Yuki Mochizuki and Makoto Ochi will square off in the qualifications of the Lexington Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on COURT 6. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yuki Mochizuki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yuki Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Yuki Mochizuki -> 1.56
Makoto Ochi -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Yuki Mochizuki vs. Makoto Ochi
This will be the 2nd time that Yuki Mochizuki and Makoto Ochi clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mochizuki (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Mochizuki won 2-6 6-2 3-0 ret. in the 1st round in the Kobe Challenger back in 2019.
Yuki Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-19 | 15-15 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-26 | 21-23 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 18-12 | 14-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-8 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 484, Yuki got to the qualifications after beating Andre Ilagan 6-4 7-65.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Ilagan (6-4 7-65). During the match, Mochizuki scored 78 points vs Ilagan’s 68. Mochizuki was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mochizuki scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Yuki Mochizuki lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 73% of his first serves in, winning 68% (39/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Ilagan 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Mochizuki has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 64% of his matches (134-76). 16-14 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mochizuki has an aggregate93-55 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Yuki’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Changwon.
The Japanese has an aggregate 25-17 win-loss record in 2023, 16-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
Makoto Ochi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-20 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-27 | 26-25 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-24 | 33-21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-17 | 17-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 608, the Japanese got to the qualifications after defeating Calum Puttergill 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications, Ochi had a good straight sets win against Puttergill (6-1 6-3). During the match Ochi scored 72 points vs Puttergill’s 53. Ochi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Ochi recorded 3 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Makoto Ochi conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 8 break points. Furthermore, Ochi put 66% of his first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Puttergill 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Makoto has an overall 11-16 win-loss record in 2023, 11-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Ochi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 |
| Pts | 78-68 | 72-53 |
| Total Points | 146 | 125 |
| Winners | 39 | 33 |
| %Winners | 50% | 46% |
Both Mochizuki and Ochi played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mochizuki and Ochi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mochizuki played 7 games more than Ochi. The Japanese scored 39 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Makoto managed to score 33 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Ochi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 57/78 | 47/71 |
| %1st in | 73% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 39/57 | 33/47 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 13/24 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 54% |
Mochizuki scored 1 ace . Ochi also struck 3 aces . Mochizuki won 68% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Ochi won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Ochi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/12 |
| % Converted | 60% | 33% |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Saved | 2 | 8 |
| % Saved | 50% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Mochizuki dropped his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Ochi broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Makoto was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 8 break points.
| Mochizuki | |||
| Q1 Ilagan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 78-68 | 78-68 | |
| Total points | 146 | 146 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 57/78 | 57/78 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 39/57 | 39/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Ochi | |||
| Q1 Puttergill |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 72-53 | 72-53 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 47/71 | 47/71 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 33/47 | 33/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 13/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 8/8 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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