Tommy Paul and Marcos Giron will square off in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.41
Marcos Giron -> 2.91
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Marcos Giron
This will be the 5th time that Tommy Paul and Marcos Giron clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Giron (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Giron won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the 1st round in Miami back in 2021.
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-13 | 13-6 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Tommy reached the 3rd round after beating Diego Schwartzman 6-3 3-6 6-4 and Francisco Cerundolo 7-62 6-72 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Tommy defeated Cerundolo (7-62 6-72 6-3). During the match, Paul scored 119 points vs Cerundolo’s 102. The American was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 53% of his first serves in, winning 80% (41/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (22/45) on the 2nd serve. Tommy broke Cerundolo 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tommy has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (337-194). 18-7 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has an aggregate164-95 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Paul’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Acapulco,the Aix En Provence Challenger and Eastbourne.
Paul has an aggregate 33-18 win-loss record in 2023, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Marcos Giron
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-28 | 12-14 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-27 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 11-4 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 17-15 | 7-6 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-31 | 11-13 | 3-9 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 12-10 | 5-5 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 70, Marcos got to the 3rd round after beating Nick Chappell 6-4 3-6 6-2, Radu Albot 6-3 6-1, Emil Ruusuvuori 7-64 7-66 and Holger Rune 6-2 4-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Giron defeated Rune (6-2 4-6 6-3). During the match Giron scored 106 points vs Rune’s 88. The American was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Giron fired 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Marcos Giron lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Giron put 48% of his first serves in, winning 79% (37/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (24/51) on the 2nd serve. Giron broke Rune 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marcos started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Giron has a composed 22-19 win-loss record in 2023, 10-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 63 | 96 |
| Pts | 208-181 | 358-312 |
| Total Points | 389 | 670 |
| Winners | 75 | 136 |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% |
Paul played 2 matches while Giron competed in 4 matches. Giron started his run from the qualifications while Paul had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul conceded 2 sets, while Marcos Giron conceded 2 sets. Paul has played 4 set(s) less than Giron (6 vs 10). Therefore, Paul played 33 games less than Giron. The American scored 75 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 136 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 93/184 | 184/308 |
| %1st in | 51% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 75/93 | 136/184 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 47/91 | 63/124 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 51% |
Paul scored 14 aces (7 per match). Giron struck 18 aces (4.5 per match). Paul won 81% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Giron won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 16 |
| Converted | 8/15 | 16/41 |
| % Converted | 53% | 39% |
| Conceded | 11 | 23 |
| Saved | 6 | 16 |
| % Saved | 55% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 7 |
The American broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. Marcos broke his opponents 16 times with a 39% conversion rate. Giron conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | ||||
| R1 Schwartzman |
R2 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 7-62 6-72 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 35 | 63 | |
| pts | 89-79 | 119-102 | 208-181 | |
| Total points | 168 | 221 | 389 | |
| Winners | 34 | 41 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 42/88 | 51/96 | 93/184 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 53% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 41/51 | 75/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/46 | 22/45 | 47/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 49% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 5/10 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 40% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Giron | ||||||
| Q1 Chappell |
Q3 Albot |
R1 Ruusuvuori |
R2 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | 7-64 7-66 | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 16 | 26 | 27 | 96 | |
| pts | 99-90 | 66-49 | 87-85 | 106-88 | 358-312 | |
| Total points | 189 | 115 | 172 | 194 | 670 | |
| Winners | 37 | 19 | 43 | 37 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 29% | 49% | 35% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 55/82 | 27/45 | 55/83 | 47/98 | 184/308 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 60% | 66% | 48% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 37/55 | 19/27 | 43/55 | 37/47 | 136/184 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 70% | 78% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 11/18 | 14/28 | 24/51 | 63/124 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 61% | 50% | 47% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/11 | 1/6 | 5/9 | 16/41 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 45% | 17% | 56% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 23 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 6/8 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 75% | 67% | 75% | 140% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWLLW
LWWLLLWLLL Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Marcos GironGiron – Holger RuneRune (6-2 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Taro DanielDaniel (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-67 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Fabrice Martin/Andreas MiesMartin/Andreas Mies (4-4 ret.) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-7 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Andy MurrayMurray – Max PurcellPurcell (7-62 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-62 6-72 6-3) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 4-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Hubert Hurkacz/Mate PavicHurkacz/Mate Pavic – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (6-72 7-62 10-5) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(2) 6-7(2) 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Holger RuneRune (6-2 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 4-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Andy MurrayMurray – Max PurcellPurcell (7-6(2) 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Milos RaonicRaonic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Marcos GironGiron (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Casper RuudRuud (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-0) – H2H and prediction
