Hugo Gaston and Sho Shimabukuro will fight against each other in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:00 pm on Court 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.87
Hugo Gaston -> 1.93
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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Sho Shimabukuro
There is no head to head record between Hugo Gaston and Sho Shimabukuro since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Hugo Gaston
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-31 | 9-12 | 6-14 | 15-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-31 | 5-12 | 15-11 | 8-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 6-5 | 30-18 | 8-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 16-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-30 | 2-3 | 32-16 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 98, Gaston got to the 1st round after beating Antoine Escoffier 4-6 6-4 6-1, Yuta Shimizu 4-6 7-66 7-66 and Lukas Klein 1-6 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications against Klein, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-1). During the match, Gaston scored 81 points vs Klein’s 69. Hugo was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gaston bagged 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Hugo Gaston lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Gaston put 56% of his first serves in, winning 68% (30/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Hugo broke Klein 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hugo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 3 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Gaston has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (195-141). 5-3 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gaston has an overall33-24 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Iasi Challenger where he beat Bernabe Zapata Miralles in the final 3-6 6-0 6-4 and the Trieste Challenger where he beat Francesco Passaro in the final 6-3 5-7 6-2.
Hugo has an overall 30-21 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Sho Shimabukuro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-23 | 29-19 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-28 | 21-17 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 159, Shimabukuro got to the 1st round after defeating Jan Choinski 6-3 6-3, Gauthier Onclin 6-4 7-60 and Liam Broady 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Japanese defeated Broady (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Shimabukuro scored 88 points vs Broady’s 85. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Shimabukuro made 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Sho Shimabukuro was exceptionally effective on serve to win 73% (33/45) of his 1st serve and 65% (24/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sho broke Broady twice after converting 18% of his break points (2/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sho started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger where he beat Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-2 7-5 and the Tunis Challenger where he overcame Geoffrey Blancaneaux in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Japanese has an aggregate 34-19 win-loss record in 2023, 18-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaston | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 86 | 69 |
| Pts | 302-270 | 234-212 |
| Total Points | 572 | 446 |
| Winners | 110 | 90 |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% |
Both Gaston and Shimabukuro played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Hugo Gaston surrendered 3 sets, while Sho Shimabukuro conceded 1 set. Gaston has played 2 sets more than Shimabukuro (9 vs 7). Therefore, Gaston played 17 games more than Shimabukuro. Hugo scored 110 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Sho bagged 90 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaston | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 5 |
| 1st in | 157/284 | 114/233 |
| %1st in | 55% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 110/157 | 90/114 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 64/127 | 65/119 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 55% |
Gaston blasted 20 aces (6.7 per match). Shimabukuro scored 15 aces (5 per match). Gaston won 70% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaston | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 8 |
| Converted | 14/23 | 8/22 |
| % Converted | 61% | 36% |
| Conceded | 27 | 18 |
| Saved | 16 | 15 |
| % Saved | 59% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 3 |
Hugo broke his opponents 14 times with a 61% conversion rate. Gaston dropped his serve 11 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Shimabukuro broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Shimabukuro conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gaston | |||||
| Q1 Escoffier |
Q2 Shimizu |
Q3 Klein |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | 4-6 7-66 7-66 | 1-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 36 | 23 | 86 | |
| pts | 91-71 | 130-130 | 81-69 | 302-270 | |
| Total points | 162 | 260 | 150 | 572 | |
| Winners | 34 | 46 | 30 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 35% | 37% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 10 | 4 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 44/82 | 69/123 | 44/79 | 157/284 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 56% | 56% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 34/44 | 46/69 | 30/44 | 110/157 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 67% | 68% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/38 | 28/54 | 15/35 | 64/127 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 52% | 43% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/10 | 6/7 | 14/23 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 40% | 86% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 | 10 | 27 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 7/12 | 6/10 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 58% | 60% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | |
| Shimabukuro | |||||
| Q1 Choinski |
Q2 Onclin |
Q3 Broady |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 7-60 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 23 | 28 | 69 | |
| pts | 72-60 | 74-67 | 88-85 | 234-212 | |
| Total points | 132 | 141 | 173 | 446 | |
| Winners | 23 | 34 | 33 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 46% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 30/74 | 39/77 | 45/82 | 114/233 | |
| % 1st in | 41% | 51% | 55% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 34/39 | 33/45 | 90/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 87% | 73% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/44 | 16/38 | 24/37 | 65/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 42% | 65% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/3 | 2/11 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 100% | 18% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 | 2 | 18 | |
| Saved | 9/9 | 5/7 | 1/2 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 71% | 50% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLWW
LWWLWWWWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-74 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran – Joris De LooreDe Loore (3-6 7-63 7-612) – See score progression
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (6-1 1-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Liam BroadyBroady (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Zdenek KolarKolar (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Marc PolmansPolmans (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Borna GojoGojo – Tomas MachacMachac (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (6-3 3-6 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Lukas KleinKlein (1-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves – Federico CoriaCoria (6-4 5-7 7-5) – See score progression
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Aidan MayoMayo (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (3-6 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Taro DanielDaniel – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Juncheng ShangShang (7-5 6-72 6-1) – See score progression
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
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