Madison Keys and Elise Mertens will square off in the 1st round of the Western & Southern Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 8:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.58
Elise Mertens -> 2.38

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Elise Mertens

This will be the 4th time that Madison Keys and Elise Mertens clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Keys won 7-5 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2021.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 15, the American will start her run in Cincinnati after she played her last match in Montreal where she lost w/o to Paolini in the 2nd round on the 9th of August.

The American has an overall 28-10 win-loss record in 2023, 14-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Eastbourne where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-2 7-6(13).

Talking about her overall career, Keys has an overall 356-204 record. She has a positive 217-128 record on hard.

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, she won this tournament once in 2019. See her history.

Cincinnati
Keys's Record

Elise Mertens

Elise Mertens

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
20
High
12
LWWLLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-20 17-13 6-5 5-0 8-2 0-0
2024 28-25 18-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 29, Mertens will start her run in Cincinnati after she played her last match in Montreal where she lost 6-4 6-2 to Kasatkina in the 1st round on the 8th of August.

The Belgian has an aggregate 19-16 win-loss record in 2023, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Elise’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Monterrey.

In terms of her career, The Belgian has an overall 408-229 record. She has a positive 234-115 record on hard.

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020. See her history.

Cincinnati
Mertens's Record

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

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