Jiri Lehecka and Sebastian Baez will square off in the final of the Winston-Salem for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jiri Lehecka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jiri Lehecka is the pick to win this match.
Jiri Lehecka -> 1.63
Sebastian Baez -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Jiri Lehecka vs. Sebastian Baez
This will be the 3rd time that Jiri Lehecka and Sebastian Baez square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Lehecka and Baez (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Baez won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the Rubber 1 in 0 back in 2022.
Jiri Lehecka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-9 | 11-6 | 4-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 18-13 | 10-8 | 5-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-32 | 5-4 | 24-13 | 13-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-26 | 12-3 | 34-15 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-12 | 4-4 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 35, the Czech reached the final after beating Mitchell Krueger 2-6 6-2 6-3, Dominik Koepfer 6-3 3-6 6-4, Max Purcell 7-64 6-4 and Sebastian Korda w/o.
In the semifinal, Jiri defeated Korda (w/o). During the match, Lehecka and Korda scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 35 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Czech was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Regarding the service games, Lehecka couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Jiri Lehecka conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lehecka has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Lehecka has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (175-110). 18-10 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Lehecka has a composed40-23 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Jiri’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Doha and Salem.
Lehecka has a composed 33-21 win-loss record in 2023, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Winston-Salem
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-11 | 3-5 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 42, Sebastian got to the final after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 3-6 6-4 6-4, Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 4-6 6-4, Laslo Djere 6-3 6-0 and Borna Coric 6-3 6-74 7-62.
In the semifinal, The Argentine defeated Coric (6-3 6-74 7-62). During the match Baez scored 114 points vs Coric’s 99. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Baez recorded 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Sebastian Baez was very efficient on serve to win 71% (44/62) of his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Sebastian broke Coric 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Baez has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Cordoba where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 6-1 3-6 6-3 and in Kitzbuhel where he beat Dominic Thiem in the final 6-3 6-1.
Sebastian has an overall 27-20 win-loss record in 2023, 5-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Winston-Salem
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Lehecka | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 109 |
| Pts | 238-224 | 355-316 |
| Total Points | 462 | 671 |
| Winners | 104 | 159 |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% |
Lehecka played 3 matches while Baez competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jiri Lehecka conceded 2 sets, while Sebastian Baez lost 3 sets. Lehecka has played 3 set(s) less than Baez (8 vs 11). Therefore, Lehecka played 33 games less than Baez. The Czech scored 104 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian blasted 159 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Lehecka | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 8.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 133/229 | 234/325 |
| %1st in | 58% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 104/133 | 159/234 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 49/96 | 49/91 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 54% |
Lehecka struck 26 aces (8.7 per match). Baez bagged 11 aces (2.8 per match). Lehecka won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Lehecka | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 19 |
| Converted | 8/19 | 19/36 |
| % Converted | 42% | 53% |
| Conceded | 11 | 26 |
| Saved | 6 | 15 |
| % Saved | 55% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 11 |
Lehecka broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Czech lost his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 19 times with a 53% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Lehecka | ||||||
| R2 Krueger |
R3 Koepfer |
1/4 Purcell |
1/2 Korda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 7-64 6-4 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | – | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 28 | 23 | – | 76 | |
| pts | 79-74 | 87-87 | 72-63 | – | 238-224 | |
| Total points | 153 | 174 | 135 | – | 462 | |
| Winners | 29 | 38 | 37 | – | 104 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 51% | – | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 9 | – | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 3 | – | 11 | |
| 1st in | 39/75 | 50/88 | 44/66 | – | 133/229 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 57% | 67% | – | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 29/39 | 38/50 | 37/44 | – | 104/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 76% | 84% | – | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/36 | 22/38 | 11/22 | – | 49/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 58% | 50% | – | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 2 | – | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 2/4 | 2/2 | – | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 50% | 100% | – | 42% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 1 | – | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3/4 | 0/1 | – | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 0% | – | 31% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 1 | – | 5 | |
| Baez | ||||||
| R2 Elahi Galan Riveros |
R3 Vukic |
1/4 Djere |
1/2 Coric |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-0 | 6-3 6-74 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 30 | 15 | 35 | 109 | |
| pts | 85-89 | 94-86 | 62-42 | 114-99 | 355-316 | |
| Total points | 174 | 180 | 104 | 213 | 671 | |
| Winners | 41 | 43 | 31 | 44 | 159 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 46% | 50% | 39% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 63/81 | 65/90 | 44/58 | 62/96 | 234/325 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 72% | 76% | 65% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 41/63 | 43/65 | 31/44 | 44/62 | 159/234 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 66% | 70% | 71% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 11/25 | 7/14 | 20/34 | 49/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 44% | 50% | 59% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/10 | 4/6 | 5/11 | 19/36 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 60% | 67% | 45% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4/9 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 44% | 100% | 40% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLWWW
WWLWWLWLLL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
