Matteo Arnaldi and Matija Pecotic will fight against each other in the qualifications of the National Bank Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on COURT 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.24
Matija Pecotic -> 3.74
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Matija Pecotic
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Matija Pecotic since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-23 | 16-12 | 10-9 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 65 (career-high), the Italian reached the qualifications after defeating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Kovacevic (6-4 6-4). During the match, Arnaldi scored 63 points vs Kovacevic’s 52. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arnaldi bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi was very effective on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Arnaldi broke Kovacevic twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Arnaldi has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (173-100). 11-9 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Arnaldi has an aggregate47-22 record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he beat Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he overcame Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Heilbronn Challenger where he beat Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 7-6(4) 6-1.
Matteo has an overall 37-18 win-loss record in 2023, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Arnaldi has never competed in this tournament before.
Matija Pecotic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-11 | 12-5 | 4-4 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-4 | 14-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 435, the Croatian reached the qualifications after beating Ilya Ivashka 6-2 7-63.
In the qualifications, Matija had a good straight sets win against Ivashka (6-2 7-63). During the match Pecotic scored 71 points vs Ivashka’s 52. Matija was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Pecotic bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Matija Pecotic lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Pecotic put 68% of his first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the 2nd serve. Matija broke Ivashka 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Pecotic’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Orange Park and the Salinas Challenger.
Matija has a compiled 17-9 win-loss record in 2023, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Pecotic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 21 |
| Pts | 63-52 | 71-52 |
| Total Points | 115 | 123 |
| Winners | 26 | 25 |
| %Winners | 41% | 35% |
Both Arnaldi and Pecotic played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Pecotic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Arnaldi played 1 game less than Pecotic. Arnaldi scored 26 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian blasted 25 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Pecotic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 3 |
| 1st in | 34/55 | 36/53 |
| %1st in | 62% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 25/36 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 9/17 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 53% |
Arnaldi struck 8 aces . Pecotic bagged 3 aces . Arnaldi won 76% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Pecotic won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Pecotic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 40% | 56% |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Matteo broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Pecotic broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Matija conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | |||
| Q1 Kovacevic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 63-52 | 63-52 | |
| Total points | 115 | 115 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/55 | 34/55 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 26/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 15/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Pecotic | |||
| Q1 Ivashka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 71-52 | 71-52 | |
| Total points | 123 | 123 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 36/53 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 25/36 | 25/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 9/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLLWWW
LLLLWLWWLW 
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