Rio Noguchi and Illya Marchenko will fight against each other in the quarter of the Salinas Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on CANCHA R. VIVER. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Illya Marchenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Illya Marchenko is the pick to win this match.
Illya Marchenko -> 1.54
Rio Noguchi -> 2.4
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Illya Marchenko
There is no head to head record between Rio Noguchi and Illya Marchenko since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-29 | 36-21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-12 | 5-6 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 231, the Japanese reached the quarter after defeating Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 6-4 7-5 and Andres Andrade 7-63 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Noguchi had a good straight sets win against Andrade (7-63 6-1). During the match, Noguchi scored 73 points vs Andrade’s 55. Noguchi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Noguchi wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Rio Noguchi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 61% of his first serves in, winning 63% (26/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi broke Andrade 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Noguchi hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Noguchi has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (279-183). 5-6 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Noguchi has an aggregate181-106 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Noguchi has a composed 10-17 win-loss record in 2023, 5-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Salinas Challenger
Rio has never competed in this tournament before.
Illya Marchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-22 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-22 | 17-5 | 6-6 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 26-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 328, Marchenko reached the quarter after beating Omni Kumar 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Evgeny Donskoy 7-5 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Marchenko had a good straight sets win against Donskoy (7-5 7-5). During the match Marchenko scored 76 points vs Donskoy’s 63. Illya was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Marchenko scored 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Illya Marchenko lost the serve 5 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Marchenko put 55% of his first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. Illya broke Donskoy 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ukrainian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Marchenko’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Puerto Vallarta Challenger.
The Ukrainian has a compiled 23-14 win-loss record in 2023, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Noguchi | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 52 |
| Pts | 145-120 | 161-141 |
| Total Points | 265 | 302 |
| Winners | 58 | 59 |
| %Winners | 40% | 37% |
Both Noguchi and Marchenko played 2 matches. At the moment, Illya Marchenko dropped 1 set while Rio Noguchi hasn’t dropped a set so far. Noguchi has played 1 set(s) less than Marchenko (4 vs 5). Therefore, Noguchi played 10 games less than Marchenko. Noguchi scored 58 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Illya recorded 59 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Noguchi | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 89/142 | 81/154 |
| %1st in | 63% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 58/89 | 59/81 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 27/53 | 36/73 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 49% |
Noguchi managed to score 4 aces (2 per match). Marchenko managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Noguchi won 65% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Marchenko won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Noguchi | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 10 |
| Converted | 10/15 | 10/17 |
| % Converted | 67% | 59% |
| Conceded | 15 | 13 |
| Saved | 10 | 6 |
| % Saved | 67% | 46% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 7 |
Noguchi broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. Rio surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Ukrainian broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded.
| Noguchi | ||||
| R1 Daniel |
R2 Andrade |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 7-63 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 20 | 42 | |
| pts | 72-65 | 73-55 | 145-120 | |
| Total points | 137 | 128 | 265 | |
| Winners | 32 | 26 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 36% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 48/75 | 41/67 | 89/142 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/48 | 26/41 | 58/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 63% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 12/26 | 27/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 46% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/8 | 10/15 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 75% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 6/9 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Marchenko | ||||
| R1 Kumar |
R2 Donskoy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 24 | 52 | |
| pts | 85-78 | 76-63 | 161-141 | |
| Total points | 163 | 139 | 302 | |
| Winners | 35 | 24 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 32% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 46/90 | 35/64 | 81/154 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 55% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 24/35 | 59/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 69% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/44 | 12/29 | 36/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 41% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 7/13 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 54% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 1/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 17% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWWWWL
LLLLLLLLLL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Altug CelikbilekCelikbilek – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Omar JasikaJasika – Matija PecoticPecotic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
