Karolina Muchova and Rebecca Sramkova will face off in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Poland Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.069
Rebecca Sramkova -> 8.5
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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Rebecca Sramkova
This will be the 2nd time that Karolina Muchova and Rebecca Sramkova clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sramkova (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sramkova won 6-4 6-4 in the qualifications in Paris back in 2018.
Karolina Muchova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-8 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, the Czech reached the 2nd round after defeating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 4-6 7-60 6-3.
In the 1st round against Sasnovich, The Czech recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-60 6-3). During the match, Muchova scored 101 points vs Sasnovich’s 92. The Czech was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Muchova fired 7 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 64% (37/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (24/43) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Sasnovich 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Muchova has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (193-97). 16-5 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Muchova has a compiled85-37 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Czech’s best result of the current season was getting to the final at the French Open .
The Czech has a composed 26-9 win-loss record in 2023, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Warsaw
The Czech has never competed in this tournament before.
Rebecca Sramkova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-23 | 23-11 | 14-9 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-25 | 10-7 | 22-9 | 11-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-23 | 3-5 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-22 | 7-7 | 13-9 | 8-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-10 | 5-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 174, Sramkova got to the 2nd round after defeating Naiktha Bains 4-6 6-2 6-4, Maddison Inglis 6-1 6-0 and Weronika Ewald 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Slovakian had a good straight sets win against Ewald (6-2 6-2). During the match Sramkova scored 60 points vs Ewald’s 37. Sramkova was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Sramkova bagged 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Rebecca Sramkova lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sramkova put 62% of her first serves in, winning 83% (24/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. The Slovakian broke Ewald 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Her best result of the current year was winning the title the W25 Bath where she beat Tereza Smitkova in the final 6-2 6-2 and the W40 Otocec where she beat Seone Mendez in the final 6-3 7-6(2).
Rebecca has a compiled 33-16 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muchova | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 57 |
| Pts | 101-92 | 230-168 |
| Total Points | 193 | 398 |
| Winners | 37 | 76 |
| %Winners | 37% | 33% |
Muchova played 1 match while Sramkova competed in 3 matches. Sramkova started her run from the qualifications while Muchova had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Karolina Muchova surrendered 1 set, while Rebecca Sramkova dropped 1 set. Muchova has played 4 set(s) less than Sramkova (3 vs 7). Therefore, Muchova played 25 games less than Sramkova. Muchova scored 37 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Rebecca struck 76 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muchova | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 4 |
| 1st in | 58/101 | 95/183 |
| %1st in | 57% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 37/58 | 76/95 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 24/43 | 43/88 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 49% |
Muchova scored 7 aces . Sramkova struck 12 aces (4 per match). Muchova won 64% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Sramkova won 80% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muchova | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 15 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 15/37 |
| % Converted | 50% | 41% |
| Conceded | 13 | 10 |
| Saved | 8 | 6 |
| % Saved | 62% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
Muchova broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded. Rebecca broke her opponents 15 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Slovakian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.
| Muchova | |||
| R1 Sasnovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-60 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 101-92 | 101-92 | |
| Total points | 193 | 193 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 58/101 | 58/101 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 37/58 | 37/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/43 | 24/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 8/13 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 62% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Sramkova | |||||
| Q1 Bains |
Q3 Inglis |
R1 Ewald |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | 6-1 6-0 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 13 | 16 | 57 | |
| pts | 116-106 | 54-25 | 60-37 | 230-168 | |
| Total points | 222 | 79 | 97 | 398 | |
| Winners | 32 | 20 | 24 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 37% | 40% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 42/95 | 24/41 | 29/47 | 95/183 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 59% | 62% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 32/42 | 20/24 | 24/29 | 76/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 83% | 83% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/53 | 10/17 | 8/18 | 43/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 59% | 44% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/20 | 5/7 | 5/10 | 15/37 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 71% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 100% | 50% | 190% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWW
LWWWLWWWWL Tennis Scores in Warsaw
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- Tatjana MariaMaria – Clara TausonTauson (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aljaz BedeneBedene – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-2 5-7 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Pablo AndujarAndujar (4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo CuevasCuevas – Gastao EliasElias (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Tennys SandgrenSandgren (4-6 6-4 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Marin CilicCilic (6-3 7-68) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Nicolas KickerKicker (6-73 6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Claire LiuLiu – Yue YuanYuan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktoria KuzmovaKuzmova – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Heather WatsonWatson – Yuliya HatoukaHatouka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini – Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Lin ZhuZhu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
