Andrey Rublev and Alexander Zverev will square off in the quarter of the Nordea Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.89
Andrey Rublev -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Alexander Zverev
This will be the 7th time that Andrey Rublev and Alexander Zverev clash against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Rublev won 6-3 7-6(9) in the semifinal in Dubai back in March 2023.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Alexander Zverev – Dubai 03-March-2023
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Pavel Kotov 6-3 7-64.
In the 2nd round, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Kotov (6-3 7-64). During the match, Rublev scored 78 points vs Kotov’s 65. Rublev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 57% of his first serves in, winning 75% (30/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke Kotov 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (398-219). 15-4 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has an aggregate 98-62 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Carlo where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5.
Andrey has an aggregate 36-14 win-loss record in 2023, 15-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-11 | 12-7 | 3-1 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, the German reached the quarter after beating Alex Molcan 6-4 3-6 7-5 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-1 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Moura Monteiro (6-1 6-0). During the match Zverev scored 51 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 21. Zverev was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Zverev scored 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alexander Zverev conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 80% of his first serves in, winning 79% (26/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (4/8) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Moura Monteiro 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Zverev’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Dubai, Geneva,at the French Open and Halle.
Zverev has a compiled 28-17 win-loss record in 2023, 15-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2015. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 44 |
| Pts | 78-65 | 155-120 |
| Total Points | 143 | 275 |
| Winners | 30 | 76 |
| %Winners | 38% | 49% |
Rublev played 1 match while Zverev competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Alexander Zverev conceded 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rublev has played 3 set(s) less than Zverev (2 vs 5). Therefore, Rublev played 22 games less than Zverev. The Russian scored 30 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Zverev fired 76 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 40/70 | 99/131 |
| %1st in | 57% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 76/99 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 12/32 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 38% |
Rublev made 3 aces . Zverev blasted 8 aces (4 per match). Rublev won 75% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 9 |
| Converted | 3/11 | 9/23 |
| % Converted | 27% | 39% |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Russian broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Andrey surrendered his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Zverev broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||
| R2 Kotov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 78-65 | 78-65 | |
| Total points | 143 | 143 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 40/70 | 40/70 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 30/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 15/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Zverev | ||||
| R1 Molcan |
R2 Moura Monteiro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 13 | 44 | |
| pts | 104-99 | 51-21 | 155-120 | |
| Total points | 203 | 72 | 275 | |
| Winners | 50 | 26 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 51% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 66/90 | 33/41 | 99/131 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 80% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 50/66 | 26/33 | 76/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/24 | 4/8 | 12/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 50% | 38% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/15 | 5/8 | 9/23 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 63% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 2/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 150% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLWWLW
LWWWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Bastad
- Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler – Sander Arends/David PelArends/David Pel (6-73 6-4 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Federico CoriaCoria – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Andrey RublevRublev (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Filip MisolicMisolic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
