Pavel Kotov and Jan Choinski will clash against each other in the quarter of the Braunschweig Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:00 pm on COURT 11. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pavel Kotov who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pavel Kotov is the pick to win this match.
Pavel Kotov -> 1.31
Jan Choinski -> 3.3
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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Jan Choinski
There is no head to head record between Pavel Kotov and Jan Choinski since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-9 | 4-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 105, the Russian reached the quarter after defeating Hugo Dellien 7-67 6-2 and Henri Laaksonen 6-0 ret..
In the 2nd round against Laaksonen, Pavel had a free pass after Laaksonen retired on a 6-0 . scoreline.
Kotov has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (235-150). 15-9 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Kotov has an aggregate105-68 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Pavel’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Marrakech and the Troisdorf Challenger.
Kotov has a compiled 28-22 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Braunschweig Challenger
Kotov has never competed in this tournament before.
Jan Choinski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 5-4 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-35 | 1-4 | 30-19 | 5-5 | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 5-5 | 35-14 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 164 (career-high), Jan reached the quarter after defeating Alex Molcan 2-6 6-3 7-63 and Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-73 6-4 7-65.
In the 2nd round against Herbert, Jan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-4 7-65).During the match Choinski scored less points (1) than Herbert. In fact, the world no. 105 won 105 points vs Herbert’s. That means that Choinski was more focused during the important points. Jan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
About the serving games, Choinski scored 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jan Choinski lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 69% of his first serves in, winning 65% (48/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (23/34) on the 2nd serve. The German was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Herbert 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
Jan’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Nussloch,the Cherbourg Challenger,the Mexico City Challenger and the San Luis Potosi Challenger.
Choinski has an overall 28-21 win-loss record in 2023, 17-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 66 |
| Pts | 107-76 | 209-208 |
| Total Points | 183 | 417 |
| Winners | 47 | 83 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Both Kotov and Choinski played 2 matches. At the moment, Jan Choinski surrendered 2 sets while Pavel Kotov hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kotov has played 2 set(s) less than Choinski (4 vs 6). Therefore, Kotov played 39 games less than Choinski. The Russian scored 47 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Jan struck 83 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 60/90 | 130/196 |
| %1st in | 67% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 47/60 | 83/130 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 11/30 | 42/66 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 64% |
Kotov bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Choinski struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Kotov won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Choinski won 64% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 8/22 |
| % Converted | 39% | 36% |
| Conceded | 6 | 12 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
Kotov broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Kotov conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Jan conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kotov | ||||
| R1 Dellien |
R2 Laaksonen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 6-2 | 6-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 6 | 27 | |
| pts | 83-72 | 24-4 | 107-76 | |
| Total points | 155 | 28 | 183 | |
| Winners | 35 | 12 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 50% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 47/76 | 13/14 | 60/90 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 93% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 35/47 | 12/13 | 47/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 92% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/29 | 0/1 | 11/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 0% | 37% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 3/4 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 75% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Choinski | ||||
| R1 Molcan |
R2 Herbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 7-63 | 6-73 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 36 | 66 | |
| pts | 104-102 | 105-106 | 209-208 | |
| Total points | 206 | 211 | 417 | |
| Winners | 35 | 48 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 46% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 56/88 | 74/108 | 130/196 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 69% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 35/56 | 48/74 | 83/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 65% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/32 | 23/34 | 42/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 68% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/18 | 4/4 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 100% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/7 | 2/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 29% | 40% | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWWWLL
WLWLWWWLLL 
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