Denis Yevseyev and Khumoun Sultanov will square off in the final of the Astana Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Yevseyev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Yevseyev is the pick to win this match.
Denis Yevseyev -> 1.85
Khumoun Sultanov -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Denis Yevseyev vs. Khumoun Sultanov
This will be the 2nd time that Denis Yevseyev and Khumoun Sultanov play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Yevseyev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Yevseyev won 7-5 5-7 6-1 in the quarter in Belarus F1 (Minsk) back in 2017.
Denis Yevseyev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-36 | 14-14 | 12-12 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-36 | 23-16 | 16-14 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 39-31 | 11-9 | 12-12 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 36-30 | 4-5 | 22-15 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-14 | 10-9 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 412, Yevseyev got to the final after defeating Ajeet Rai 6-4 6-1, Orel Kimhi 7-5 6-1, Alexander Zgirovsky 6-2 6-4 and Yanki Erel 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, Yevseyev had a good straight sets win against Erel (6-4 6-4). During the match, Yevseyev scored 78 points vs Erel’s 66. The Kazakhstani was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Yevseyev managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Denis Yevseyev lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Yevseyev put 63% of his first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Erel 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Denis hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Yevseyev has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (319-254). 9-10 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Yevseyev has an overall 155-115 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Denis’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Astana Challenger.
Yevseyev has a composed 26-24 win-loss record in 2023, 9-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Astana Challenger
Khumoun Sultanov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 71-22 | 52-13 | 19-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-24 | 28-9 | 7-5 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| 2022 | 35-22 | 4-3 | 25-13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 22-19 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-10 | 7-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 550, Sultanov got to the final after beating Shuichi Sekiguchi 7-65 6-4, Dmitry Popko 6-74 6-0 2-1 ret., Evgeny Philippov 5-7 6-4 6-4 and Evgeny Karlovskiy 6-3 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Uzbek had a good straight sets win against Karlovskiy (6-3 6-1). During the match Sultanov scored 62 points vs Karlovskiy’s 41. The Uzbek was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Sultanov recorded 9 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Khumoun Sultanov was very efficient on serve to win 78% (21/27) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Khumoun broke Karlovskiy 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Khumoun has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Khumoun’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Al Zahra and M25 Saint Dizier.
Sultanov has an overall 26-13 win-loss record in 2023, 13-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Yevseyev | Sultanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 74 | 93 |
| Pts | 274-211 | 342-294 |
| Total Points | 485 | 636 |
| Winners | 84 | 126 |
| %Winners | 31% | 37% |
Both Yevseyev and Sultanov played 4 matches. At the moment, Khumoun Sultanov surrendered 2 sets while Denis Yevseyev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Yevseyev has played 3 set(s) less than Sultanov (8 vs 11). Therefore, Yevseyev played 19 games less than Sultanov. Yevseyev scored 84 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Sultanov blasted 126 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Yevseyev | Sultanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 129/234 | 179/327 |
| %1st in | 55% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 84/129 | 126/179 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 59/105 | 74/148 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 50% |
Yevseyev fired 6 aces (1.5 per match). Sultanov managed to score 20 aces (5 per match). Yevseyev won 65% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Sultanov won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Yevseyev | Sultanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 19 |
| Converted | 20/36 | 19/34 |
| % Converted | 56% | 56% |
| Conceded | 17 | 31 |
| Saved | 8 | 21 |
| % Saved | 47% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 10 |
Yevseyev broke his opponents 20 times with a 56% conversion rate. Yevseyev conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded. Khumoun broke his opponents 19 times with a 56% conversion rate. Khumoun conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Yevseyev | ||||||
| R1 Rai |
R2 Kimhi |
1/4 Zgirovsky |
1/2 Erel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 7-5 6-1 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 74 | |
| pts | 66-49 | 69-49 | 61-47 | 78-66 | 274-211 | |
| Total points | 115 | 118 | 108 | 144 | 485 | |
| Winners | 21 | 18 | 18 | 27 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 26% | 30% | 35% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 29/58 | 32/63 | 28/49 | 40/64 | 129/234 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 51% | 57% | 63% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 18/32 | 18/28 | 27/40 | 84/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 56% | 64% | 68% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/29 | 19/31 | 15/21 | 13/24 | 59/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 61% | 71% | 54% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/7 | 4/7 | 4/10 | 20/36 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 86% | 57% | 40% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 5/8 | 0/1 | 3/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 63% | 0% | 60% | 31% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| Sultanov | ||||||
| R1 Sekiguchi |
R2 Popko |
1/4 Philippov |
1/2 Karlovskiy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | 6-74 6-0 2-1 ret. | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 32 | 16 | 93 | |
| pts | 73-65 | 85-66 | 122-122 | 62-41 | 342-294 | |
| Total points | 138 | 151 | 244 | 103 | 636 | |
| Winners | 28 | 31 | 46 | 21 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 36% | 38% | 34% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 33/62 | 42/71 | 77/142 | 27/52 | 179/327 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 59% | 54% | 52% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 31/42 | 46/77 | 21/27 | 126/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 74% | 60% | 78% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 12/29 | 30/65 | 16/25 | 74/148 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 41% | 46% | 64% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 6/11 | 7/8 | 4/8 | 19/34 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 55% | 88% | 50% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 24 | 3 | 31 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/3 | 18/24 | 3/3 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWWWLW
WWWLWWWWLL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Khumoun SultanovSultanov – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
