Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul will play each other in the semifinal of the National Bank Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.36
Tommy Paul -> 3.15
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 3rd time that Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Sinner and Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Paul won 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the 2nd round in Eastbourne back in 2022.
Highlights Tommy Paul vs Jannik Sinner – Eastbourne 22-June-2022
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Sinner reached the semifinal after beating Matteo Berrettini 6-4 6-3, Andy Murray w/o and Gael Monfils 6-4 4-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Sinner defeated Monfils (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, Sinner scored 89 points vs Monfils’s 87. Jannik was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner struck 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jannik Sinner lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Sinner put 49% of his first serves in, winning 82% (36/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (21/45) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Monfils 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sinner has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Sinner has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 69% of his matches (248-109). 16-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has an overall86-38 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Montpellier where he overcame Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3.
Jannik has a composed 39-11 win-loss record in 2023, 16-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-13 | 13-6 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Paul reached the semifinal after beating Diego Schwartzman 6-3 3-6 6-4, Francisco Cerundolo 7-62 6-72 6-3, Marcos Giron 6-3 6-2 and Carlos Alcaraz 6-3 4-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Paul defeated Alcaraz (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Paul scored 95 points vs Alcaraz’s 91. Paul was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Paul struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tommy Paul lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 62% of his first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Alcaraz 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Acapulco,the Aix En Provence Challenger and Eastbourne.
Paul has a compiled 35-18 win-loss record in 2023, 20-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 108 |
| Pts | 151-138 | 374-328 |
| Total Points | 289 | 702 |
| Winners | 70 | 137 |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% |
Sinner played 2 matches while Paul competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner lost 1 set, while Tommy Paul dropped 3 sets. Sinner has played 6 set(s) less than Paul (5 vs 11). Therefore, Sinner played 60 games less than Paul. The Italian scored 70 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Paul made 137 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 85/152 | 188/347 |
| %1st in | 56% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 70/85 | 137/188 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 33/67 | 87/159 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 55% |
Sinner made 15 aces (7.5 per match). Paul made 21 aces (5.3 per match). Sinner won 82% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 16 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 16/29 |
| % Converted | 63% | 55% |
| Conceded | 9 | 24 |
| Saved | 7 | 16 |
| % Saved | 78% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
The Italian broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Jannik lost his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. Paul conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||||
| R2 Berrettini | R3 Murray | 1/4 Monfils | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | w/o | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | – | 29 | 48 | |
| pts | 62-51 | – | 89-87 | 151-138 | |
| Total points | 113 | – | 176 | 289 | |
| Winners | 34 | – | 36 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 55% | – | 40% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | – | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | – | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/63 | – | 44/89 | 85/152 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | – | 49% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 34/41 | – | 36/44 | 70/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | – | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | – | 21/45 | 33/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | – | 47% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | – | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | – | 3/4 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | – | 75% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 7 | – | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | – | 0/2 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 0% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | |
| Paul | ||||||
| R1 Schwartzman | R2 Cerundolo | R3 Giron | 1/4 Alcaraz | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 7-62 6-72 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 35 | 17 | 28 | 108 | |
| pts | 89-79 | 119-102 | 71-56 | 95-91 | 374-328 | |
| Total points | 168 | 221 | 127 | 186 | 702 | |
| Winners | 34 | 41 | 25 | 37 | 137 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 35% | 39% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 42/88 | 51/96 | 41/76 | 54/87 | 188/347 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 53% | 54% | 62% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 41/51 | 25/41 | 37/54 | 137/188 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 80% | 61% | 69% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/46 | 22/45 | 21/35 | 19/33 | 87/159 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 49% | 60% | 58% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 5/10 | 4/4 | 4/10 | 16/29 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 100% | 40% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/5 | 7/8 | 3/5 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 40% | 88% | 60% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Tommy PaulPaul – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Hubert Hurkacz/Mate PavicHurkacz/Mate Pavic (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-0 6-74 10-8) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Max Purcell/Andrey RublevPurcell/Andrey Rublev (4-6 6-3 10-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (7-67 7-5) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (7-5 6-76 10-8) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-1) – H2H and prediction