Nicolas Moreno De Alboran and Aziz Dougaz will face off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 10:00 am on Court 7. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Moreno De Alboran who should win in 2 sets.
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran -> 1.24
Aziz Dougaz -> 3.84
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs. Aziz Dougaz
This will be the 3rd time that Nicolas Moreno De Alboran and Aziz Dougaz fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Moreno De Alboran (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Moreno De Alboran won 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in the Francavilla Challenger back in May 2023.
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-35 | 21-12 | 27-19 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-30 | 25-16 | 10-8 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-20 | 8-2 | 28-17 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-20 | 22-11 | 22-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 130 (career-high), Moreno De Alboran reached the qualifications after defeating Elias Ymer 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Moreno De Alboran had a good straight sets win against Ymer (6-4 6-2). During the match, Moreno De Alboran scored 63 points vs Ymer’s 46. Nicolas was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Moreno De Alboran managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Nicolas Moreno De Alboran was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Moreno De Alboran was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Ymer 4 times.
Moreno De Alboran has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (188-98). 22-12 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Moreno De Alboran has a compiled105-51 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Tyler Challenger where he overcame Mikhail Kukushkin in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(0) 6-4.
The Spaniard has a compiled 35-22 win-loss record in 2023, 22-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Aziz Dougaz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-23 | 25-17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-31 | 17-14 | 25-12 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-38 | 28-17 | 9-10 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 68-33 | 53-23 | 7-4 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 46-29 | 38-17 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 238, Dougaz reached the qualifications after beating Edoardo Lavagno 7-5 3-6 7-5.
In the qualifications, Dougaz defeated Lavagno (7-5 3-6 7-5). During the match Dougaz scored 107 points vs Lavagno’s 96. Dougaz was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Dougaz scored 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Aziz Dougaz was quite efficient on serve to win 84% (37/44) of his 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Tunisian broke Lavagno 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).
Aziz’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Monastir and the Leon Challenger.
Aziz has a composed 24-24 win-loss record in 2023, 15-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Moreno De Alboran | Dougaz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 33 |
| Pts | 63-46 | 107-96 |
| Total Points | 109 | 203 |
| Winners | 27 | 37 |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% |
Both Moreno De Alboran and Dougaz played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Aziz Dougaz surrendered 1 set while Nicolas Moreno De Alboran hasn’t dropped a set so far. Moreno De Alboran has played 1 set(s) less than Dougaz (2 vs 3). Therefore, Moreno De Alboran played 15 games less than Dougaz. Moreno De Alboran scored 27 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Aziz struck 37 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Moreno De Alboran | Dougaz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 12 |
| 1st in | 34/57 | 44/86 |
| %1st in | 60% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 27/34 | 37/44 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 22/42 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 52% |
Moreno De Alboran made 2 aces . Dougaz fired 12 aces . Moreno De Alboran won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Dougaz won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Moreno De Alboran | Dougaz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/15 |
| % Converted | 100% | 27% |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 1 |
| % Saved | 67% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Nicolas conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Tunisian broke his opponent 4 times with a 27% conversion rate. Aziz conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.
| Moreno De Alboran | |||
| Q1 Ymer | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 63-46 | 63-46 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/57 | 34/57 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 27/34 | 27/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Dougaz | |||
| Q1 Lavagno | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 107-96 | 107-96 | |
| Total points | 203 | 203 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/86 | 44/86 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 37/44 | 37/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/42 | 22/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/15 | 4/15 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
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