Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul will play each other in the semifinal of the National Bank Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.36
Tommy Paul -> 3.15

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 3rd time that Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Sinner and Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Paul won 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the 2nd round in Eastbourne back in 2022.

Highlights Tommy Paul vs Jannik Sinner – Eastbourne 22-June-2022

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Sinner reached the semifinal after beating Matteo Berrettini 6-4 6-3, Andy Murray w/o and Gael Monfils 6-4 4-6 6-3.

In the quarter, Sinner defeated Monfils (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, Sinner scored 89 points vs Monfils’s 87. Jannik was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner struck 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jannik Sinner lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Sinner put 49% of his first serves in, winning 82% (36/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (21/45) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Monfils 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sinner has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Sinner has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 69% of his matches (248-109). 16-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has an overall86-38 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Montpellier where he overcame Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3.

Jannik has a composed 39-11 win-loss record in 2023, 16-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Toronto
Sinner's Record

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
20
High
8
LWWLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-13 13-6 12-4 3-1 1-2 0-0
2024 45-20 17-12 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Paul reached the semifinal after beating Diego Schwartzman 6-3 3-6 6-4, Francisco Cerundolo 7-62 6-72 6-3, Marcos Giron 6-3 6-2 and Carlos Alcaraz 6-3 4-6 6-3.

In the quarter, Paul defeated Alcaraz (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Paul scored 95 points vs Alcaraz’s 91. Paul was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Paul struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tommy Paul lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 62% of his first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Alcaraz 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paul has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Acapulco,the Aix En Provence Challenger and Eastbourne.

Paul has a compiled 35-18 win-loss record in 2023, 20-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.

Toronto
Paul's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Sinner
T.Paul
3h:52
3h:52
Time on court​
!
8h:52
8h:52
!
2h:22
2h:22
Last match​
!
2h:20
2h:20
2
2
Match played
!
4
4
48
48
Games Played​
108
108
5
5
Set played​​
11
11
151
151
Total points​
374
374
75.5
75.5
Avg point​
93.5
93.5
70
70
Winners
137
137
35
35
Avg Winners​
34.3
34.3
46%
46%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
15
15
Aces
21
21
7.5
7.5
Avg Aces
5.3
5.3
5
5
Double Faults
8
8
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
70/85
70/85
1st won total​
137/188
137/188
!
82%
82%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
33/67
33/67
2nd won total​
87/159
87/159
49%
49%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
5/8
5/8
BP won
16/29
16/29
2.5/4
2.5/4
Avg BP won
4/7.3
4/7.3
!
63%
63%
Won
!
55%
55%
9
9
Conceded
24
24
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
6
6
2
2
Broken
8
8
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
7
7
Saved
16
16

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sinner Paul
Match played 2 4
Tot Set 5 11
Tot Games 48 108
Pts 151-138 374-328
Total Points 289 702
Winners 70 137
%Winners 46% 37%

Sinner played 2 matches while Paul competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner lost 1 set, while Tommy Paul dropped 3 sets. Sinner has played 6 set(s) less than Paul (5 vs 11). Therefore, Sinner played 60 games less than Paul. The Italian scored 70 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Paul made 137 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sinner Paul
Aces 15 21
Avg per match 7.5 5.3
1st in 85/152 188/347
%1st in 56% 54%
1st pts 70/85 137/188
%1st pts 82% 73%
2nd pts 33/67 87/159
%2nd pts 49% 55%

Sinner made 15 aces (7.5 per match). Paul made 21 aces (5.3 per match). Sinner won 82% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sinner Paul
Won 5 16
Converted 5/8 16/29
% Converted 63% 55%
Conceded 9 24
Saved 7 16
% Saved 78% 67%
Times Broken 2 8

The Italian broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Jannik lost his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. Paul conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
R2
Berrettini
R3
Murray
1/4
Monfils
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 w/o 6-4 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 19 29 48
pts 62-51 89-87 151-138
Total points 113 176 289
Winners 34 36 70
%Winners 55% 40% 46%
SERVE
Aces 10 5 15
Double Faults 2 3 5
1st in 41/63 44/89 85/152
% 1st in 65% 49% 56%
1st pts 34/41 36/44 70/85
% 1st pts 83% 82% 82%
2nd pts 12/22 21/45 33/67
% 2nd pts 55% 47% 49%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/4 3/4 5/8
Converted % 50% 75% 63%
Conceded 7 2 9
Saved 7/7 0/2 7
Saved % 100% 0% 33%
Times Broken 0 2 2
Paul
R1
Schwartzman
R2
Cerundolo
R3
Giron
1/4
Alcaraz
Total
Score 6-3 3-6 6-4 7-62 6-72 6-3 6-3 6-2 6-3 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 2 3 11
Tot Games 28 35 17 28 108
pts 89-79 119-102 71-56 95-91 374-328
Total points 168 221 127 186 702
Winners 34 41 25 37 137
%Winners 38% 34% 35% 39% 37%
SERVE
Aces 9 5 5 2 21
Double Faults 4 2 1 1 8
1st in 42/88 51/96 41/76 54/87 188/347
% 1st in 48% 53% 54% 62% 54%
1st pts 34/42 41/51 25/41 37/54 137/188
% 1st pts 81% 80% 61% 69% 73%
2nd pts 25/46 22/45 21/35 19/33 87/159
% 2nd pts 54% 49% 60% 58% 55%
Breaks
Won 3 5 4 4 16
Converted 3/5 5/10 4/4 4/10 16/29
Converted % 60% 50% 100% 40% 55%
Conceded 6 5 8 5 24
Saved 4/6 2/5 7/8 3/5 16
Saved % 67% 40% 88% 60% 85%
Times Broken 2 3 1 2 8

Tennis Scores in Toronto

  • Tommy PaulPaulCarlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim PuetzHubert Hurkacz/Mate PavicHurkacz/Mate Pavic (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
  • Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien RojerSantiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-0 6-74 10-8) – See score progression
  • Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich FokinaMackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe SalisburyMax Purcell/Andrey RublevPurcell/Andrey Rublev (4-6 6-3 10-4) – See score progression
  • Alex De MinaurDe MinaurDaniil MedvedevMedvedev (7-67 7-5) – See score progression
  • Jannik SinnerSinnerGael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio ZeballosRohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (7-5 6-76 10-8) – See score progression
  • Tommy PaulPaulCarlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Jannik SinnerSinnerGael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw