Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi will square off in the 2nd round of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.15
Matteo Arnaldi -> 5.45
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Matteo Arnaldi
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in Dubai back in February 2023.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi – Dubai 28-February-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Daniil will start his run in Montreal after he played his last match at Wimbledon where he lost 6-3 6-3 6-3 to Alcaraz in the semifinal on the 14th of July.
Daniil has a compiled 46-9 win-loss record in 2023, 24-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.
Talking about his overall career, The Russian has an overall 470-189 record. He has a positive 205-65 record on hard.
Previously in Montreal
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2021. See his history.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-26 | 11-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 66, the Italian reached the 2nd round after beating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-4, Matija Pecotic 6-4 6-4 and Vasek Pospisil 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Pospisil (6-4 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 70 points vs Pospisil’s 57. Arnaldi was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Arnaldi scored 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 57% of his first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Pospisil 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he defeated Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Heilbronn Challenger where he defeated Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 7-6(4) 6-1.
Arnaldi has an aggregate 39-18 win-loss record in 2023, 13-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.
Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Casper RuudRuud – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (7-66 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marcos GironGiron – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – Milos RaonicRaonic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Max PurcellPurcell – Andy MurrayMurray (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Gael MonfilsMonfils (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Aleksandar VukicVukic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction