Carlos Alcaraz and Hubert Hurkacz will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.17
Hubert Hurkacz -> 5.05

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Hubert Hurkacz

This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Hubert Hurkacz play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Alcaraz won 7-6(5) 7-6(2) in the semifinal in Miami back in 2022.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Hubert Hurkacz – Miami 01-April-2022

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Alcaraz reached the 3rd round after defeating Ben Shelton 6-3 7-63.

In the 2nd round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Shelton (6-3 7-63). During the match, Alcaraz scored 75 points vs Shelton’s 65. Carlos was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz bagged 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 67% (22/33) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carlos broke Shelton once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 80% of his matches (216-55). 11-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a compiled60-15 record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Novak Djokovic in the final 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4.

Alcaraz has an aggregate 48-4 win-loss record in 2023, 11-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Toronto
Alcaraz's Record

Hubert Hurkacz

Hubert Hurkacz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
73
High
6
WLLWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-11 4-5 7-4 3-2 1-0 0-0
2024 40-19 17-10 14-4 4-3 5-2 0-0
2023 47-24 23-11 5-5 13-5 6-3 0-0
2022 41-21 18-9 9-4 9-6 5-2 0-0
2021 36-23 22-9 1-4 8-7 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 17, Hubert got to the 3rd round after beating Alexander Bublik 6-3 7-62 and Miomir Kecmanovic 5-7 6-3 6-0.

In the 2nd round against Kecmanovic, Hurkacz recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-0). During the match Hurkacz scored 94 points vs Kecmanovic’s 75. The Pole was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Hurkacz overpowered his opponent with 25 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Hubert Hurkacz lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Hurkacz put 67% of his first serves in, winning 82% (45/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. Hurkacz broke Kecmanovic 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Pole has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Marseille where he overcame Benjamin Bonzi in the final 6-3 7-6(4).

The Pole has a compiled 27-16 win-loss record in 2023, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2022. See his history.

Toronto
Hurkacz's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
H.Hurkacz
1h:38
1h:38
Time on court​
!
3h:08
3h:08
1h:38
1h:38
Last match​
1h:52
1h:52
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
22
22
Games Played​
49
49
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
75
75
Total points​
168
168
75
75
Avg point​
84
84
32
32
Winners
76
76
32
32
Avg Winners​
38
38
43%
43%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
32
32
4
4
Avg Aces
!
16
16
2
2
Double Faults
4
4
2
2
Avg Double Faults
2
2
32/45
32/45
1st won total​
76/96
76/96
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
22/33
22/33
2nd won total​
24/48
24/48
!
67%
67%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
1/3
1/3
BP won
8/14
8/14
1/3
1/3
Avg BP won
4/7
4/7
33%
33%
Won
!
57%
57%
3
3
Conceded
8
8
3
3
Avg Conceded
4
4
0
0
Broken
3
3
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
3
3
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Hurkacz
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 22 49
Pts 75-65 168-135
Total Points 140 303
Winners 32 76
%Winners 43% 45%

Alcaraz played 1 match while Hurkacz competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Hubert Hurkacz lost 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t lost a set so far. Alcaraz has played 3 set(s) less than Hurkacz (2 vs 5). Therefore, Alcaraz played 27 games less than Hurkacz. The Spaniard scored 32 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Pole fired 76 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Hurkacz
Aces 4 32
Avg per match 4 16
1st in 45/78 96/144
%1st in 58% 67%
1st pts 32/45 76/96
%1st pts 71% 79%
2nd pts 22/33 24/48
%2nd pts 67% 50%

Alcaraz blasted 4 aces . Hurkacz blasted 32 aces (16 per match). Alcaraz won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Hurkacz won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Hurkacz
Won 1 8
Converted 1/3 8/14
% Converted 33% 57%
Conceded 3 8
Saved 3 5
% Saved 100% 63%
Times Broken 0 3

The Spaniard broke his opponent once with a 33% conversion rate. Carlos was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Hubert broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Hubert conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R2
Shelton
Total
Score 6-3 7-63
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 75-65 75-65
Total points 140 140
Winners 32 32
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 45/78 45/78
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 32/45 32/45
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 22/33 22/33
% 2nd pts 67% 67%
Breaks
Won 1 1
Converted 1/3 1/3
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Hurkacz
R1
Bublik
R2
Kecmanovic
Total
Score 6-3 7-62 5-7 6-3 6-0
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 22 27 49
pts 74-60 94-75 168-135
Total points 134 169 303
Winners 31 45 76
%Winners 42% 48% 45%
SERVE
Aces 7 25 32
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 41/62 55/82 96/144
% 1st in 66% 67% 67%
1st pts 31/41 45/55 76/96
% 1st pts 76% 82% 79%
2nd pts 11/21 13/27 24/48
% 2nd pts 52% 48% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/7 4/7 8/14
Converted % 57% 57% 57%
Conceded 3 5 8
Saved 1/3 4/5 5
Saved % 33% 80% 113%
Times Broken 2 1 3

Tennis Scores in Toronto

Upcoming matches in the draw