Daria Kasatkina and Jasmine Paolini will face off in the quarter of the Palermo Ladies Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 8:00 pm on Center Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.333
Jasmine Paolini -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 5th time that Daria Kasatkina and Jasmine Paolini fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Kasatkina and Paolini (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Paolini won 5-7 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in Palermo back in 2020.
Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Daria Kasatkina – Palermo 03-August-2020
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-13 | 12-8 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Russian reached the quarter after defeating Martina Trevisan 6-3 6-72 6-0 and Tatiana Prozorova 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Prozorova (6-3 6-1). During the match, Kasatkina scored 64 points vs Prozorova’s 43. Kasatkina was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasatkina was unable to score even 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 5 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 57% of her first serves in, winning 76% (22/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Prozorova 6 times after converting 40% of her break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Darya has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (325-183). 12-5 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kasatkina has an aggregate 119-49 record in the last years on clay.
Darya’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Adelaide and Eastbourne.
Darya has a compiled 23-16 win-loss record in 2023, 12-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Palermo
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-12 | 12-6 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 52, Paolini got to the quarter after defeating Arantxa Rus 6-4 5-7 6-2 and Dayana Yastremska 2-6 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Yastremska, Jasmine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Paolini scored 85 points vs Yastremska’s 76. Jasmine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Paolini made 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 67% of her first serves in, winning 62% (32/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Yastremska 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paolini has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title the Florence where she beat Taylor Townsend in the final 6-3 7-5.
Paolini has a composed 21-18 win-loss record in 2023, 14-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Palermo
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 56 |
| Pts | 164-124 | 183-157 |
| Total Points | 288 | 340 |
| Winners | 69 | 76 |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% |
Both Kasatkina and Paolini played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daria Kasatkina surrendered 1 set, while Jasmine Paolini conceded 2 sets. Kasatkina has played 1 set(s) less than Paolini (5 vs 6). Therefore, Kasatkina played 12 games less than Paolini. Kasatkina scored 69 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Paolini managed to score 76 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 100/141 | 114/162 |
| %1st in | 71% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 69/100 | 76/114 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 15/41 | 29/48 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 60% |
Kasatkina managed to score 3 aces (1.5 per match). Paolini managed to score 3 aces (1.5 per match). Kasatkina won 69% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 9 |
| Converted | 13/29 | 9/22 |
| % Converted | 45% | 41% |
| Conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Saved | 6 | 6 |
| % Saved | 55% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Darya broke her opponents 13 times with a 45% conversion rate. Kasatkina surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded. Paolini broke her opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Paolini conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | ||||
| R1 Trevisan |
R2 Prozorova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-72 6-0 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 16 | 44 | |
| pts | 100-81 | 64-43 | 164-124 | |
| Total points | 181 | 107 | 288 | |
| Winners | 47 | 22 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 34% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 71/90 | 29/51 | 100/141 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 57% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 47/71 | 22/29 | 69/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 76% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/19 | 9/22 | 15/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 41% | 37% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 6/15 | 13/29 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 40% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 2/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 50% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Paolini | ||||
| R1 Rus |
R2 Yastremska |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 5-7 6-2 | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 26 | 56 | |
| pts | 98-81 | 85-76 | 183-157 | |
| Total points | 179 | 161 | 340 | |
| Winners | 44 | 32 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 38% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 62/84 | 52/78 | 114/162 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 67% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 44/62 | 32/52 | 76/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 62% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 14/26 | 29/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 54% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 5/9 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 56% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWLWLW
WWLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Palermo
- Yana Sizikova/Kimberley ZimmermannSizikova/Kimberley Zimmermann – Dalila Spiteri/Aurora ZantedeschiSpiteri/Aurora Zantedeschi (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Viktor TroickiTroicki (6-1 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mirza BasicBasic – Maximilian MartererMarterer (6-4 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jozef KovalikKovalik – Marcos BaghdatisBaghdatis (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marius CopilCopil – Gilles MullerMuller (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Clara BurelBurel (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Mayar SherifSherif (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
