Aryna Sabalenka and Ons Jabeur will face off in the semifinal of Wimbledon for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:30 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.6
Ons Jabeur -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ons Jabeur
This will be the 5th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Ons Jabeur clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they played, Sabalenka won 3-6 7-6(5) 7-5 in the R in Fort Worth back in 2022.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Ons Jabeur – Fort Worth 31-October-2022
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-9 | 23-4 | 17-3 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Sabalenka reached the semifinal after defeating Panna Udvardy 6-3 6-1, Varvara Gracheva 2-6 7-5 6-2, Anna Blinkova 6-2 6-3, Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4 6-0 and Madison Keys 6-2 6-4.
In the quarter, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Keys (6-2 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 74 points vs Keys’s 57. Aryna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka blasted 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (27/36) of her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Aryna broke Keys 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (303-147). 6-1 on grass in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an aggregate33-17 win-loss record in the last 8 years on grass.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.
The Belarussian has a compiled 40-7 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Ons Jabeur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-15 | 12-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-14 | 2-6 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-17 | 18-11 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-17 | 19-12 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 25-12 | 13-4 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Jabeur got to the semifinal after beating Magdalena Frech 6-3 6-3, Zhuoxuan Bai 6-1 6-1, Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 3-6 6-3 6-4, Petra Kvitova 6-0 6-3 and Elena Rybakina 6-75 6-4 6-1.
In the quarter against Rybakina , Ons recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-4 6-1). During the match Jabeur scored 100 points vs Rybakina ‘s 82. Ons was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Jabeur recorded 8 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Ons Jabeur was very effective on serve to win 76% (42/55) of her 1st serve and 52% (24/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Jabeur broke Rybakina 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jabeur has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Charleston where she overcame Belinda Bencic in the final 7-6(6) 6-4.
The Tunisian has a compiled 21-9 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Jabeur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 95 | 105 |
| Pts | 353-266 | 364-268 |
| Total Points | 619 | 632 |
| Winners | 140 | 132 |
| %Winners | 40% | 36% |
Both Sabalenka and Jabeur played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka dropped 1 set, while Ons Jabeur surrendered 2 sets. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Jabeur (11 vs 12). Therefore, Sabalenka played 10 games less than Jabeur. Aryna scored 140 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Tunisian fired 132 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Jabeur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 35 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 5.2 |
| 1st in | 184/297 | 162/322 |
| %1st in | 62% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 140/184 | 132/162 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 56/113 | 86/160 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 54% |
Sabalenka recorded 35 aces (7 per match). Jabeur recorded 26 aces (5.2 per match). Sabalenka won 76% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Jabeur won 81% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Jabeur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 23 |
| Converted | 21/52 | 23/38 |
| % Converted | 40% | 61% |
| Conceded | 16 | 23 |
| Saved | 10 | 17 |
| % Saved | 63% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 21 times with a 40% conversion rate. Sabalenka dropped her serve 6 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Jabeur broke her opponents 23 times with a 61% conversion rate. The Tunisian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||||
| R1 Udvardy |
R2 Gracheva |
R3 Blinkova |
R4 Alexandrova |
1/4 Keys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 2-6 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 28 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 95 | |
| pts | 62-37 | 88-80 | 70-52 | 59-40 | 74-57 | 353-266 | |
| Total points | 99 | 168 | 122 | 99 | 131 | 619 | |
| Winners | 21 | 38 | 30 | 24 | 27 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% | 43% | 41% | 36% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 26/43 | 45/72 | 46/73 | 31/46 | 36/63 | 184/297 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 63% | 63% | 67% | 57% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 38/45 | 30/46 | 24/31 | 27/36 | 140/184 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 84% | 65% | 77% | 75% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 9/27 | 12/27 | 9/15 | 14/27 | 56/113 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 33% | 44% | 60% | 52% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/16 | 5/9 | 4/11 | 4/9 | 21/52 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 25% | 56% | 36% | 44% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/3 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 71% | – | 75% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| Jabeur | |||||||
| R1 Frech |
R2 Bai |
R3 Andreescu |
R4 Kvitova |
1/4 Rybakina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 6-1 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-0 6-3 | 6-75 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 30 | 105 | |
| pts | 66-51 | 57-25 | 84-78 | 57-32 | 100-82 | 364-268 | |
| Total points | 117 | 82 | 162 | 89 | 182 | 632 | |
| Winners | 21 | 20 | 35 | 14 | 42 | 132 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 35% | 42% | 25% | 42% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 24/54 | 23/38 | 43/84 | 17/45 | 55/101 | 162/322 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 61% | 51% | 38% | 54% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 20/23 | 35/43 | 14/17 | 42/55 | 132/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 87% | 81% | 82% | 76% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 10/15 | 22/41 | 15/28 | 24/46 | 86/160 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 54% | 54% | 52% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 23 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 5/8 | 3/3 | 6/7 | 5/9 | 23/38 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 63% | 100% | 86% | 56% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 23 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 2/2 | 6/8 | 2/3 | 7/9 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 75% | 67% | 78% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-3) – H2H and prediction
