Carlos Alcaraz and Max Purcell will fight against each other in the quarter of the Western & Southern Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.081
Max Purcell -> 7.9
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Max Purcell
There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Max Purcell since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Alcaraz got to the quarter after beating Jordan Thompson 7-5 4-6 6-3 and Tommy Paul 7-66 6-70 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard defeated Paul (7-66 6-70 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 133 points vs Paul’s 122. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz blasted 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 65% of his first serves in, winning 72% (48/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (17/36) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Paul 6 times after converting 26% of his break points (6/23).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 6 years having won 80% of his matches (219-56). 14-2 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an overall63-16 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4.
Alcaraz has an overall 51-5 win-loss record in 2023, 14-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Max Purcell
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-24 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-28 | 45-17 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-29 | 21-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-14 | 13-9 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 70, Max reached the quarter after beating Luca Van Assche 4-6 6-3 6-3, Alexei Popyrin 6-76 7-5 6-4, Lloyd Harris 6-4 6-4, Casper Ruud 6-4 3-6 6-4 and Stan Wawrinka 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Purcell had a good straight sets win against Wawrinka (6-4 6-2). During the match Purcell scored 65 points vs Wawrinka’s 49. Max was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Purcell struck 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Max Purcell was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (22/31) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Purcell broke Wawrinka 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Chennai Challenger where he beat Nicolas Moreno De Alboran in the final 5-7 7-6(2) 6-4 and the Bengaluru Challenger where he overcame James Duckworth in the final 3-6 7-5 7-6(5) and the Pune Challenger where he defeated Luca Nardi in the final 6-2 6-3.
Max has a composed 47-17 win-loss record in 2023, 41-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Max has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 130 |
| Pts | 243-224 | 418-386 |
| Total Points | 467 | 804 |
| Winners | 79 | 164 |
| %Winners | 33% | 39% |
Alcaraz played 2 matches while Purcell competed in 5 matches. Purcell started his run from the qualifications while Alcaraz had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz dropped 2 sets, while Max Purcell surrendered 3 sets. Alcaraz has played 7 set(s) less than Purcell (6 vs 13). Therefore, Alcaraz played 64 games less than Purcell. The Spaniard scored 79 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Purcell made 164 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 47 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 9.4 |
| 1st in | 114/189 | 217/419 |
| %1st in | 60% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 79/114 | 164/217 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 42/75 | 116/202 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 57% |
Alcaraz fired 9 aces (4.5 per match). Purcell blasted 47 aces (9.4 per match). Alcaraz won 69% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Purcell won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 15 |
| Converted | 11/40 | 15/34 |
| % Converted | 28% | 44% |
| Conceded | 13 | 31 |
| Saved | 6 | 26 |
| % Saved | 46% | 84% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 5 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 11 times with a 28% conversion rate. Alcaraz surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 15 times with a 44% conversion rate. Purcell conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R2 Thompson |
R3 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | 7-66 6-70 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 35 | 66 | |
| pts | 110-102 | 133-122 | 243-224 | |
| Total points | 212 | 255 | 467 | |
| Winners | 31 | 48 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 36% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 47/86 | 67/103 | 114/189 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 65% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 31/47 | 48/67 | 79/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 72% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/39 | 17/36 | 42/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 47% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/17 | 6/23 | 11/40 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 26% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 2/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 33% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Purcell | |||||||
| Q1 Van |
Q3 Popyrin |
R1 Lloyd |
R2 Ruud |
R3 Wawrinka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-76 7-5 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 35 | 20 | 29 | 18 | 130 | |
| pts | 83-81 | 123-117 | 59-53 | 88-86 | 65-49 | 418-386 | |
| Total points | 164 | 240 | 112 | 174 | 114 | 804 | |
| Winners | 39 | 40 | 32 | 31 | 22 | 164 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 33% | 54% | 35% | 34% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 13 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 47 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 45/86 | 59/127 | 40/61 | 42/91 | 31/54 | 217/419 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 46% | 66% | 46% | 57% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 39/45 | 40/59 | 32/40 | 31/42 | 22/31 | 164/217 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 68% | 80% | 74% | 71% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/41 | 41/68 | 12/21 | 31/49 | 16/23 | 116/202 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 60% | 57% | 63% | 70% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/11 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 3/9 | 15/34 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 36% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 31 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 10/12 | 5/5 | 6/7 | 2/2 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 83% | 100% | 86% | 100% | 215% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLLWLWWW
LWLWLLLWWL Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Dusan LajovicLajovic (5-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-4 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-2 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Max PurcellPurcell – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tommy PaulPaul (7-66 6-70 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tommy PaulPaul (7-6(6) 6-7(0) 6-3) – See score progression
- Max PurcellPurcell – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Dusan LajovicLajovic (5-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-7) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-6) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Max PurcellPurcell (0-0) – H2H and prediction
