Madison Keys and Mirra Andreeva will square off in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on Court 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
Madison Keys -> 1.41
Mirra Andreeva -> 2.91
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Mirra Andreeva
There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Mirra Andreeva since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-15 | 24-6 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, the American got to the 4th round after defeating Sonay Kartal 6-0 6-3, Viktorija Golubic 7-5 6-3 and Marta Kostyuk 6-4 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Madison had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-4 6-1). During the match, Keys scored 69 points vs Kostyuk’s 49. Keys was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Keys scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 68% of her first serves in, winning 80% (33/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 32% (6/19) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Kostyuk 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Keys hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Keys has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (256-145). 8-0 on grass in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has an overall 38-11 match record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Eastbourne where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-2 7-6(13).
The American has a composed 24-8 win-loss record in 2023, 8-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Mirra Andreeva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-16 | 24-9 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-16 | 18-9 | 16-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-9 | 7-4 | 23-4 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-9 | 21-5 | 18-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 102, Mirra reached the 4th round after beating Rosa Vicens Mas 6-3 6-1, Chloe Paquet 6-1 6-2, Tamara Korpatsch 7-5 5-7 6-2, Xiyu Wang 6-4 3-6 7-5, Barbora Krejcikova 6-3 4-0 ret. and Anastasia Potapova 6-2 7-5.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Potapova (6-2 7-5). During the match Andreeva scored 80 points vs Potapova’s 71. Mirra was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Andreeva was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Mirra Andreeva lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Andreeva put 63% of her first serves in, winning 65% (26/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Mirra broke Potapova 6 times after converting 29% of her break points (6/21).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mirra started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title the W60 Chiasso where she defeated Celine Naef in the final 1-6 7-6(3) 6-0 and the W60 Bellinzona where she beat Fiona Ferro in the final 2-6 6-1 6-4.
Andreeva has an aggregate 28-3 win-loss record in 2023, 6-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 127 |
| Pts | 211-150 | 465-381 |
| Total Points | 361 | 846 |
| Winners | 98 | 180 |
| %Winners | 46% | 39% |
Keys played 3 matches while Andreeva competed in 6 matches. Andreeva started her run from the qualifications while Keys had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Mirra Andreeva lost 2 sets while Madison Keys hasn’t dropped a set so far. Keys has played 9 set(s) less than Andreeva (6 vs 15). Therefore, Keys played 74 games less than Andreeva. Madison scored 98 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 180 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st in | 121/174 | 261/414 |
| %1st in | 70% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 98/121 | 180/261 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 22/53 | 80/153 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 52% |
Keys blasted 7 aces (2.3 per match). Andreeva blasted 13 aces (2.2 per match). Keys won 81% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Andreeva won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 29 |
| Converted | 12/25 | 29/69 |
| % Converted | 48% | 42% |
| Conceded | 19 | 35 |
| Saved | 17 | 24 |
| % Saved | 89% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 11 |
Madison broke her opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve twice and she saved 89% of the break points that she conceded. Mirra broke her opponents 29 times with a 42% conversion rate. Andreeva conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | |||||
| R1 Kartal | R2 Golubic | R3 Kostyuk | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 21 | 17 | 53 | |
| pts | 71-49 | 71-52 | 69-49 | 211-150 | |
| Total points | 120 | 123 | 118 | 361 | |
| Winners | 29 | 36 | 33 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 51% | 48% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 41/59 | 39/55 | 41/60 | 121/174 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 71% | 68% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 36/39 | 33/41 | 98/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 92% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 6/16 | 6/19 | 22/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 38% | 32% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 3/6 | 5/7 | 12/25 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 71% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 11 | 19 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 2/3 | 10/11 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 91% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Andreeva | ||||||||
| Q1 Vicens | Q2 Paquet | Q3 Korpatsch | R1 Wang | R2 Krejcikova | R3 Potapova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-1 6-2 | 7-5 5-7 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | 6-3 4-0 ret. | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 20 | 127 | |
| pts | 68-46 | 59-35 | 101-89 | 106-108 | 51-32 | 80-71 | 465-381 | |
| Total points | 114 | 94 | 190 | 214 | 83 | 151 | 846 | |
| Winners | 27 | 23 | 39 | 50 | 15 | 26 | 180 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% | 39% | 47% | 29% | 33% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 36/57 | 30/47 | 63/99 | 72/118 | 20/30 | 40/63 | 261/414 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 64% | 64% | 61% | 67% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/36 | 23/30 | 39/63 | 50/72 | 15/20 | 26/40 | 180/261 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 77% | 62% | 69% | 75% | 65% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 9/17 | 17/36 | 24/46 | 9/10 | 10/23 | 80/153 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 53% | 47% | 52% | 90% | 43% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 29 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/11 | 8/15 | 2/6 | 4/6 | 6/21 | 29/69 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 45% | 53% | 33% | 67% | 29% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 35 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/1 | 7/13 | 9/10 | 0/0 | 6/9 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 54% | 90% | – | 67% | 104% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | |
Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (2-6 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Belinda BencicBencic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (5-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Petra KvitovaKvitova (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-0) – H2H and prediction