Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alex De Minaur will clash against each other in the final of the Abierto de Tenis Mifel for the 13th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 8:00 pm on ESTADIO MEXTENIS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefanos Tsitsipas who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the pick to win this match.
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.42
Alex De Minaur -> 2.875
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Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 13th time that Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alex De Minaur clash against each other. The head to head is 11-1 for Tsitsipas (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Tsitsipas won 6-4 6-2 in the quarter in Barcelona back in April 2023.
Highlights Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex De Minaur – Barcelona 21-April-2023
Stefanos Tsitsipas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-15 | 10-7 | 7-5 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 13-11 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, the Greek reached the final after beating John Isner 6-2 6-4, Nicolas Jarry 6-76 7-64 6-2 and Borna Coric 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Coric (6-3 6-2). During the match, Tsitsipas scored 56 points vs Coric’s 29. Tsitsipas was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tsitsipas bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Stefanos Tsitsipas was quite efficient on serve to win 87% (26/30) of his 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Stefanos broke Coric 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tsitsipas has lost 1 set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.
Tsitsipas has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of his matches (431-192). 14-3 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tsitsipas has an aggregate163-79 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Tsitsipas’s best result of the current year was reaching the final at the Australian Open and Barcelona.
Stefanos has an overall 38-13 win-loss record in 2023, 14-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Los Cabos
Stefanos has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-15 | 19-7 | 10-5 | 5-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, De Minaur got to the final after beating Skander Mansouri 6-4 6-4, Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-2 6-1, Tommy Paul 6-4 3-6 6-3 and Dominik Koepfer 6-2 6-75 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Australian defeated Koepfer (6-2 6-75 6-1). During the match De Minaur scored 94 points vs Koepfer’s 71. De Minaur was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, De Minaur recorded 3 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 52% of his first serves in, winning 67% (28/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (25/39) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Koepfer 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he defeated Tommy Paul in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.
The Australian has a composed 27-15 win-loss record in 2023, 14-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tsitsipas | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 91 |
| Pts | 229-163 | 305-245 |
| Total Points | 392 | 550 |
| Winners | 103 | 103 |
| %Winners | 45% | 34% |
Tsitsipas played 3 matches while De Minaur competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Stefanos Tsitsipas surrendered 1 set, while Alex De Minaur dropped 2 sets. Tsitsipas has played 3 set(s) less than De Minaur (7 vs 10). Therefore, Tsitsipas played 22 games less than De Minaur. The Greek scored 103 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Alex fired 103 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tsitsipas | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 8.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 123/186 | 140/259 |
| %1st in | 66% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 103/123 | 103/140 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 42/63 | 64/119 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 54% |
Tsitsipas scored 26 aces (8.7 per match). De Minaur struck 9 aces (2.3 per match). Tsitsipas won 84% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tsitsipas | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 21 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 21/34 |
| % Converted | 50% | 62% |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 9 |
Tsitsipas broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Stefanos lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 21 times with a 62% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tsitsipas | |||||
| R2 Isner |
1/4 Jarry |
1/2 Coric |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-76 7-64 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 34 | 17 | 69 | |
| pts | 65-43 | 108-91 | 56-29 | 229-163 | |
| Total points | 108 | 199 | 85 | 392 | |
| Winners | 28 | 49 | 26 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 45% | 46% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/47 | 61/96 | 30/43 | 123/186 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 64% | 70% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 49/61 | 26/30 | 103/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 80% | 87% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 23/35 | 10/13 | 42/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 66% | 77% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/6 | 3/5 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 60% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | – | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| De Minaur | ||||||
| R1 Mansouri |
R2 Agustin Tirante |
1/4 Paul |
1/2 Koepfer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | 6-2 6-75 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 15 | 28 | 28 | 91 | |
| pts | 72-60 | 55-30 | 84-84 | 94-71 | 305-245 | |
| Total points | 132 | 85 | 168 | 165 | 550 | |
| Winners | 22 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 35% | 40% | 30% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 26/55 | 22/35 | 50/88 | 42/81 | 140/259 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 63% | 57% | 52% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 22/26 | 19/22 | 34/50 | 28/42 | 103/140 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 86% | 68% | 67% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/29 | 9/13 | 19/38 | 25/39 | 64/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 69% | 50% | 64% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/9 | 4/5 | 7/9 | 21/34 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 56% | 80% | 78% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 2/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 25% | 40% | 22% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWLWLW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (11-1) – H2H and prediction
