Casper Ruud and Andrey Rublev will square off in the final of the Nordea Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.74
Andrey Rublev -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Andrey Rublev
This will be the 7th time that Casper Ruud and Andrey Rublev face off. The head to head is 4-2 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Ruud won 6-2 6-4 in the semifinal in Nitto atp finals back in 2022.
Highlights Casper Ruud vs Andrey Rublev – Nitto atp finals 19-November-2022
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50-24 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Norwegian reached the final after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-4, Sebastian Ofner 6-3 6-4 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 7-5.
In the semifinal, Casper had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-3 7-5). During the match, Ruud scored 75 points vs Musetti’s 61. The Norwegian was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Casper Ruud was very effective on serve to win 74% (35/47) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Casper broke Musetti twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ruud hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 65% of his matches (342-183). 20-6 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has a composed210-93 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Estoril where he beat Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-2 7-6(3).
Ruud has a compiled 26-13 win-loss record in 2023, 20-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-25 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Russian reached the final after defeating Pavel Kotov 6-3 7-64, Alexander Zverev 6-2 6-3 and Francisco Cerundolo 7-66 6-77 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Russian defeated Cerundolo (7-66 6-77 6-3). During the match Rublev scored 126 points vs Cerundolo’s 119. Rublev was extremely aggressive to blast 60 winners.
Talking about serving, Rublev struck 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (60/78) of his 1st serve and 54% (26/48) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Cerundolo 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rublev has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Carlo where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5.
Rublev has a compiled 38-14 win-loss record in 2023, 17-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 74 |
| Pts | 216-162 | 258-223 |
| Total Points | 378 | 481 |
| Winners | 87 | 114 |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% |
Both Ruud and Rublev played 3 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev lost 1 set while Casper Ruud hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ruud has played 1 set(s) less than Rublev (6 vs 7). Therefore, Ruud played 16 games less than Rublev. Casper scored 87 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Rublev scored 114 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 111/194 | 148/250 |
| %1st in | 57% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 87/111 | 114/148 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 49/83 | 55/102 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 54% |
Ruud blasted 9 aces (3 per match). Rublev recorded 18 aces (6 per match). Ruud won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 9 |
| Converted | 8/19 | 9/25 |
| % Converted | 42% | 36% |
| Conceded | 8 | 17 |
| Saved | 7 | 14 |
| % Saved | 88% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
The Norwegian broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Ruud lost his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Andrey broke his opponents 9 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||||
| R2 Shevchenko |
1/4 Ofner |
1/2 Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 21 | 58 | |
| pts | 68-45 | 73-56 | 75-61 | 216-162 | |
| Total points | 113 | 129 | 136 | 378 | |
| Winners | 25 | 27 | 35 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 31/58 | 33/64 | 47/72 | 111/194 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 52% | 65% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 27/33 | 35/47 | 87/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 82% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 19/31 | 15/25 | 49/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 61% | 60% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/8 | 2/4 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 25% | 50% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 100% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Rublev | |||||
| R2 Kotov |
1/4 Zverev |
1/2 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-66 6-77 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 35 | 74 | |
| pts | 78-65 | 54-39 | 126-119 | 258-223 | |
| Total points | 143 | 93 | 245 | 481 | |
| Winners | 30 | 24 | 60 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% | 48% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 40/70 | 30/54 | 78/126 | 148/250 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 56% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 24/30 | 60/78 | 114/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 80% | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 14/24 | 26/48 | 55/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 58% | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/5 | 3/9 | 9/25 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 60% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/2 | 10/11 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 91% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Casper RuudRuud – Andrey RublevRublev (2-4) – H2H and prediction
