Tatjana Maria and Rebecca Sramkova will play each other in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Poland Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tatjana Maria who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tatjana Maria is the pick to win this match.
Tatjana Maria -> 1.51
Rebecca Sramkova -> 2.56

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Prediction and head to head Tatjana Maria vs. Rebecca Sramkova

There is no head to head record between Tatjana Maria and Rebecca Sramkova since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Tatjana Maria

Tatjana Maria

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
41
High
36
LLLWWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-32 16-18 2-9 1-1 11-4 0-0
2024 35-36 16-19 5-10 9-3 5-4 0-0
2023 43-31 24-17 12-8 0-1 7-5 0-0
2022 47-29 17-12 14-6 6-6 10-5 0-0
2021 7-15 3-8 3-5 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 65, Tatjana reached the quarter after defeating Natalija Stevanovic 6-3 6-1 and Clara Tauson 6-4 6-0.

In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Tauson (6-4 6-0). During the match, Maria scored 58 points vs Tauson’s 40. The German was quite aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Talking about the service games, Maria made 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Tatjana Maria lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Maria put 44% of her first serves in, winning 77% (17/22) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Maria was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Tauson 6 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tatjana hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points she played.

Maria has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (306-245). 13-9 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Maria has an aggregate 127-119 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title the W40 Pune where she defeated Nigina Abduraimova in the final 6-1 6-1 and in Bogota where she beat Peyton Stearns in the final 6-3 2-6 6-4.

Maria has a composed 32-22 win-loss record in 2023, 13-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Warsaw

Warsaw
Maria's Record

Rebecca Sramkova

Rebecca Sramkova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
73
High
33
LLLWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-30 14-18 2-6 2-2 5-4 0-0
2024 46-23 23-11 14-9 9-2 0-1 0-0
2023 44-25 10-7 22-9 11-8 1-1 0-0
2022 25-23 3-5 13-11 8-6 1-1 0-0
2021 29-22 7-7 13-9 8-5 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 174, the Slovakian got to the quarter after beating Naiktha Bains 4-6 6-2 6-4, Maddison Inglis 6-1 6-0, Weronika Ewald 6-2 6-2 and Karolina Muchova 7-5 3-6 7-5.

In the 2nd round, The Slovakian defeated Muchova (7-5 3-6 7-5). During the match Sramkova scored 108 points vs Muchova’s 107. The Slovakian was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Sramkova blasted 2 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Rebecca Sramkova lost the serve 8 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Sramkova put 53% of her first serves in, winning 55% (34/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (26/56) on the 2nd serve. Rebecca broke Muchova 8 times after converting 67% of her break points (8/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rebecca started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title the W25 Bath where she defeated Tereza Smitkova in the final 6-2 6-2 and the W40 Otocec where she beat Seone Mendez in the final 6-3 7-6(2).

Sramkova has a compiled 34-16 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Warsaw
Sramkova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Maria
R.Sramkova
2h:34
2h:34
Time on court​
!
7h:41
7h:41
1h:20
1h:20
Last match​
!
3h:01
3h:01
2
2
Match played
!
4
4
32
32
Games Played​
90
90
4
4
Set played​​
10
10
116
116
Total points​
338
338
58
58
Avg point​
84.5
84.5
36
36
Winners
110
110
18
18
Avg Winners​
27.5
27.5
31%
31%
Ratio winners
33%
33%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
14
14
3
3
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
4
4
Double Faults
19
19
2
2
Avg Double Faults
4.8
4.8
36/49
36/49
1st won total​
110/157
110/157
!
73%
73%
1st won %
70%
70%
21/44
21/44
2nd won total​
69/144
69/144
48%
48%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
12/13
12/13
BP won
23/49
23/49
6/6.5
6/6.5
Avg BP won
5.8/12.3
5.8/12.3
!
92%
92%
Won
47%
47%
7
7
Conceded
26
26
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
4
4
Broken
12
12
2
2
Avg Broken
3
3
3
3
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Maria Sramkova
Match played 2 4
Tot Set 4 10
Tot Games 32 90
Pts 116-76 338-275
Total Points 192 613
Winners 36 110
%Winners 31% 33%

Maria played 2 matches while Sramkova competed in 4 matches. Sramkova started her run from the qualifications while Maria had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Rebecca Sramkova surrendered 2 sets while Tatjana Maria hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Maria has played 6 set(s) less than Sramkova (4 vs 10). Therefore, Maria played 58 games less than Sramkova. Tatjana scored 36 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Sramkova scored 110 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Maria Sramkova
Aces 6 14
Avg per match 3 3.5
1st in 49/93 157/301
%1st in 53% 52%
1st pts 36/49 110/157
%1st pts 73% 70%
2nd pts 21/44 69/144
%2nd pts 48% 48%

Maria recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Sramkova managed to score 14 aces (3.5 per match). Maria won 73% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Sramkova won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Maria Sramkova
Won 12 23
Converted 12/13 23/49
% Converted 92% 47%
Conceded 7 26
Saved 3 14
% Saved 43% 54%
Times Broken 4 12

Maria broke her opponents 12 times with a 92% conversion rate. Tatjana dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Rebecca broke her opponents 23 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Slovakian conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.

Maria
R1
Kostic
R2
Tauson
Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 16 32
pts 58-36 58-40 116-76
Total points 94 98 192
Winners 19 17 36
%Winners 33% 29% 31%
SERVE
Aces 4 2 6
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 27/43 22/50 49/93
% 1st in 63% 44% 53%
1st pts 19/27 17/22 36/49
% 1st pts 70% 77% 73%
2nd pts 8/16 13/28 21/44
% 2nd pts 50% 46% 48%
Breaks
Won 6 6 12
Converted 6/7 6/6 12/13
Converted % 86% 100% 92%
Conceded 2 5 7
Saved 0/2 3/5 3
Saved % 0% 60% 30%
Times Broken 2 2 4
Sramkova
Q1
Bains
Q3
Inglis
R1
Ewald
R2
Muchova
Total
Score 4-6 6-2 6-4 6-1 6-0 6-2 6-2 7-5 3-6 7-5
Tot Set 3 2 2 3 10
Tot Games 28 13 16 33 90
pts 116-106 54-25 60-37 108-107 338-275
Total points 222 79 97 215 613
Winners 32 20 24 34 110
%Winners 28% 37% 40% 31% 33%
SERVE
Aces 3 5 4 2 14
Double Faults 6 1 3 9 19
1st in 42/95 24/41 29/47 62/118 157/301
% 1st in 44% 59% 62% 53% 52%
1st pts 32/42 20/24 24/29 34/62 110/157
% 1st pts 76% 83% 83% 55% 70%
2nd pts 25/53 10/17 8/18 26/56 69/144
% 2nd pts 47% 59% 44% 46% 48%
Breaks
Won 5 5 5 8 23
Converted 5/20 5/7 5/10 8/12 23/49
Converted % 25% 71% 50% 67% 47%
Conceded 5 3 2 16 26
Saved 2/5 3/3 1/2 8/16 14
Saved % 40% 100% 50% 50% 120%
Times Broken 3 0 1 8 12

Tennis Scores in Warsaw

Upcoming matches in the draw