Juncheng Shang and Alex Michelsen will play each other in the semifinal of the Chicago Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juncheng Shang who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juncheng Shang is the pick to win this match.
Juncheng Shang -> 1.75
Alex Michelsen -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Juncheng Shang vs. Alex Michelsen
This will be the 2nd time that Juncheng Shang and Alex Michelsen clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Michelsen (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Michelsen won 7-5 4-6 7-6(5) in the 1st round in the Tiburon Challenger back in 2022.
Juncheng Shang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-14 | 9-5 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-23 | 21-14 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-24 | 17-8 | 15-10 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-5 | 6-3 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 155 (career-high), the Chinese got to the semifinal after defeating Mikhail Kukushkin 7-65 3-2 ret., Illya Marchenko 7-5 6-3 and Ethan Quinn 7-5 6-1.
In the quarter, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Quinn (7-5 6-1). During the match, Shang scored 64 points vs Quinn’s 48. Shang was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shang scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Juncheng Shang was pretty efficient on serve to win 88% (29/33) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Chinese broke Quinn 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Juncheng hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Shang has a solid match record in the last 3 years having won 65% of his matches (76-41). 8-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Shang has an overall31-15 win-loss record in the last 3 years on hard.
Juncheng has a compiled 18-12 win-loss record in 2023, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Chicago Challenger
Shang has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-20 | 11-7 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 250, the American reached the semifinal after defeating Li Tu 7-63 6-75 7-65, Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-2 and Kei Nishikori 7-613 3-6 6-1.
In the quarter, The American defeated Nishikori (7-613 3-6 6-1). During the match Michelsen scored 111 points vs Nishikori’s 101. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Michelsen managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 58% of his first serves in, winning 67% (41/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (27/44) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Nishikori 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Malibu,M15 Edmond,the Rome Challenger and M25 Calabasas.
Michelsen has an aggregate 36-14 win-loss record in 2023, 18-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shang | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 86 |
| Pts | 203-166 | 298-262 |
| Total Points | 369 | 560 |
| Winners | 87 | 124 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Both Shang and Michelsen played 3 matches. At the moment, Alex Michelsen lost 2 sets while Juncheng Shang hasn’t lost a set so far. Shang has played 1 set(s) less than Michelsen (7 vs 8). Therefore, Shang played 28 games less than Michelsen. The Chinese scored 87 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Michelsen made 124 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shang | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 8.3 |
| 1st in | 111/173 | 168/270 |
| %1st in | 64% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 87/111 | 124/168 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 33/62 | 70/102 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 69% |
Shang blasted 10 aces (3.3 per match). Michelsen managed to score 25 aces (8.3 per match). Shang won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Michelsen won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shang | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 7 |
| Converted | 10/19 | 7/20 |
| % Converted | 53% | 35% |
| Conceded | 17 | 19 |
| Saved | 14 | 16 |
| % Saved | 82% | 84% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Juncheng broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Shang surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Michelsen broke his opponents 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shang | |||||
| R1 Kukushkin |
R2 Marchenko |
1/4 Quinn |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 3-2 ret. | 7-5 6-3 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 21 | 19 | 58 | |
| pts | 73-64 | 66-54 | 64-48 | 203-166 | |
| Total points | 137 | 120 | 112 | 369 | |
| Winners | 31 | 27 | 29 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% | 45% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 44/63 | 34/53 | 33/57 | 111/173 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 64% | 58% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 27/34 | 29/33 | 87/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 79% | 88% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 9/19 | 13/24 | 33/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 47% | 54% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 5/5 | 3/6 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 100% | 50% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 | 3 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 6/8 | 3/3 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 75% | 100% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Michelsen | |||||
| R1 Tu |
R2 Kovacevic |
1/4 Nishikori |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-75 7-65 | 6-4 6-2 | 7-613 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 18 | 29 | 86 | |
| pts | 123-115 | 64-46 | 111-101 | 298-262 | |
| Total points | 238 | 110 | 212 | 560 | |
| Winners | 57 | 26 | 41 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 41% | 37% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 13 | 5 | 7 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 75/115 | 32/50 | 61/105 | 168/270 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 64% | 58% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 57/75 | 26/32 | 41/61 | 124/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 81% | 67% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 31/40 | 12/18 | 27/44 | 70/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 67% | 61% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 0/6 | 3/7 | 4/7 | 7/20 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 43% | 57% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 2/2 | 9/12 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 75% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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