Andrey Rublev and Francisco Cerundolo will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Nordea Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.54
Francisco Cerundolo -> 2.48
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Francisco Cerundolo
This will be the 2nd time that Andrey Rublev and Francisco Cerundolo fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Cerundolo won 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in Hamburg back in 2022.
Highlights Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev – Hamburg 21-July-2022
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-7 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Russian reached the semifinal after defeating Pavel Kotov 6-3 7-64 and Alexander Zverev 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-2 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 54 points vs Zverev’s 39. Andrey was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev scored 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Andrey Rublev was quite efficient on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rublev broke Zverev 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrey hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (399-219). 16-4 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has an overall 99-62 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Carlo where he beat Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5.
The Russian has a composed 37-14 win-loss record in 2023, 16-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Francisco Cerundolo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-6 | 7-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Cerundolo got to the semifinal after defeating Luca Van Assche 6-2 6-3 and Federico Coria 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, Cerundolo had a good straight sets win against Coria (6-3 6-3). During the match Cerundolo scored 70 points vs Coria’s 61. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Cerundolo blasted 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 58% of his first serves in, winning 66% (23/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (10/25) on the 2nd serve. Cerundolo broke Coria 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Francisco hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Eastbourne where he overcame Tommy Paul in the final 6-4 1-6 6-4.
The Argentine has a compiled 31-17 win-loss record in 2023, 18-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 35 |
| Pts | 132-104 | 133-110 |
| Total Points | 236 | 243 |
| Winners | 54 | 48 |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% |
Both Rublev and Cerundolo played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rublev and Cerundolo have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Rublev played 4 games more than Cerundolo. Rublev scored 54 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Cerundolo fired 48 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 70/124 | 67/116 |
| %1st in | 56% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 54/70 | 48/67 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 29/54 | 20/49 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 41% |
Rublev bagged 9 aces (4.5 per match). Cerundolo recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Rublev won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 11 |
| Converted | 6/16 | 11/21 |
| % Converted | 38% | 52% |
| Conceded | 6 | 13 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 67% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Andrey broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Francisco broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Cerundolo conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R2 Kotov |
1/4 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 39 | |
| pts | 78-65 | 54-39 | 132-104 | |
| Total points | 143 | 93 | 236 | |
| Winners | 30 | 24 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 40/70 | 30/54 | 70/124 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 24/30 | 54/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 80% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 14/24 | 29/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 58% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/5 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 60% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Cerundolo | ||||
| R2 Van |
1/4 Coria |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 63-49 | 70-61 | 133-110 | |
| Total points | 112 | 131 | 243 | |
| Winners | 25 | 23 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 32/56 | 35/60 | 67/116 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 25/32 | 23/35 | 48/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 66% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/24 | 10/25 | 20/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 40% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 6/11 | 11/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 55% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 5/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 63% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWWWLW
WWLWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Bastad
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Federico CoriaCoria (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Filip MisolicMisolic (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Gonzalo Escobar/Aleksandr NedovyesovEscobar/Aleksandr Nedovyesov – Nikola Cacic/Dusan LajovicCacic/Dusan Lajovic (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler – Sander Arends/David PelArends/David Pel (6-73 6-4 10-6) – See score progression
- Francisco Cabral/Rafael MatosCabral/Rafael Matos – Fabrice Martin/Andreas MiesMartin/Andreas Mies (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Filip MisolicMisolic (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Federico CoriaCoria (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Casper RuudRuud – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Andrey RublevRublev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
