Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur will play each other in the quarter of the National Bank Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.3
Alex De Minaur -> 3.54
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 6th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, De Minaur won 6-4 2-6 7-5 in the 2nd round in Paris back in 2022.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Daniil Medvedev – Paris 02-November-2022
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Medvedev got to the quarter after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 7-5 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-4 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 62 points vs Musetti’s 54. Medvedev was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev fired 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 62% of his first serves in, winning 82% (28/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Musetti 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a marvellous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (471-187). 26-3 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a compiled 207-65 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.
Medvedev has an overall 48-9 win-loss record in 2023, 26-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, De Minaur reached the quarter after defeating Cameron Norrie 7-5 6-4, Gabriel Diallo 6-4 7-5 and Taylor Fritz 7-67 4-6 6-1.
In the 3rd round, De Minaur defeated Fritz (7-67 4-6 6-1). During the match De Minaur scored 108 points vs Fritz’s 97. Alex was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, De Minaur scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 6 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 51% of his first serves in, winning 70% (35/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (29/49) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Fritz 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Acapulco where he beat Tommy Paul in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.
De Minaur has a composed 30-16 win-loss record in 2023, 17-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 74 |
| Pts | 133-111 | 260-226 |
| Total Points | 244 | 486 |
| Winners | 59 | 94 |
| %Winners | 44% | 36% |
Medvedev played 2 matches while De Minaur competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Alex De Minaur lost 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 3 set(s) less than De Minaur (4 vs 7). Therefore, Medvedev played 34 games less than De Minaur. The Russian scored 59 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian scored 94 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 77/116 | 131/238 |
| %1st in | 66% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 59/77 | 94/131 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 22/39 | 63/107 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 59% |
Medvedev managed to score 11 aces (5.5 per match). De Minaur blasted 11 aces (3.7 per match). Medvedev won 77% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 11 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 11/27 |
| % Converted | 43% | 41% |
| Conceded | 5 | 24 |
| Saved | 4 | 18 |
| % Saved | 80% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
The Russian broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Daniil dropped his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. De Minaur broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R2 Arnaldi | R3 Musetti | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 40 | |
| pts | 71-57 | 62-54 | 133-111 | |
| Total points | 128 | 116 | 244 | |
| Winners | 31 | 28 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 43/61 | 34/55 | 77/116 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 62% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 31/43 | 28/34 | 59/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 82% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 10/21 | 22/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 48% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/6 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Norrie | R2 Diallo | R3 Fritz | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | 7-67 4-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | 30 | 74 | |
| pts | 74-64 | 78-65 | 108-97 | 260-226 | |
| Total points | 138 | 143 | 205 | 486 | |
| Winners | 31 | 28 | 35 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 36% | 32% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 1 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 42/70 | 39/69 | 50/99 | 131/238 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 57% | 51% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 28/39 | 35/50 | 94/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 72% | 70% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 18/30 | 29/49 | 63/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 60% | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/12 | 4/8 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 33% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/5 | 12/15 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 60% | 80% | 108% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Tommy PaulPaul – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Taylor FritzFritz (7-67 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andy MurrayMurray (w/o) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-6 7-62 7-63) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Casper RuudRuud (7-64 4-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Milos RaonicRaonic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-6 7-6(2) 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andy MurrayMurray (w/o) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (7-6(7) 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Tommy PaulPaul (1-1) – H2H and prediction