Beibit Zhukayev and Keegan Smith will play each other in the qualifications of the Abierto de Tenis Mifel for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 8:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Beibit Zhukayev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Beibit Zhukayev is the pick to win this match.
Beibit Zhukayev -> 1.5
Keegan Smith -> 2.46
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Prediction and head to head Beibit Zhukayev vs. Keegan Smith
This will be the 2nd time that Beibit Zhukayev and Keegan Smith face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Smith (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Smith won 7-6(4) 7-6(7) in the qualifications in the Orlando Challenger back in 2022.
Beibit Zhukayev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-25 | 14-16 | 6-4 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-30 | 19-16 | 1-3 | 11-8 | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 43-30 | 33-21 | 1-2 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-21 | 13-10 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 270, the Kazakhstani reached the qualifications after beating Luca Lemaitre 7-69 6-4.
In the qualifications, Zhukayev had a good straight sets win against Lemaitre (7-69 6-4). During the match, Zhukayev scored 91 points vs Lemaitre’s 76. The Kazakhstani was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zhukayev recorded 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Beibit Zhukayev was very efficient on serve to win 89% (34/38) of his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Kazakhstani broke Lemaitre twice after converting 18% of his break points (2/11).
Zhukayev has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 52% of his matches (124-116). 12-11 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Zhukayev has an overall82-59 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Beibit’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Trimbach and the Little Rock Challenger.
The Kazakhstani has an overall 23-23 win-loss record in 2023, 12-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Los Cabos
The Kazakhstani has never competed in this tournament before.
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-18 | 28-16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 586, Smith reached the qualifications after defeating Patrick Kypson 6-3 6-74 6-2.
In the qualifications, Keegan defeated Kypson (6-3 6-74 6-2). During the match Smith scored 95 points vs Kypson’s 74. Keegan was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.
About the serving games, Smith scored 19 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Keegan Smith was very effective on serve to win 83% (48/58) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Kypson 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Keegan’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M15 Rancho Santa Fe and M15 San Diego.
Keegan has a composed 21-13 win-loss record in 2023, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zhukayev | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 30 |
| Pts | 91-76 | 95-74 |
| Total Points | 167 | 169 |
| Winners | 34 | 48 |
| %Winners | 37% | 51% |
Both Zhukayev and Smith played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Keegan Smith dropped 1 set while Beibit Zhukayev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Zhukayev has played 1 set(s) less than Smith (2 vs 3). Therefore, Zhukayev played 7 games less than Smith. Beibit scored 34 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Keegan struck 48 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zhukayev | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 19 |
| 1st in | 38/73 | 58/79 |
| %1st in | 52% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 34/38 | 48/58 |
| %1st pts | 89% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 14/21 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 67% |
Zhukayev recorded 11 aces . Smith fired 19 aces . Zhukayev won 89% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zhukayev | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 4 |
| Converted | 2/11 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 18% | 57% |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Beibit broke his opponent twice with a 18% conversion rate. Beibit conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Smith was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Zhukayev | |||
| Q1 Lemaitre |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-69 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 91-76 | 91-76 | |
| Total points | 167 | 167 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/73 | 38/73 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 34/38 | 34/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 18/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/11 | 2/11 | |
| Converted % | 18% | 18% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Kypson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-74 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 95-74 | 95-74 | |
| Total points | 169 | 169 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 19 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 58/79 | 58/79 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 48/58 | 48/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 14/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWWLWW
LWWLWLWWWW 
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