Marta Kostyuk and Jasmine Paolini will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Western & Southern Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on PORSCHE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marta Kostyuk who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marta Kostyuk is the pick to win this match.
Marta Kostyuk -> 1.49
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.62

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Prediction and head to head Marta Kostyuk vs. Jasmine Paolini

This will be the 3rd time that Marta Kostyuk and Jasmine Paolini face off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Paolini won 5-7 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Napoca back in 2022.

Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
26
High
16
LLWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-20 19-13 7-4 2-0 0-3 0-0
2024 34-22 24-14 8-5 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 26-22 22-16 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2022 28-20 18-11 3-4 4-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-17 8-9 10-4 3-1 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Marta will start her run in Cincinnati after she played her last match in Montreal where she lost 6-2 1-6 6-3 to Zheng in the 1st round on the 8th of August.

The Ukrainian has an aggregate 22-16 win-loss record in 2023, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Austin where she beat Varvara Gracheva in the final 6-3 7-5.

Talking about her overall career, The Ukrainian has an overall 180-102 record. She has a positive 87-48 record on hard.

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See her history.

Cincinnati
Kostyuk's Record

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 43, Paolini reached the 1st round after beating Rebeka Masarova 1-6 6-3 7-5 and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 7-5 7-5.

In the qualifications, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Camila Osorio Serrano (7-5 7-5). During the match Paolini scored 88 points vs Camila Osorio Serrano’s 77. Jasmine was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Paolini was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 6 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 57% of her first serves in, winning 59% (23/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 34% (10/29) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Camila Osorio Serrano 8 times after converting 44% of her break points (8/18).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title the Florence where she defeated Taylor Townsend in the final 6-3 7-5.

Paolini has a composed 26-21 win-loss record in 2023, 6-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See her history.

Cincinnati
Paolini's Record

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw