Jason Jung and Keegan Smith will play each other in the qualifications of the Stanford Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jason Jung who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jason Jung is the pick to win this match.
Jason Jung -> 1.24
Keegan Smith -> 3.74
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Prediction and head to head Jason Jung vs. Keegan Smith
There is no head to head record between Jason Jung and Keegan Smith since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Jason Jung
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-25 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-28 | 13-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-25 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-6 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 259, Jung reached the qualifications after defeating Abraham Asaba 6-1 6-2.
In the qualifications, Jung had a good straight sets win against Asaba (6-1 6-2). During the match, Jung scored 58 points vs Asaba’s 34. Jason was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Jung fired 2 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Jason Jung was pretty effective on serve to win 84% (21/25) of his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jung broke Asaba 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Jung has positive record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (310-257). 33-16 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Jung has an overall 225-162 record in the last years on hard.
Jason’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Jakarta.
Jung has an aggregate 33-17 win-loss record in 2023, 33-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Stanford Challenger
Jason has never competed in this tournament before.
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49-22 | 32-12 | 0-0 | 17-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 36-21 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 596, Keegan got to the qualifications after beating Quinn Vandecasteele 7-5 6-711 6-3.
In the qualifications, Keegan defeated Vandecasteele (7-5 6-711 6-3). During the match Smith scored 114 points vs Vandecasteele’s 104. The American was quite aggressive to blast 55 winners.
Talking about serving, Smith recorded 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Keegan Smith lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Smith put 66% of his first serves in, winning 75% (55/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. Smith broke Vandecasteele 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Smith’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Rancho Santa Fe and M15 San Diego.
Keegan has a composed 24-15 win-loss record in 2023, 21-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Jung | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 34 |
| Pts | 58-34 | 114-104 |
| Total Points | 92 | 218 |
| Winners | 21 | 55 |
| %Winners | 36% | 48% |
Both Jung and Smith played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Keegan Smith lost 1 set while Jason Jung hasn’t conceded a set so far. Jung has played 1 set(s) less than Smith (2 vs 3). Therefore, Jung played 19 games less than Smith. Jung scored 21 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Keegan managed to score 55 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Jung | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6 |
| 1st in | 25/46 | 73/110 |
| %1st in | 54% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 21/25 | 55/73 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 16/37 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 43% |
Jung struck 2 aces . Smith bagged 6 aces . Jung won 84% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Jung | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 5/6 |
| % Converted | 67% | 83% |
| Conceded | 1 | 10 |
| Saved | 1 | 7 |
| % Saved | 100% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
The Chinese broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Jason had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Keegan broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Keegan conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Jung | |||
| Q1 Asaba |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 58-34 | 58-34 | |
| Total points | 92 | 92 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 25/46 | 25/46 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 21/25 | 21/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 13/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Vandecasteele |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-711 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 114-104 | 114-104 | |
| Total points | 218 | 218 | |
| Winners | 55 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 73/110 | 73/110 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 55/73 | 55/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 16/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWLLL
WWWLWWWWWW 
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