Liudmila Samsonova and Marta Kostyuk will fight against each other in the quarter of the Mubadala Citi DC Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on JOHN HARRIS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.62
Marta Kostyuk -> 2.3

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Marta Kostyuk

This will be the 3rd time that Liudmila Samsonova and Marta Kostyuk fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Samsonova won 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the qualifications in Palermo back in 2020.

Liudmila Samsonova

Liudmila Samsonova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
17
High
12
LWLWWLLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-23 15-15 8-5 0-0 7-3 0-0
2024 26-23 12-15 6-5 0-0 8-3 0-0
2023 34-24 25-15 4-4 1-1 4-4 0-0
2022 30-17 26-10 3-4 0-0 1-3 0-0
2021 39-22 15-9 6-9 8-3 10-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 18, Samsonova reached the quarter after defeating Danielle Rose Collins 6-1 6-3 and Sorana Cirstea 6-1 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Ludmilla had a good straight sets win against Cirstea (6-1 6-3). During the match, Samsonova scored 55 points vs Cirstea’s 32. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Samsonova managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (25/29) of her 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ludmilla broke Cirstea 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ludmilla hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 63% of the points she played.

Samsonova has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 64% of her matches (252-144). 10-8 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Samsonova has an overall83-47 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Samsonova’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Abu Dhabi.

The Russian has a composed 18-16 win-loss record in 2023, 10-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Washington
Samsonova's Record

Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
26
High
16
LLWWWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-20 19-13 7-4 2-0 0-3 0-0
2024 34-22 24-14 8-5 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 26-22 22-16 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2022 28-20 18-11 3-4 4-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-17 8-9 10-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 34 (career-high), the Ukrainian got to the quarter after beating Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 2-6 6-3 7-65 and Caroline Garcia 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Kostyuk had a good straight sets win against Garcia (6-2 6-3). During the match Kostyuk scored 61 points vs Garcia’s 37. The Ukrainian was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.

About the serving games, Kostyuk recorded 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Marta Kostyuk was very efficient on serve to win 86% (19/22) of her 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kostyuk broke Garcia 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kostyuk has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Austin where she overcame Varvara Gracheva in the final 6-3 7-5.

The Ukrainian has a compiled 22-14 win-loss record in 2023, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Marta has never competed in this tournament before.

Washington
Kostyuk's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Samsonova
M.Kostyuk
2h:12
2h:12
Time on court​
!
3h:47
3h:47
!
0h:59
0h:59
Last match​
1h:04
1h:04
2
2
Match played
2
2
32
32
Games Played​
47
47
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
116
116
Total points​
162
162
58
58
Avg point​
81
81
46
46
Winners
60
60
23
23
Avg Winners​
30
30
40%
40%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
5
5
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
6
6
Double Faults
9
9
3
3
Avg Double Faults
4.5
4.5
46/56
46/56
1st won total​
60/91
60/91
!
82%
82%
1st won %
66%
66%
23/39
23/39
2nd won total​
39/73
39/73
59%
59%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
8/11
8/11
BP won
8/19
8/19
4/5.5
4/5.5
Avg BP won
4/9.5
4/9.5
!
73%
73%
Won
42%
42%
2
2
Conceded
15
15
1
1
Avg Conceded
7.5
7.5
0
0
Broken
5
5
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
2
2
Saved
10
10
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Samsonova Kostyuk
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 32 47
Pts 116-69 162-145
Total Points 185 307
Winners 46 60
%Winners 40% 37%

Both Samsonova and Kostyuk played 2 matches. At the moment, Marta Kostyuk dropped 1 set while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t dropped a set so far. Samsonova has played 1 set(s) less than Kostyuk (4 vs 5). Therefore, Samsonova played 15 games less than Kostyuk. Ludmilla scored 46 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk made 60 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Samsonova Kostyuk
Aces 7 5
Avg per match 3.5 2.5
1st in 56/95 91/164
%1st in 59% 55%
1st pts 46/56 60/91
%1st pts 82% 66%
2nd pts 23/39 39/73
%2nd pts 59% 53%

Samsonova bagged 7 aces (3.5 per match). Kostyuk scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Samsonova won 82% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Samsonova Kostyuk
Won 8 8
Converted 8/11 8/19
% Converted 73% 42%
Conceded 2 15
Saved 2 10
% Saved 100% 67%
Times Broken 0 5

Samsonova broke her opponents 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. Ludmilla very solid her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Kostyuk conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Samsonova
R1
Collins		 R2
Cirstea		 Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 16 32
pts 61-37 55-32 116-69
Total points 98 87 185
Winners 21 25 46
%Winners 34% 45% 40%
SERVE
Aces 4 3 7
Double Faults 3 3 6
1st in 27/52 29/43 56/95
% 1st in 52% 67% 59%
1st pts 21/27 25/29 46/56
% 1st pts 78% 86% 82%
2nd pts 15/25 8/14 23/39
% 2nd pts 60% 57% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/6 4/5 8/11
Converted % 67% 80% 73%
Conceded 2 0 2
Saved 2/2 0/0 2
Saved % 100% – 50%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Kostyuk
R1
Andreescu		 R2
Garcia		 Total
Score 2-6 6-3 7-65 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 30 17 47
pts 101-108 61-37 162-145
Total points 209 98 307
Winners 41 19 60
%Winners 41% 31% 37%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 5
Double Faults 8 1 9
1st in 69/121 22/43 91/164
% 1st in 57% 51% 55%
1st pts 41/69 19/22 60/91
% 1st pts 59% 86% 66%
2nd pts 24/52 15/21 39/73
% 2nd pts 46% 71% 53%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/11 4/8 8/19
Converted % 36% 50% 42%
Conceded 14 1 15
Saved 9/14 1/1 10
Saved % 64% 100% 82%
Times Broken 5 0 5

Tennis Scores in Washington

Upcoming matches in the draw

Samsonova
More Stats
Click here
Kostyuk

Click for FULL STATS