Daniil Medvedev and Lorenzo Musetti will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the National Bank Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.23
Lorenzo Musetti -> 4.2

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Lorenzo Musetti

There is no head to head record between Daniil Medvedev and Lorenzo Musetti since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 3, Daniil reached the 3^rd round after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-2 7-5). During the match, Medvedev scored 71 points vs Arnaldi’s 57. Medvedev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev made 9 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniil broke Arnaldi 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Medvedev has a superlative win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (470-187). 25-3 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 206-65 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he beat Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he beat Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.

Medvedev has a compiled 47-9 win-loss record in 2023, 25-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 19, the Italian reached the 3^rd round after defeating Yoshihito Nishioka 6-4 6-1 and Thanasi Kokkinakis 4-6 7-5 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Kokkinakis, Musetti recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-4). During the match Musetti scored 105 points vs Kokkinakis’s 98. Musetti was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Musetti scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (40/53) of his 1st serve and 59% (30/51) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Kokkinakis 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Lorenzo’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Australia.

The Italian has a composed 28-18 win-loss record in 2023, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Musetti has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Medvedev	Musetti
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	5
Tot Games	20	49
Pts	71-57	164-141
Total Points	128	305
Winners	31	64
%Winners	44%	39%

Medvedev played 1 match while Musetti competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti conceded 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Medvedev has played 3 set(s) less than Musetti (2 vs 5). Therefore, Medvedev played 29 games less than Musetti. The Russian scored 31 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian fired 64 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Medvedev	Musetti
Aces	9	15
Avg per match	9	7.5
1st in	43/61	81/156
%1st in	70%	52%
1st pts	31/43	64/81
%1st pts	72%	79%
2nd pts	12/18	44/75
%2nd pts	67%	59%

Medvedev scored 9 aces . Musetti managed to score 15 aces (7.5 per match). Medvedev won 72% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Medvedev	Musetti
Won	3	6
Converted	3/8	6/11
% Converted	38%	55%
Conceded	3	10
Saved	3	8
% Saved	100%	80%
Times Broken	0	2

Daniil broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Daniil extremely effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. Musetti broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
	R2 Arnaldi	Total
Score	6-2 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	71-57	71-57
Total points	128	128
Winners	31	31
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	9	9
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	43/61	43/61
% 1st in	70%	70%
1st pts	31/43	31/43
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	12/18	12/18
% 2nd pts	67%	67%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/8	3/8
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	3/3	3
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Musetti
	R1 Nishioka	R2 Kokkinakis	Total
Score	6-4 6-1	4-6 7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	32	49
pts	59-43	105-98	164-141
Total points	102	203	305
Winners	24	40	64
%Winners	41%	38%	39%
SERVE
Aces	11	4	15
Double Faults	0	3	3
1st in	28/52	53/104	81/156
% 1st in	54%	51%	52%
1st pts	24/28	40/53	64/81
% 1st pts	86%	75%	79%
2nd pts	14/24	30/51	44/75
% 2nd pts	58%	59%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/5	3/6	6/11
Converted %	60%	50%	55%
Conceded	2	8	10
Saved	2/2	6/8	8
Saved %	100%	75%	175%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Tennis Scores in Toronto

• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-6³) – See score progression
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-7 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-6⁷ 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Hubert Hurkacz/Mate PavicHurkacz/Mate Pavic – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (6-7² 7-6² 10-5) – See score progression
• Milos RaonicRaonic – Taro DanielDaniel (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Fabrice Martin/Andreas MiesMartin/Andreas Mies (4-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Marcos GironGiron – Holger RuneRune (6-2 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6² 6-7² 6-3) – See score progression
• Andy MurrayMurray – Max PurcellPurcell (7-6² 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 4-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(2) 6-7(2) 6-3) – See score progression
• Marcos GironGiron – Holger RuneRune (6-2 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 4-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Andy MurrayMurray – Max PurcellPurcell (7-6(2) 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-1 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andy MurrayMurray – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Milos RaonicRaonic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-4) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Marcos GironGiron (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Casper RuudRuud (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-0) – H2H and prediction