Adrian Mannarino and Mackenzie Mcdonald will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.63
Adrian Mannarino -> 2.28

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald

This will be the 2nd time that Adrian Mannarino and Mackenzie Mcdonald play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mannarino (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Mannarino won 6-1 6-4 in the quarter in Nur sultan back in 2020.

Highlights Adrian Mannarino vs Mackenzie Mcdonald – Nur sultan 30-October-2020

Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
69
High
17
LLLLWLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-37 16-16 5-9 0-6 14-6 0-0
2024 17-33 9-17 0-5 7-6 1-5 0-0
2023 44-29 15-13 2-8 15-4 12-4 0-0
2022 31-32 18-14 1-6 8-7 4-5 0-0
2021 14-26 5-7 0-7 5-8 4-4 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 32, Mannarino reached the 3rd round after beating Richard Gasquet 6-4 6-3 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-4 6-4). During the match, Mannarino scored 73 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 57. Adrian was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mannarino blasted 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was quite effective on serve to win 73% (19/26) of his 1st serve and 67% (24/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Auger-Aliassime 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.

Mannarino has positive record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (322-278). 11-10 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mannarino has an aggregate 155-117 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Newport where he defeated Alex Michelsen in the final 6-2 6-4.

The French player has a composed 28-23 win-loss record in 2023, 11-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Mannarino's Record

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Mackenzie Mcdonald

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
112
High
37
LWWLWLWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-31 24-16 1-4 9-6 6-5 0-0
2024 26-23 18-12 0-4 3-1 5-6 0-0
2023 35-30 23-15 0-6 4-3 8-6 0-0
2022 27-31 16-16 4-6 4-5 3-4 0-0
2021 42-26 15-12 12-5 9-6 6-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 43 (career-high), the American got to the 3rd round after beating Yannick Hanfmann 7-5 6-1 and Holger Rune 6-4 2-0 ret..

In the 2nd round against Rune, Mcdonald had a free pass after Rune retired on a 6-4 2-0 . scoreline.

The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach and Eastbourne.

Mcdonald has an overall 28-22 win-loss record in 2023, 18-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2022. See his history.

Cincinnati
Mcdonald's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Mannarino
M.Mcdonald
3h:25
3h:25
Time on court​
2h:34
2h:34
1h:58
1h:58
Last match​
!
0h:50
0h:50
2
2
Match played
2
2
39
39
Games Played​
31
31
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
137
137
Total points​
115
115
68.5
68.5
Avg point​
57.5
57.5
40
40
Winners
39
39
20
20
Avg Winners​
19.5
19.5
29%
29%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
5
5
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1
1
40/57
40/57
1st won total​
39/47
39/47
70%
70%
1st won %
!
83%
83%
43/61
43/61
2nd won total​
20/37
20/37
!
70%
70%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
6/14
6/14
BP won
8/15
8/15
3/7
3/7
Avg BP won
4/7.5
4/7.5
43%
43%
Won
!
53%
53%
10
10
Conceded
6
6
5
5
Avg Conceded
3
3
2
2
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
8
8
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mannarino Mcdonald
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 39 31
Pts 137-102 115-83
Total Points 239 198
Winners 40 39
%Winners 29% 34%

Both Mannarino and Mcdonald played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Mannarino has played 1 set(s) less than Mcdonald (4 vs 5). However, it’s interesting to notice that Mannarino played 8 games more than Mcdonald. Adrian scored 40 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Mcdonald made 39 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mannarino Mcdonald
Aces 5 5
Avg per match 2.5 2.5
1st in 57/118 47/84
%1st in 48% 56%
1st pts 40/57 39/47
%1st pts 70% 83%
2nd pts 43/61 20/37
%2nd pts 70% 54%

Mannarino recorded 5 aces (2.5 per match). Mcdonald bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Mannarino won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mannarino Mcdonald
Won 6 8
Converted 6/14 8/15
% Converted 43% 53%
Conceded 10 6
Saved 8 4
% Saved 80% 67%
Times Broken 2 2

Adrian broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Adrian conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Mackenzie broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Mackenzie conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Mannarino
R1
Gasquet		 R2
Auger-Aliassime		 Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 20 39
pts 64-45 73-57 137-102
Total points 109 130 239
Winners 21 19 40
%Winners 33% 26% 29%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 5
Double Faults 0 2 2
1st in 31/56 26/62 57/118
% 1st in 55% 42% 48%
1st pts 21/31 19/26 40/57
% 1st pts 68% 73% 70%
2nd pts 19/25 24/36 43/61
% 2nd pts 76% 67% 70%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/8 3/6 6/14
Converted % 38% 50% 43%
Conceded 4 6 10
Saved 3/4 5/6 8
Saved % 75% 83% 79%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Mcdonald
R1
Hanfmann		 R2
Rune		 Total
Score 7-5 6-1 6-4 2-0 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 12 31
pts 74-55 41-28 115-83
Total points 129 69 198
Winners 21 18 39
%Winners 28% 44% 34%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 5
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 28/55 19/29 47/84
% 1st in 51% 66% 56%
1st pts 21/28 18/19 39/47
% 1st pts 75% 95% 83%
2nd pts 14/27 6/10 20/37
% 2nd pts 52% 60% 54%
Breaks
Won 6 2 8
Converted 6/12 2/3 8/15
Converted % 50% 67% 53%
Conceded 6 0 6
Saved 4/6 0/0 4
Saved % 67% – 34%
Times Broken 2 0 2

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw

Mannarino
More Stats
Click here
Mcdonald

Click for FULL STATS