Jessica Pegula and Maria Sakkari will play each other in the semifinal of the Mubadala Citi DC Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.56
Maria Sakkari -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Maria Sakkari
This will be the 8th time that Jessica Pegula and Maria Sakkari fight against each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats),but they are 3-3 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Pegula won 6-2 4-6 6-1 in the semifinal in Doha back in February 2023.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Maria Sakkari – Doha 17-February-2023
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the American got to the semifinal after defeating Peyton Stearns 6-3 6-4 and Elina Svitolina 4-6 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter against Svitolina, Jessica recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Pegula scored 95 points vs Svitolina’s 83. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula scored 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jessica Pegula was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (39/49) of her 1st serve and 59% (26/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Jessica broke Svitolina twice after converting 40% of her break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jessica has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (277-160). 23-6 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a composed 164-84 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Australia where she beat Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.
The American has an aggregate 37-12 win-loss record in 2023, 23-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 14-19 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 12-8 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Greek reached the semifinal after beating Leylah Annie Fernandez 7-5 6-2 and Madison Keys 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, Sakkari had a good straight sets win against Keys (6-3 6-3). During the match Sakkari scored 65 points vs Keys’s 50. Sakkari was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Sakkari scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Maria Sakkari was very effective on serve to win 82% (27/33) of her 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Greek broke Keys 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maria hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Maria’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Australia, Linz, Doha, Indian Wells, Madrid and Berlin.
Sakkari has a compiled 26-14 win-loss record in 2023, 14-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Sakkari has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 38 |
| Pts | 161-136 | 139-106 |
| Total Points | 297 | 245 |
| Winners | 60 | 51 |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% |
Both Pegula and Sakkari played 2 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula surrendered 1 set while Maria Sakkari hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set more than Sakkari (5 vs 4). Therefore, Pegula played 10 games more than Sakkari. The American scored 60 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Maria recorded 51 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 78/148 | 65/104 |
| %1st in | 53% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 60/78 | 51/65 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 35/70 | 23/39 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 59% |
Pegula scored 6 aces (3 per match). Sakkari fired 6 aces (3 per match). Pegula won 77% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Sakkari won 78% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/18 | 8/23 |
| % Converted | 44% | 35% |
| Conceded | 12 | 4 |
| Saved | 8 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
The American broke her opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Jessica conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Maria broke her opponents 8 times with a 35% conversion rate. Sakkari conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||
| R2 Stearns |
1/4 Svitolina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 29 | 48 | |
| pts | 66-53 | 95-83 | 161-136 | |
| Total points | 119 | 178 | 297 | |
| Winners | 21 | 39 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 29/55 | 49/93 | 78/148 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 39/49 | 60/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 80% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/26 | 26/44 | 35/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 59% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 2/5 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 40% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 6/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 86% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Sakkari | ||||
| R2 Annie |
1/4 Keys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 | 38 | |
| pts | 74-56 | 65-50 | 139-106 | |
| Total points | 130 | 115 | 245 | |
| Winners | 24 | 27 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 42% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 32/50 | 33/54 | 65/104 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 27/33 | 51/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 82% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 12/21 | 23/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 57% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 3/10 | 8/23 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 30% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWWWL
LWWLLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Washington
- Lucas PouillePouille – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (6-3 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Tomas BerdychBerdych (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
