Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic will face off in the final of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.52
Carlos Alcaraz -> 2.54
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic
This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Alcaraz and Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Djokovic won 6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1 in the semifinal in at the French Open back in June 2023.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz – French Open 09-June-2023
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JjbWqtnAbxY
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-12 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 5-2 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Carlos got to the final after beating Jeremy Chardy 6-0 6-2 7-5, Alexandre Muller 6-4 7-62 6-3, Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5, Matteo Berrettini 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3, Holger Rune 7-63 6-4 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-3 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-3 6-3 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 91 points vs Medvedev’s 68. Alcaraz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was very efficient on serve to win 73% (41/56) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alcaraz broke Medvedev 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 80% of his matches (214-55). 11-0 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an aggregate15-2 win-loss record in the last 6 years on grass.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4.
Carlos has an aggregate 46-4 win-loss record in 2023, 11-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-5 | 26-1 | 11-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Novak got to the final after defeating Pedro Cachin 6-3 6-3 7-64, Jordan Thompson 6-3 7-64 7-5, Stan Wawrinka 6-3 6-1 7-65, Hubert Hurkacz 7-66 7-66 5-7 6-4, Andrey Rublev 4-6 6-1 6-4 6-3 and Jannik Sinner 6-3 6-4 7-64.
In the semifinal, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Sinner (6-3 6-4 7-64). During the match Djokovic scored 106 points vs Sinner’s 96. The Serbian was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Djokovic bagged 11 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Novak Djokovic was quite effective on serve to win 75% (49/65) of his 1st serve and 60% (28/47) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Djokovic broke Sinner twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Serbian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Adelaide where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4 and at the Australian Open where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5) and at the French Open where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(1) 6-3 7-5.
Djokovic has an overall 33-4 win-loss record in 2023, 6-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, he won this tournament 7 times in 2011, 2014, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 20 | 20 |
| Tot Games | 197 | 210 |
| Pts | 702-567 | 683-566 |
| Total Points | 1269 | 1249 |
| Winners | 302 | 325 |
| %Winners | 43% | 48% |
Both Alcaraz and Djokovic played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 2 sets, while Novak Djokovic surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Djokovic have played the same amount of sets 20. However, Alcaraz played 13 games less than Djokovic. Alcaraz scored 302 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Novak managed to score 325 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 39 | 66 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 11 |
| 1st in | 388/610 | 395/610 |
| %1st in | 64% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 302/388 | 325/395 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 131/222 | 134/215 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 62% |
Alcaraz struck 39 aces (6.5 per match). Djokovic managed to score 66 aces (11 per match). Alcaraz won 78% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Djokovic won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 26 | 18 |
| Converted | 26/75 | 18/54 |
| % Converted | 35% | 33% |
| Conceded | 25 | 19 |
| Saved | 19 | 16 |
| % Saved | 76% | 84% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
Carlos broke his opponents 26 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Novak broke his opponents 18 times with a 33% conversion rate. Djokovic conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||||||
| R1 Chardy |
R2 Muller |
R3 Jarry |
R4 Berrettini |
1/4 Rune |
1/2 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 7-5 | 6-4 7-62 6-3 | 6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5 | 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3 | 7-63 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 | 43 | 36 | 33 | 27 | 197 | |
| pts | 104-63 | 124-105 | 158-142 | 122-103 | 103-86 | 91-68 | 702-567 | |
| Total points | 167 | 229 | 300 | 225 | 189 | 159 | 1269 | |
| Winners | 38 | 53 | 72 | 53 | 45 | 41 | 302 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 46% | 43% | 44% | 45% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 10 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 39 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 45/73 | 70/109 | 93/151 | 67/106 | 57/92 | 56/79 | 388/610 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 64% | 62% | 63% | 62% | 71% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 38/45 | 53/70 | 72/93 | 53/67 | 45/57 | 41/56 | 302/388 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 76% | 77% | 79% | 79% | 73% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 23/39 | 30/58 | 23/39 | 25/35 | 13/23 | 131/222 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 59% | 52% | 59% | 71% | 57% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 26 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 2/14 | 5/14 | 4/16 | 2/3 | 6/14 | 26/75 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 14% | 36% | 25% | 67% | 43% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/6 | 5/7 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 2/4 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 71% | 67% | 100% | 50% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
| Djokovic | ||||||||
| R1 Cachin |
R2 Thompson |
R3 Wawrinka |
R4 Hurkacz |
1/4 Rublev |
1/2 Sinner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 7-64 | 6-3 7-64 7-5 | 6-3 6-1 7-65 | 7-66 7-66 5-7 6-4 | 4-6 6-1 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 34 | 29 | 48 | 36 | 32 | 210 | |
| pts | 107-86 | 110-89 | 97-70 | 142-129 | 121-96 | 106-96 | 683-566 | |
| Total points | 193 | 199 | 167 | 271 | 217 | 202 | 1249 | |
| Winners | 44 | 57 | 43 | 79 | 53 | 49 | 325 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 52% | 44% | 56% | 44% | 46% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 13 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 66 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 57/90 | 65/94 | 48/75 | 89/125 | 71/114 | 65/112 | 395/610 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 69% | 64% | 71% | 62% | 58% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 57/65 | 43/48 | 79/89 | 53/71 | 49/65 | 325/395 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 88% | 90% | 89% | 75% | 75% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/33 | 19/29 | 17/27 | 22/36 | 28/43 | 28/47 | 134/215 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 66% | 63% | 61% | 65% | 60% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 2/5 | 4/9 | 1/8 | 5/12 | 2/9 | 18/54 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 40% | 44% | 13% | 42% | 22% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 19 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 7/8 | 6/6 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | – | 50% | 88% | 100% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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