Daria Kasatkina and Varvara Gracheva will face off in the 2nd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on PORSCHE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.27
Varvara Gracheva -> 3.78
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Varvara Gracheva
This will be the 4th time that Daria Kasatkina and Varvara Gracheva square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Gracheva (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Gracheva won 6-4 6-4 in the 3rd round in Indian Wells back in March 2023.
Highlights Varvara Gracheva vs Daria Kasatkina – Indian Wells 13-March-2023
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-14 | 12-8 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Kasatkina got to the 2nd round after defeating Peyton Stearns 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, Darya had a good straight sets win against Stearns (6-2 6-1). During the match, Kasatkina scored 60 points vs Stearns’s 40. Darya was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve once. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 76% of her first serves in, winning 71% (22/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (5/10) on the 2nd serve. Darya broke Stearns 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (330-186). 10-10 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kasatkina has an aggregate 139-101 record in the last years on hard.
Darya’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Adelaide and Eastbourne.
The Russian has an overall 28-19 win-loss record in 2023, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Varvara Gracheva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-20 | 4-8 | 15-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, Gracheva reached the 2nd round after beating Anna Danilina 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Caroline Wozniacki 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Varvara had a good straight sets win against Wozniacki (6-4 6-4). During the match Gracheva scored 71 points vs Wozniacki’s 66. Varvara was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Gracheva recorded 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Varvara Gracheva conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 9 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 59% of her first serves in, winning 80% (35/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. Gracheva broke Wozniacki twice after converting 40% of her break points (2/5).
Varvara’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Austin.
Gracheva has a compiled 33-23 win-loss record in 2023, 21-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2020 and 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 47 |
| Pts | 60-40 | 162-144 |
| Total Points | 100 | 306 |
| Winners | 22 | 73 |
| %Winners | 37% | 45% |
Kasatkina played 1 match while Gracheva competed in 2 matches. Gracheva started her run from the qualifications while Kasatkina had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Varvara Gracheva conceded 1 set while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kasatkina has played 3 set(s) less than Gracheva (2 vs 5). Therefore, Kasatkina played 32 games less than Gracheva. The Russian scored 22 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Varvara recorded 73 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4 |
| 1st in | 31/41 | 95/168 |
| %1st in | 76% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 22/31 | 73/95 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 5/10 | 31/73 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 42% |
Kasatkina made 1 ace . Gracheva also blasted 8 aces (4 per match). Kasatkina won 71% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Gracheva won 77% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 8 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 43% | 57% |
| Conceded | 1 | 18 |
| Saved | 0 | 14 |
| % Saved | 0% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The Russian broke her opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Russian dropped her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. Gracheva broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Varvara conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| R1 Stearns |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 60-40 | 60-40 | |
| Total points | 100 | 100 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 31/41 | 31/41 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 22/31 | 22/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Gracheva | |||||
| Q1 Danilina |
Q3 Bucsa |
R1 Wozniacki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 17 | 20 | 64 | |
| pts | 91-78 | – | 71-66 | 162-144 | |
| Total points | 169 | 0 | 137 | 306 | |
| Winners | 38 | 35 | 73 | ||
| %Winners | 42% | 0% | 49% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 4 | 13 | ||
| 1st in | 51/93 | / | 44/75 | 95/168 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 0% | 59% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 38/51 | / | 35/44 | 73/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 0% | 80% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/42 | / | 14/31 | 31/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 0% | 45% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 8 | ||
| Converted | 6/9 | / | 2/5 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 0% | 40% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | 18 | ||
| Saved | 5/9 | 0/ | 9/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 56% | – | 100% | 156% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLW
LLLWLLWWWL Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-3 6-72 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sloane StephensStephens – Caroline GarciaGarcia (4-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yuichi SugitaSugita – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Philipp KohlschreiberKohlschreiber (4-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lucas PouillePouille – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-4 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Malek JaziriJaziri – Robin HaaseHaase (7-64 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert (6-4 6-72 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Borna CoricCoric – Benoit PairePaire (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Marcos BaghdatisBaghdatis (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Venus WilliamsWilliams (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Cristina BucsaBucsa (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ann LiLi – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
