Nathan Ponwith and Quinn Vandecasteele will square off in the qualifications of the Cary 1 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:00 pm on COURT 15. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Quinn Vandecasteele who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Quinn Vandecasteele is the pick to win this match.
Quinn Vandecasteele -> 1.43
Nathan Ponwith -> 2.67
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Prediction and head to head Nathan Ponwith vs. Quinn Vandecasteele
This will be the 2nd time that Nathan Ponwith and Quinn Vandecasteele face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Vandecasteele (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Vandecasteele won 6-3 6-3 in the 2nd round in M15 Los Angeles back in June 2023.
Nathan Ponwith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-15 | 12-10 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-32 | 18-25 | 2-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-27 | 19-15 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-14 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 419, the American got to the qualifications after beating Joseph Wayand 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Nathan had a good straight sets win against Wayand (6-4 6-2). During the match, Ponwith scored 67 points vs Wayand’s 50. The American was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ponwith struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nathan Ponwith was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (25/33) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ponwith broke Wayand 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Ponwith has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 57% of his matches (130-97). 16-15 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ponwith has a composed100-71 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Nathan’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Wesley Chapel and M25 Calabasas.
Nathan has an aggregate 20-19 win-loss record in 2023, 16-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary 1 Challenger
Quinn Vandecasteele
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 6-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-13 | 28-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-8 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 858, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Strong Kirchheimer 5-7 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications against Kirchheimer, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-2). During the match Vandecasteele scored 95 points vs Kirchheimer’s 83. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Vandecasteele managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Quinn Vandecasteele lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Vandecasteele put 43% of his first serves in, winning 82% (31/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (23/50) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Kirchheimer 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Vandecasteele’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Los Angeles,M15 Irvine and M25 Edwardsville.
The American has a composed 27-6 win-loss record in 2023, 27-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ponwith | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 29 |
| Pts | 67-50 | 95-83 |
| Total Points | 117 | 178 |
| Winners | 25 | 31 |
| %Winners | 37% | 33% |
Both Ponwith and Vandecasteele played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Quinn Vandecasteele dropped 1 set while Nathan Ponwith hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ponwith has played 1 set(s) less than Vandecasteele (2 vs 3). Therefore, Ponwith played 11 games less than Vandecasteele. Ponwith scored 25 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Vandecasteele fired 31 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ponwith | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 13 |
| 1st in | 33/49 | 38/88 |
| %1st in | 67% | 43% |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 31/38 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 12/16 | 23/50 |
| %2nd pts | 75% | 46% |
Ponwith fired 3 aces . Vandecasteele fired 13 aces . Ponwith won 76% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Vandecasteele won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ponwith | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/11 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 27% | 55% |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. The American quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Vandecasteele broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ponwith | |||
| Q1 Wayand |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 67-50 | 67-50 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/49 | 33/49 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 25/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/16 | 12/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 75% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Vandecasteele | |||
| Q1 Kirchheimer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 95-83 | 95-83 | |
| Total points | 178 | 178 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 38/88 | 38/88 | |
| % 1st in | 43% | 43% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 31/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/50 | 23/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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