Francesco Maestrelli and Gabriel Debru will square off in the quarter of the Todi Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.65
Gabriel Debru -> 2.17
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Gabriel Debru
There is no head to head record between Francesco Maestrelli and Gabriel Debru since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Francesco Maestrelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-34 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 246, Maestrelli got to the quarter after defeating Giorgio Tabacco 6-1 6-4 and Nino Serdarusic 6-2 6-74 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Italian defeated Serdarusic (6-2 6-74 6-2). During the match, Maestrelli scored 106 points vs Serdarusic’s 88. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Regarding the service games, Maestrelli managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 59% of his first serves in, winning 80% (48/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (18/42) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Serdarusic 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Maestrelli has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 57% of his matches (106-81). 12-18 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Maestrelli has a compiled70-49 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Montechiarugolo Challenger.
Francesco has a composed 21-27 win-loss record in 2023, 12-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Todi Challenger
Gabriel Debru
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-23 | 4-4 | 25-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-26 | 4-2 | 31-13 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-18 | 5-3 | 11-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 377, Gabriel reached the quarter after defeating Henri Squire 6-3 7-63 and Mathys Erhard 6-4 2-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Gabriel defeated Erhard (6-4 2-6 6-4).During the match Debru scored less points (2) than Erhard. In fact, the world no. 246 won 91 points vs Erhard’s. That means that Debru was more focused during the important points. Gabriel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Debru scored 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Gabriel Debru lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Debru put 62% of his first serves in, winning 68% (38/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (13/34) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Erhard 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Gabriel’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Gubbio.
The French player has an overall 32-16 win-loss record in 2023, 24-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Todi Challenger
Debru has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Maestrelli | Debru |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 50 |
| Pts | 168-138 | 158-145 |
| Total Points | 306 | 303 |
| Winners | 71 | 65 |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% |
Both Maestrelli and Debru played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francesco Maestrelli dropped 1 set, while Gabriel Debru conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Maestrelli and Debru have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Maestrelli played 4 games less than Debru. Maestrelli scored 71 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Debru bagged 65 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Maestrelli | Debru |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 96/154 | 91/149 |
| %1st in | 62% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 71/96 | 65/91 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 26/58 | 28/58 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 48% |
Maestrelli blasted 10 aces (5 per match). Debru recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Maestrelli won 74% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Debru won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Maestrelli | Debru |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 8 |
| Converted | 12/20 | 8/16 |
| % Converted | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded | 17 | 12 |
| Saved | 13 | 5 |
| % Saved | 76% | 42% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
Francesco broke his opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. Francesco dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Debru broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 42% of the break points that he conceded.
| Maestrelli | ||||
| R1 Tabacco |
R2 Serdarusic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-2 6-74 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 29 | 46 | |
| pts | 62-50 | 106-88 | 168-138 | |
| Total points | 112 | 194 | 306 | |
| Winners | 23 | 48 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 36/52 | 60/102 | 96/154 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 23/36 | 48/60 | 71/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 80% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 18/42 | 26/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 43% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/12 | 12/20 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 50% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 | 17 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 9/11 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 82% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Debru | ||||
| R1 Squire |
R2 Erhard |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 28 | 50 | |
| pts | 67-52 | 91-93 | 158-145 | |
| Total points | 119 | 184 | 303 | |
| Winners | 27 | 38 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 35/59 | 56/90 | 91/149 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 62% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 38/56 | 65/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 68% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 13/34 | 28/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 38% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 5/12 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 42% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 5/10 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWLW
WWWLLWLLLW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Clement TaburTabur – Moez EcharguiEchargui (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
