Carballes Baena Karatsev
Aces 7 8
Avg per match 7 8
1st in 54/101 39/80
%1st in 53% 49%
1st pts 41/54 35/39
%1st pts 76% 90%
2nd pts 30/47 19/41
%2nd pts 64% 46%

Carballes Baena blasted 7 aces . Karatsev recorded 8 aces . Carballes Baena won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 90% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Carballes Baena Karatsev
Won 7 6
Converted 7/14 6/14
% Converted 50% 43%
Conceded 6 7
Saved 3 6
% Saved 50% 86%
Times Broken 3 1

The Spaniard broke his opponent 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Aslan broke his opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Aslan conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Carballes Baena
R1
Rune
Total
Score 6-3 4-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 36 36
pts 119-90 119-90
Total points 209 209
Winners 41 41
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 54/101 54/101
% 1st in 53% 53%
1st pts 41/54 41/54
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 30/47 30/47
% 2nd pts 64% 64%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/14 7/14
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 3/6 3
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 3 3
Karatsev
R1
Lehecka
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
pts 92-71 92-71
Total points 163 163
Winners 35 35
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 39/80 39/80
% 1st in 49% 49%
1st pts 35/39 35/39
% 1st pts 90% 90%
2nd pts 19/41 19/41
% 2nd pts 46% 46%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/14 6/14
Converted % 43% 43%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 6/7 6
Saved % 86% 86%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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