Alex Michelsen and Yuta Shimizu will square off in the final of the Chicago Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.52
Yuta Shimizu -> 2.45
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Yuta Shimizu
There is no head to head record between Alex Michelsen and Yuta Shimizu since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-20 | 11-7 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 250, Michelsen reached the final after beating Li Tu 7-63 6-75 7-65, Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-2, Kei Nishikori 7-613 3-6 6-1 and Juncheng Shang 4-6 7-5 6-3.
In the semifinal against Shang, Alex recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-3). During the match, Michelsen and Shang scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 250 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The American was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Michelsen wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the match and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Alex Michelsen conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Michelsen has surrendered 3 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Michelsen has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 2 years having won 71% of his matches (60-24). 19-6 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Michelsen has a compiled33-14 record in the last 2 years on hard.
Michelsen’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Malibu,M15 Edmond,the Rome Challenger and M25 Calabasas.
The American has a composed 37-14 win-loss record in 2023, 19-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Chicago Challenger
Alex has never competed in this tournament before.
Yuta Shimizu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-13 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 35-23 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-23 | 36-21 | 7-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-12 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-1 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 252, Yuta reached the final after defeating Evan Zhu 6-2 6-4, Yunseong Chung 6-3 5-7 6-3, Jason Jung 6-2 7-5 and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-65 7-65.
In the semifinal, Shimizu had a good straight sets win against Mpetshi Perricard (7-65 7-65). During the match Shimizu scored 88 points vs Mpetshi Perricard’s 84. Yuta was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Shimizu scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Yuta Shimizu was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (40/51) of his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yuta has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Yuta’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Burnie and the Puerto Vallarta Challenger.
Shimizu has a composed 28-14 win-loss record in 2023, 28-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 117 | 94 |
| Pts | 298-262 | 335-299 |
| Total Points | 560 | 634 |
| Winners | 124 | 136 |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% |
Both Michelsen and Shimizu played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Michelsen surrendered 3 sets, while Yuta Shimizu conceded 1 set. Michelsen has played 2 sets more than Shimizu (11 vs 9). Therefore, Michelsen played 23 games more than Shimizu. Michelsen scored 124 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Shimizu made 136 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 168/270 | 191/312 |
| %1st in | 62% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 124/168 | 136/191 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 70/102 | 62/121 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 51% |
Michelsen made 25 aces (6.3 per match). Shimizu scored 9 aces (2.3 per match). Michelsen won 74% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Shimizu won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 16 |
| Converted | 7/20 | 16/36 |
| % Converted | 35% | 44% |
| Conceded | 19 | 22 |
| Saved | 16 | 14 |
| % Saved | 84% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 |
Michelsen broke his opponents 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 3 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded. Yuta broke his opponents 16 times with a 44% conversion rate. Yuta conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | ||||||
| R1 Tu |
R2 Kovacevic |
1/4 Nishikori |
1/2 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-75 7-65 | 6-4 6-2 | 7-613 3-6 6-1 | 4-6 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 18 | 29 | 31 | 117 | |
| pts | 123-115 | 64-46 | 111-101 | – | 298-262 | |
| Total points | 238 | 110 | 212 | 0 | 560 | |
| Winners | 57 | 26 | 41 | 124 | ||
| %Winners | 46% | 41% | 37% | 0% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 13 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | ||
| 1st in | 75/115 | 32/50 | 61/105 | / | 168/270 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 64% | 58% | 0% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 57/75 | 26/32 | 41/61 | / | 124/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 81% | 67% | 0% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 31/40 | 12/18 | 27/44 | / | 70/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 67% | 61% | 0% | 69% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | ||
| Converted | 0/6 | 3/7 | 4/7 | / | 7/20 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 43% | 57% | 0% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19 | ||
| Saved | 5/5 | 2/2 | 9/12 | 0/ | 16 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 75% | – | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | ||
| Shimizu | ||||||
| R1 Zhu |
R2 Chung |
1/4 Jung |
1/2 Mpetshi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 5-7 6-3 | 6-2 7-5 | 7-65 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 30 | 20 | 26 | 94 | |
| pts | 70-58 | 98-92 | 79-65 | 88-84 | 335-299 | |
| Total points | 128 | 190 | 144 | 172 | 634 | |
| Winners | 28 | 43 | 25 | 40 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% | 32% | 45% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 40/60 | 62/95 | 38/68 | 51/89 | 191/312 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 65% | 56% | 57% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 28/40 | 43/62 | 25/38 | 40/51 | 136/191 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 69% | 66% | 78% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 14/33 | 15/30 | 24/38 | 62/121 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 42% | 50% | 63% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 6/10 | 5/12 | 0/4 | 16/36 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 60% | 42% | 0% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 22 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 2/6 | 5/7 | 2/2 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 33% | 71% | 100% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWLLLLW
LWLWWWWLLW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
