Casper Ruud and Lorenzo Musetti will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Nordea Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.53
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.51
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 3rd time that Casper Ruud and Lorenzo Musetti face off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Musetti won 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the 3rd round in Paris back in 2022.
Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud – Paris 03-November-2022
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-10 | 17-5 | 21-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Casper got to the semifinal after defeating Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-4 and Sebastian Ofner 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, The Norwegian had a good straight sets win against Ofner (6-3 6-4). During the match, Ruud scored 73 points vs Ofner’s 56. The Norwegian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud blasted 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud was quite effective on serve to win 82% (27/33) of his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Casper broke Ofner twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ruud hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 65% of his matches (341-183). 19-6 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has a composed209-93 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Estoril where he defeated Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-2 7-6(3).
The Norwegian has an overall 25-13 win-loss record in 2023, 19-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-19 | 6-7 | 10-8 | 1-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Lorenzo reached the semifinal after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-3 4-6 7-66 and Filip Misolic 4-6 6-1 6-2.
In the quarter against Misolic, Lorenzo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Musetti scored 99 points vs Misolic’s 78. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Musetti bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was quite effective on serve to win 74% (37/50) of his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lorenzo broke Misolic 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Musetti has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Musetti’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Australia.
Lorenzo has a composed 24-16 win-loss record in 2023, 14-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 57 |
| Pts | 141-101 | 202-174 |
| Total Points | 242 | 376 |
| Winners | 52 | 75 |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% |
Both Ruud and Musetti played 2 matches. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti lost 2 sets while Casper Ruud hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ruud has played 2 set(s) less than Musetti (4 vs 6). Therefore, Ruud played 20 games less than Musetti. Casper scored 52 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian scored 75 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 64/122 | 99/168 |
| %1st in | 52% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 52/64 | 75/99 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 34/58 | 37/69 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 54% |
Ruud bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Musetti fired 11 aces (5.5 per match). Ruud won 81% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 8 |
| Converted | 6/15 | 8/28 |
| % Converted | 40% | 29% |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Saved | 6 | 4 |
| % Saved | 86% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Casper broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Casper conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponents 8 times with a 29% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | ||||
| R2 Shevchenko |
1/4 Ofner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 37 | |
| pts | 68-45 | 73-56 | 141-101 | |
| Total points | 113 | 129 | 242 | |
| Winners | 25 | 27 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 31/58 | 33/64 | 64/122 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 27/33 | 52/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 82% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 19/31 | 34/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 61% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/8 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 25% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Musetti | ||||
| R2 Arnaldi |
1/4 Misolic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 7-66 | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 25 | 57 | |
| pts | 103-96 | 99-78 | 202-174 | |
| Total points | 199 | 177 | 376 | |
| Winners | 38 | 37 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 49/87 | 50/81 | 99/168 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 38/49 | 37/50 | 75/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 74% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/38 | 19/31 | 37/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 61% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/16 | 8/28 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 25% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 3/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 75% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWL
LWWWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Bastad
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Federico CoriaCoria (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Filip MisolicMisolic (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Gonzalo Escobar/Aleksandr NedovyesovEscobar/Aleksandr Nedovyesov – Nikola Cacic/Dusan LajovicCacic/Dusan Lajovic (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler – Sander Arends/David PelArends/David Pel (6-73 6-4 10-6) – See score progression
- Francisco Cabral/Rafael MatosCabral/Rafael Matos – Fabrice Martin/Andreas MiesMartin/Andreas Mies (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Filip MisolicMisolic (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Federico CoriaCoria (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Casper RuudRuud – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Andrey RublevRublev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
