Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune will fight against each other in the quarter of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 3:30 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.36
Holger Rune -> 3.15
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Holger Rune
This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Alcaraz and Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Rune won 6-3 6-6 ret. in the quarter in Paris back in 2022.
Highlights Holger Rune vs Carlos Alcaraz – Paris 04-November-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-15 | 22-7 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Carlos got to the quarter after beating Jeremy Chardy 6-0 6-2 7-5, Alexandre Muller 6-4 7-62 6-3, Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5 and Matteo Berrettini 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3.
In the 4th round against Berrettini, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 122 points vs Berrettini’s 103. Carlos was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz bagged 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (53/67) of his 1st serve and 59% (23/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Spaniard broke Berrettini 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 79% of his matches (212-55). 9-0 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a compiled13-2 match record in the last 6 years on grass.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he defeated Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4.
Carlos has an aggregate 44-4 win-loss record in 2023, 9-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-6 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Holger reached the quarter after defeating George Loffhagen 7-64 6-3 6-2, Roberto Carballes Baena 6-3 7-63 6-4, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 4-6 3-6 6-4 7-68 and Grigor Dimitrov 3-6 7-66 7-64 6-3.
In the 4th round against Dimitrov, Holger recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-66 7-64 6-3). During the match Rune scored 140 points vs Dimitrov’s 134. The Dane was pretty aggressive to blast 64 winners.
Talking about serving, Rune fired 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was extremely efficient on serve to win 82% (64/78) of his 1st serve and 59% (29/49) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Dane broke Dimitrov twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Holger has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Munich where he defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(3).
Rune has a composed 37-12 win-loss record in 2023, 7-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 14 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 137 | 157 |
| Pts | 508-413 | 524-484 |
| Total Points | 921 | 1008 |
| Winners | 216 | 243 |
| %Winners | 43% | 46% |
Both Alcaraz and Rune played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 2 sets, while Holger Rune lost 3 sets. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Rune (14 vs 15). Therefore, Alcaraz played 20 games less than Rune. Alcaraz scored 216 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Holger scored 243 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 45 |
| Avg per match | 7.8 | 11.3 |
| 1st in | 275/439 | 311/494 |
| %1st in | 63% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 216/275 | 243/311 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 93/164 | 98/183 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 54% |
Alcaraz bagged 31 aces (7.8 per match). Rune blasted 45 aces (11.3 per match). Alcaraz won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 14 |
| Converted | 18/58 | 14/44 |
| % Converted | 31% | 32% |
| Conceded | 20 | 35 |
| Saved | 16 | 26 |
| % Saved | 80% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 9 |
Carlos broke his opponents 18 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Holger broke his opponents 14 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Dane conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||||
| R1 Chardy |
R2 Muller |
R3 Jarry |
R4 Berrettini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 7-5 | 6-4 7-62 6-3 | 6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5 | 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 | 43 | 36 | 137 | |
| pts | 104-63 | 124-105 | 158-142 | 122-103 | 508-413 | |
| Total points | 167 | 229 | 300 | 225 | 921 | |
| Winners | 38 | 53 | 72 | 53 | 216 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 46% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 45/73 | 70/109 | 93/151 | 67/106 | 275/439 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 64% | 62% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 38/45 | 53/70 | 72/93 | 53/67 | 216/275 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 76% | 77% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 23/39 | 30/58 | 23/39 | 93/164 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 59% | 52% | 59% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 2/14 | 5/14 | 4/16 | 18/58 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 14% | 36% | 25% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/6 | 5/7 | 2/3 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 71% | 67% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Rune | ||||||
| R1 Loffhagen |
R2 Carballes Baena |
R3 Davidovich Fokina |
R4 Dimitrov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-63 6-4 | 6-3 4-6 3-6 6-4 7-68 | 3-6 7-66 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 32 | 51 | 44 | 157 | |
| pts | 105-84 | 111-97 | 168-169 | 140-134 | 524-484 | |
| Total points | 189 | 208 | 337 | 274 | 1008 | |
| Winners | 46 | 50 | 83 | 64 | 243 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 49% | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 45 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 27 | |
| 1st in | 57/86 | 66/111 | 110/170 | 78/127 | 311/494 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 59% | 65% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 46/57 | 50/66 | 83/110 | 64/78 | 243/311 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 76% | 75% | 82% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 20/45 | 29/60 | 29/49 | 98/183 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 44% | 48% | 59% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 5/10 | 4/14 | 2/9 | 14/44 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 50% | 29% | 22% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 35 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 8/11 | 12/16 | 1/3 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 73% | 75% | 33% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLW
LWLLWWLLWW Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Ariel Behar/Adam PavlasekBehar/Adam Pavlasek – Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Tallon Griekspoor/Bart StevensGriekspoor/Bart Stevens – Marcelo Melo/John PeersMelo/John Peers (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-2 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (7-65 7-63 7-62) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 4-6 3-6 6-4 7-68) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Laslo DjereDjere (6-4 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-3 7-64 7-65) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 7-62 6-75 6-79 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Maximilian MartererMarterer (6-4 6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Quentin HalysHalys (3-6 6-2 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Guido PellaPella (7-61 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Mikael YmerYmer (6-2 6-72 7-65 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-3 6-1 7-65) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-64 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-76 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Liam BroadyBroady (4-6 6-2 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Christopher EubanksEubanks (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
