Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic will face off in the final of Wimbledon for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.52
Carlos Alcaraz -> 2.54

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic

This will be the 3^rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Alcaraz and Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they played each other, Djokovic won 6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1 in the semifinal in at the French Open back in June 2023.

Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz – French Open 09-June-2023

Carlos Alcaraz

Currently world no. 1 Carlos got to the final after beating Jeremy Chardy 6-0 6-2 7-5, Alexandre Muller 6-4 7-6² 6-3, Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-7⁶

6-3 7-5, Matteo Berrettini 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3, Holger Rune 7-6³ 6-4 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-3 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-3 6-3 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 91 points vs Medvedev’s 68. Alcaraz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was very efficient on serve to win 73% (41/56) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alcaraz broke Medvedev 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 80% of his matches (214-55). 11-0 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an aggregate15-2 win-loss record in the last 6 years on grass.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4.

Carlos has an aggregate 46-4 win-loss record in 2023, 11-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Novak Djokovic

Ranked no. 2, Novak got to the final after defeating Pedro Cachin 6-3 6-3 7-6⁴, Jordan Thompson 6-3 7-6⁴ 7-5, Stan Wawrinka 6-3 6-1 7-6⁵, Hubert Hurkacz 7-6⁶ 7-6⁶ 5-7 6-4, Andrey Rublev 4-6 6-1 6-4 6-3 and Jannik Sinner 6-3 6-4 7-6⁴.

In the semifinal, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Sinner (6-3 6-4 7-6⁴

). During the match Djokovic scored 106 points vs Sinner’s 96. The Serbian was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Talking about serving, Djokovic bagged 11 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Novak Djokovic was quite effective on serve to win 75% (49/65) of his 1st serve and 60% (28/47) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Djokovic broke Sinner twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Serbian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Adelaide where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4 and at the Australian Open where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5) and at the French Open where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(1) 6-3 7-5.

Djokovic has an overall 33-4 win-loss record in 2023, 6-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, he won this tournament 7 times in 2011, 2014, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Djokovic
Match played	6	6
Tot Set	20	20
Tot Games	197	210
Pts	702-567	683-566
Total Points	1269	1249
Winners	302	325
%Winners	43%	48%

Both Alcaraz and Djokovic played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 2 sets, while Novak Djokovic surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Djokovic have played the same amount of sets 20. However, Alcaraz played 13 games less than Djokovic. Alcaraz scored 302 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Novak managed to score 325 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Djokovic
Aces	39	66
Avg per match	6.5	11
1st in	388/610	395/610
%1st in	64%	65%
1st pts	302/388	325/395
%1st pts	78%	82%
2nd pts	131/222	134/215
%2nd pts	59%	62%

Alcaraz struck 39 aces (6.5 per match). Djokovic managed to score 66 aces (11 per match). Alcaraz won 78% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Djokovic won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Djokovic
Won	26	18
Converted	26/75	18/54
% Converted	35%	33%
Conceded	25	19
Saved	19	16
% Saved	76%	84%
Times Broken	6	3

Carlos broke his opponents 26 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Novak broke his opponents 18 times with a 33% conversion rate. Djokovic conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R1 Chardy	R2 Muller	R3 Jarry	R4 Berrettini	1/4 Rune	1/2 Medvedev	Total
Score	6-0 6-2 7-5	6-4 7-62 6-3	6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5	3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3	7-63 6-4 6-4	6-3 6-3 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	4	4	3	3	20
Tot Games	26	32	43	36	33	27	197
pts	104-63	124-105	158-142	122-103	103-86	91-68	702-567
Total points	167	229	300	225	189	159	1269
Winners	38	53	72	53	45	41	302
%Winners	37%	43%	46%	43%	44%	45%	43%
SERVE
Aces	10	5	12	4	4	4	39
Double Faults	2	3	7	6	2	3	23
1st in	45/73	70/109	93/151	67/106	57/92	56/79	388/610
% 1st in	62%	64%	62%	63%	62%	71%	64%
1st pts	38/45	53/70	72/93	53/67	45/57	41/56	302/388
% 1st pts	84%	76%	77%	79%	79%	73%	78%
2nd pts	17/28	23/39	30/58	23/39	25/35	13/23	131/222
% 2nd pts	61%	59%	52%	59%	71%	57%	59%
Breaks
Won	7	2	5	4	2	6	26
Converted	7/14	2/14	5/14	4/16	2/3	6/14	26/75
Converted %	50%	14%	36%	25%	67%	43%	35%
Conceded	4	6	7	3	1	4	25
Saved	3/4	6/6	5/7	2/3	1/1	2/4	19
Saved %	75%	100%	71%	67%	100%	50%	77%
Times Broken	1	0	2	1	0	2	6

Djokovic
	R1 Cachin	R2 Thompson	R3 Wawrinka	R4 Hurkacz	1/4 Rublev	1/2 Sinner	Total
Score	6-3 6-3 7-64	6-3 7-64 7-5	6-3 6-1 7-65	7-66 7-66 5-7 6-4	4-6 6-1 6-4 6-3	6-3 6-4 7-64
Tot Set	3	3	3	4	4	3	20
Tot Games	31	34	29	48	36	32	210
pts	107-86	110-89	97-70	142-129	121-96	106-96	683-566
Total points	193	199	167	271	217	202	1249
Winners	44	57	43	79	53	49	325
%Winners	41%	52%	44%	56%	44%	46%	48%
SERVE
Aces	13	8	11	18	5	11	66
Double Faults	3	0	1	3	1	0	8
1st in	57/90	65/94	48/75	89/125	71/114	65/112	395/610
% 1st in	63%	69%	64%	71%	62%	58%	65%
1st pts	44/57	57/65	43/48	79/89	53/71	49/65	325/395
% 1st pts	77%	88%	90%	89%	75%	75%	82%
2nd pts	20/33	19/29	17/27	22/36	28/43	28/47	134/215
% 2nd pts	61%	66%	63%	61%	65%	60%	62%
Breaks
Won	4	2	4	1	5	2	18
Converted	4/11	2/5	4/9	1/8	5/12	2/9	18/54
Converted %	36%	40%	44%	13%	42%	22%	33%
Conceded	3	0	0	2	8	6	19
Saved	2/3	0/0	0/0	1/2	7/8	6/6	16
Saved %	67%	–	–	50%	88%	100%	51%
Times Broken	1	0	0	1	1	0	3

Upcoming matches in the draw

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