Cori Gauff and Karolina Muchova will fight against each other in the final of the Western & Southern Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.61
Karolina Muchova -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova
There is no head to head record between Cori Gauff and Karolina Muchova since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-12 | 17-7 | 18-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Gauff got to the final after defeating Mayar Sherif 6-2 6-2, Linda Noskova 6-4 6-0, Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-2 and Iga Swiatek 7-62 3-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, Gauff defeated Swiatek (7-62 3-6 6-4).During the match, Gauff scored less points (4) than Swiatek. In fact, the world no. 7 won 99 points vs Swiatek’s. That means that Gauff was more focused during the important points. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gauff fired 6 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 4 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 46% of her first serves in, winning 73% (38/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (28/61) on the 2nd serve. Cori broke Swiatek 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gauff has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Gauff has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 67% of her matches (161-79). 26-6 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gauff has an aggregate85-45 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Auckland where she beat Rebeka Masarova in the final 6-1 6-1 and in Washington where she overcame Maria Sakkari in the final 6-2 6-3.
Cori has an aggregate 37-13 win-loss record in 2023, 26-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Karolina Muchova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-12 | 13-8 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Muchova got to the final after beating Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-73 6-1 6-4, Petra Martic 6-3 3-6 6-3, Maria Sakkari 6-3 2-6 6-3, Marie Bouzkova 3-0 ret. and Aryna Sabalenka 6-74 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal against Sabalenka, Karolina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-3 6-2). During the match Muchova scored 105 points vs Sabalenka’s 94. Muchova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Muchova struck 3 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 64% of her first serves in, winning 76% (47/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (14/35) on the 2nd serve. Muchova broke Sabalenka 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Muchova has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Muchova’s best result of the season was getting to the final in at the French Open .
The Czech has a composed 33-11 win-loss record in 2023, 23-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 81 | 116 |
| Pts | 291-233 | 403-354 |
| Total Points | 524 | 757 |
| Winners | 94 | 168 |
| %Winners | 32% | 42% |
Gauff played 4 matches while Muchova competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cori Gauff conceded 1 set, while Karolina Muchova conceded 4 sets. Gauff has played 5 set(s) less than Muchova (9 vs 14). Therefore, Gauff played 35 games less than Muchova. Gauff scored 94 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Muchova bagged 168 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st in | 130/259 | 236/363 |
| %1st in | 50% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 94/130 | 168/236 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 59/129 | 64/127 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 50% |
Gauff bagged 14 aces (3.5 per match). Muchova bagged 13 aces (2.6 per match). Gauff won 72% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 20 |
| Converted | 22/43 | 20/47 |
| % Converted | 51% | 43% |
| Conceded | 29 | 26 |
| Saved | 18 | 16 |
| % Saved | 62% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 10 |
The American broke her opponents 22 times with a 51% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve 11 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded. Muchova broke her opponents 20 times with a 43% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | ||||||
| R2 Sherif |
R3 Noskova |
1/4 Paolini |
1/2 Swiatek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-62 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 17 | 32 | 81 | |
| pts | 71-49 | 59-35 | 62-46 | 99-103 | 291-233 | |
| Total points | 120 | 94 | 108 | 202 | 524 | |
| Winners | 23 | 17 | 16 | 38 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 29% | 26% | 38% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 30/58 | 25/46 | 23/42 | 52/113 | 130/259 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 54% | 55% | 46% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 17/25 | 16/23 | 38/52 | 94/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 68% | 70% | 73% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 7/21 | 10/19 | 28/61 | 59/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 33% | 53% | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 8/13 | 6/14 | 3/7 | 22/43 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 62% | 43% | 43% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 29 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 3/7 | 1/3 | 10/14 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 43% | 33% | 71% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| Muchova | |||||||
| R1 Haddad Maia |
R2 Martic |
R3 Sakkari |
1/4 Bouzkova |
1/2 Sabalenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 6-3 2-6 6-3 | 3-0 ret. | 6-74 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 27 | 26 | 3 | 30 | 116 | |
| pts | 105-92 | 99-90 | 82-76 | 12-2 | 105-94 | 403-354 | |
| Total points | 197 | 189 | 158 | 14 | 199 | 757 | |
| Winners | 38 | 35 | 41 | 7 | 47 | 168 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% | 50% | 58% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 55/85 | 55/96 | 55/75 | 9/10 | 62/97 | 236/363 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 57% | 73% | 90% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 38/55 | 35/55 | 41/55 | 7/9 | 47/62 | 168/236 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 64% | 75% | 78% | 76% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 26/41 | 6/20 | 1/1 | 14/35 | 64/127 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 63% | 30% | 100% | 40% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 20 | |
| Converted | 7/17 | 3/10 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 5/13 | 20/47 | |
| Converted % | 41% | 30% | 67% | 100% | 38% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 26 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 7/9 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 4/6 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 78% | 40% | – | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLLWW
LWLWWLLWLL Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Lucas PouillePouille (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cori GauffGauff – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
