Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul will clash against each other in the quarter of the National Bank Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.19
Tommy Paul -> 4.7
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Alcaraz and Paul (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Alcaraz won 6-4 6-4 in the 4th round in Miami back in March 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul – Miami 28-March-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Alcaraz reached the quarter after beating Ben Shelton 6-3 7-63 and Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 7-62 7-63.
In the 3rd round against Hurkacz, Alcaraz recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-62 7-63). During the match, Alcaraz scored 107 points vs Hurkacz’s 100. Carlos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz fired 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (43/57) of his 1st serve and 62% (24/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Alcaraz broke Hurkacz 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 80% of his matches (217-55). 12-1 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a composed61-15 record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he defeated Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the Wimbledon where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4.
Alcaraz has a composed 49-4 win-loss record in 2023, 12-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-19 | 17-11 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Tommy got to the quarter after beating Diego Schwartzman 6-3 3-6 6-4, Francisco Cerundolo 7-62 6-72 6-3 and Marcos Giron 6-3 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Giron (6-3 6-2). During the match Paul scored 71 points vs Giron’s 56. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Paul struck 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tommy Paul lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 54% of his first serves in, winning 61% (25/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (21/35) on the 2nd serve. Tommy was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Giron 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Acapulco,the Aix En Provence Challenger and Eastbourne.
Paul has an overall 34-18 win-loss record in 2023, 19-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 80 |
| Pts | 182-165 | 279-237 |
| Total Points | 347 | 516 |
| Winners | 75 | 100 |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% |
Alcaraz played 2 matches while Paul competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 1 set, while Tommy Paul surrendered 2 sets. Alcaraz has played 3 set(s) less than Paul (5 vs 8). Therefore, Alcaraz played 23 games less than Paul. The Spaniard scored 75 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 100 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 102/174 | 134/260 |
| %1st in | 59% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 75/102 | 100/134 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 46/72 | 68/126 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 54% |
Alcaraz scored 10 aces (5 per match). Paul bagged 19 aces (6.3 per match). Alcaraz won 74% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 12 |
| Converted | 4/13 | 12/19 |
| % Converted | 31% | 63% |
| Conceded | 8 | 19 |
| Saved | 4 | 13 |
| % Saved | 50% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Carlos conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R2 Shelton |
R3 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | 3-6 7-62 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 35 | 57 | |
| pts | 75-65 | 107-100 | 182-165 | |
| Total points | 140 | 207 | 347 | |
| Winners | 32 | 43 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 45/78 | 57/96 | 102/174 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 32/45 | 43/57 | 75/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 75% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/33 | 24/39 | 46/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 62% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 3/10 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 30% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 20% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Paul | |||||
| R1 Schwartzman |
R2 Cerundolo |
R3 Giron |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 7-62 6-72 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 35 | 17 | 80 | |
| pts | 89-79 | 119-102 | 71-56 | 279-237 | |
| Total points | 168 | 221 | 127 | 516 | |
| Winners | 34 | 41 | 25 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 35% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 42/88 | 51/96 | 41/76 | 134/260 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 53% | 54% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 41/51 | 25/41 | 100/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 80% | 61% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/46 | 22/45 | 21/35 | 68/126 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 49% | 60% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 5/10 | 4/4 | 12/19 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 100% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/5 | 7/8 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 40% | 88% | 98% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLLWLWWW
LLWWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-6 7-62 7-63) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Casper RuudRuud (7-64 4-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andy MurrayMurray (w/o) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Milos RaonicRaonic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Taylor FritzFritz (7-67 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-6 7-6(2) 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andy MurrayMurray (w/o) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (7-6(7) 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Tommy PaulPaul (1-1) – H2H and prediction
