
Dayana Yastremska and Elena Gabriela Ruse will face off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on Court 7. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dayana Yastremska who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dayana Yastremska is the pick to win this match.
Dayana Yastremska -> 1.59
Elena Gabriela Ruse -> 2.29
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Prediction and head to head Dayana Yastremska vs. Elena Gabriela Ruse
This will be the 3rd time that Dayana Yastremska and Elena Gabriela Ruse face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Gabriela Ruse (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Gabriela Ruse won 2-6 6-1 6-4 in the semifinal in Hamburg back in 2021.
Dayana Yastremska
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 25-15 | 8-7 | 5-4 | 4-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2024 | 22-22 | 12-12 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 39-29 | 19-13 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 21-25 | 7-11 | 5-4 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 111, the Ukrainian got to the qualifications after beating Heather Watson 6-3 6-2 and Eugenie Bouchard 6-1 4-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Ukrainian defeated Bouchard (6-1 4-6 6-4). During the match, Yastremska scored 93 points vs Bouchard’s 83. The Ukrainian was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Yastremska fired 6 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Dayana Yastremska lost the serve twice and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Yastremska put 57% of her first serves in, winning 76% (42/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (17/41) on the 2nd serve. Dayana broke Bouchard 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dayana started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Yastremska has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 59% of her matches (203-139). 18-10 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Yastremska has a compiled82-62 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the Kozerki where she defeated Greetje Minnen in the final 2-6 6-1 6-3.
Yastremska has a composed 33-22 win-loss record in 2023, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 23-11 | 10-4 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2024 | 36-20 | 12-5 | 17-8 | 4-5 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 31-20 | 18-10 | 6-6 | 5-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 17-23 | 13-10 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 31-16 | 9-5 | 20-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 166, Gabriela Ruse reached the qualifications after beating Kristina Mladenovic 6-2 6-2 and Dalma Galfi 4-6 6-1 7-5.
In the qualifications against Galfi, The Romanian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-5). During the match Gabriela Ruse scored 94 points vs Galfi’s 84. Elena was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Gabriela Ruse wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Elena Gabriela Ruse was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (38/52) of her 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Elena broke Galfi 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Romanian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Gabriela Ruse has a composed 22-17 win-loss record in 2023, 14-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Yastremska | Gabriela Ruse |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
Tot Games | 44 | 45 |
Pts | 167-140 | 149-110 |
Total Points | 307 | 259 |
Winners | 75 | 59 |
%Winners | 45% | 40% |
Both Yastremska and Gabriela Ruse played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Dayana Yastremska lost 1 set, while Elena Gabriela Ruse surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Yastremska and Gabriela Ruse have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Yastremska played 1 game less than Gabriela Ruse. The Ukrainian scored 75 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian bagged 59 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Yastremska | Gabriela Ruse |
---|---|---|
Aces | 11 | 3 |
Avg per match | 5.5 | 1.5 |
1st in | 102/163 | 73/124 |
%1st in | 63% | 59% |
1st pts | 75/102 | 59/73 |
%1st pts | 74% | 81% |
2nd pts | 29/61 | 30/51 |
%2nd pts | 48% | 59% |
Yastremska blasted 11 aces (5.5 per match). Gabriela Ruse recorded 3 aces (1.5 per match). Yastremska won 74% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Gabriela Ruse won 81% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Yastremska | Gabriela Ruse |
---|---|---|
Won | 7 | 8 |
Converted | 7/20 | 8/11 |
% Converted | 35% | 73% |
Conceded | 16 | 4 |
Saved | 14 | 2 |
% Saved | 88% | 50% |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Ukrainian broke her opponents 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Ukrainian dropped her serve twice and she saved 88% of the break points that she conceded. Gabriela Ruse broke her opponents 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. The Romanian conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
Yastremska | ||||
Q1 Watson |
Q2 Bouchard |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 27 | 44 | |
pts | 74-57 | 93-83 | 167-140 | |
Total points | 131 | 176 | 307 | |
Winners | 33 | 42 | 75 | |
%Winners | 45% | 45% | 45% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
1st in | 47/67 | 55/96 | 102/163 | |
% 1st in | 70% | 57% | 63% | |
1st pts | 33/47 | 42/55 | 75/102 | |
% 1st pts | 70% | 76% | 74% | |
2nd pts | 12/20 | 17/41 | 29/61 | |
% 2nd pts | 60% | 41% | 48% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
Converted | 3/9 | 4/11 | 7/20 | |
Converted % | 33% | 36% | 35% | |
Conceded | 5 | 11 | 16 | |
Saved | 5/5 | 9/11 | 14 | |
Saved % | 100% | 82% | 91% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Gabriela Ruse | ||||
Q1 Mladenovic |
Q2 Galfi |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-2 | 4-6 6-1 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 16 | 29 | 45 | |
pts | 55-26 | 94-84 | 149-110 | |
Total points | 81 | 178 | 259 | |
Winners | 21 | 38 | 59 | |
%Winners | 38% | 40% | 40% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
1st in | 21/36 | 52/88 | 73/124 | |
% 1st in | 58% | 59% | 59% | |
1st pts | 21/21 | 38/52 | 59/73 | |
% 1st pts | 100% | 73% | 81% | |
2nd pts | 11/15 | 19/36 | 30/51 | |
% 2nd pts | 73% | 53% | 59% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Converted | 4/4 | 4/7 | 8/11 | |
Converted % | 100% | 57% | 73% | |
Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2 | |
Saved % | – | 50% | 25% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Head 2 Head



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