Madison Keys and Mirra Andreeva will square off in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on Court 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.41
Mirra Andreeva -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Mirra Andreeva

There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Mirra Andreeva since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 18, the American got to the 4th round after defeating Sonay Kartal 6-0 6-3, Viktorija Golubic 7-5 6-3 and Marta Kostyuk 6-4 6-1.

In the 3rd round, Madison had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-4 6-1). During the match, Keys scored 69 points vs Kostyuk’s 49. Keys was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Keys scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 68% of her first serves in, winning 80% (33/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 32% (6/19) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Kostyuk 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Keys hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points she played.

Keys has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (256-145). 8-0 on grass in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has an overall 38-11 match record in the last years on grass.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Eastbourne where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-2 7-6(13).

The American has a composed 24-8 win-loss record in 2023, 8-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Keys's Record

Mirra Andreeva

Mirra Andreeva

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
9
High
5
LLLWWLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-16 24-9 11-4 0-0 5-3 0-0
2024 34-16 18-9 16-5 0-0 0-2 0-0
2023 36-9 7-4 23-4 0-0 6-1 0-0
2022 39-9 21-5 18-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 102, Mirra reached the 4th round after beating Rosa Vicens Mas 6-3 6-1, Chloe Paquet 6-1 6-2, Tamara Korpatsch 7-5 5-7 6-2, Xiyu Wang 6-4 3-6 7-5, Barbora Krejcikova 6-3 4-0 ret. and Anastasia Potapova 6-2 7-5.

In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Potapova (6-2 7-5). During the match Andreeva scored 80 points vs Potapova’s 71. Mirra was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Andreeva was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Mirra Andreeva lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Andreeva put 63% of her first serves in, winning 65% (26/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Mirra broke Potapova 6 times after converting 29% of her break points (6/21).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mirra started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title the W60 Chiasso where she defeated Celine Naef in the final 1-6 7-6(3) 6-0 and the W60 Bellinzona where she beat Fiona Ferro in the final 2-6 6-1 6-4.

Andreeva has an aggregate 28-3 win-loss record in 2023, 6-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Wimbledon
Andreeva's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Keys
M.Andreeva
3h:51
3h:51
Time on court​
!
9h:21
9h:21
1h:16
1h:16
Last match​
1h:35
1h:35
3
3
Match played
!
6
6
53
53
Games Played​
127
127
6
6
Set played​​
15
15
211
211
Total points​
465
465
70.3
70.3
Avg point​
77.5
77.5
98
98
Winners
180
180
32.7
32.7
Avg Winners​
30
30
46%
46%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
13
13
2.3
2.3
Avg Aces
2.2
2.2
7
7
Double Faults
11
11
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
1.8
1.8
98/121
98/121
1st won total​
180/261
180/261
!
81%
81%
1st won %
69%
69%
22/53
22/53
2nd won total​
80/153
80/153
42%
42%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
12/25
12/25
BP won
29/69
29/69
4/8.3
4/8.3
Avg BP won
4.8/11.5
4.8/11.5
48%
48%
Won
42%
42%
19
19
Conceded
35
35
6.3
6.3
Avg Conceded
5.8
5.8
2
2
Broken
11
11
!
0.7
0.7
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
17
17
Saved
24
24

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Keys Andreeva
Match played 3 6
Tot Set 6 15
Tot Games 53 127
Pts 211-150 465-381
Total Points 361 846
Winners 98 180
%Winners 46% 39%

Keys played 3 matches while Andreeva competed in 6 matches. Andreeva started her run from the qualifications while Keys had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Mirra Andreeva lost 2 sets while Madison Keys hasn’t dropped a set so far. Keys has played 9 set(s) less than Andreeva (6 vs 15). Therefore, Keys played 74 games less than Andreeva. Madison scored 98 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 180 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Keys Andreeva
Aces 7 13
Avg per match 2.3 2.2
1st in 121/174 261/414
%1st in 70% 63%
1st pts 98/121 180/261
%1st pts 81% 69%
2nd pts 22/53 80/153
%2nd pts 42% 52%

Keys blasted 7 aces (2.3 per match). Andreeva blasted 13 aces (2.2 per match). Keys won 81% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Andreeva won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Keys Andreeva
Won 12 29
Converted 12/25 29/69
% Converted 48% 42%
Conceded 19 35
Saved 17 24
% Saved 89% 69%
Times Broken 2 11

Madison broke her opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve twice and she saved 89% of the break points that she conceded. Mirra broke her opponents 29 times with a 42% conversion rate. Andreeva conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
R1
Kartal
R2
Golubic
R3
Kostyuk
Total
Score 6-0 6-3 7-5 6-3 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 15 21 17 53
pts 71-49 71-52 69-49 211-150
Total points 120 123 118 361
Winners 29 36 33 98
%Winners 41% 51% 48% 46%
SERVE
Aces 0 6 1 7
Double Faults 2 3 2 7
1st in 41/59 39/55 41/60 121/174
% 1st in 69% 71% 68% 70%
1st pts 29/41 36/39 33/41 98/121
% 1st pts 71% 92% 80% 81%
2nd pts 10/18 6/16 6/19 22/53
% 2nd pts 56% 38% 32% 42%
Breaks
Won 4 3 5 12
Converted 4/12 3/6 5/7 12/25
Converted % 33% 50% 71% 48%
Conceded 5 3 11 19
Saved 5/5 2/3 10/11 17
Saved % 100% 67% 91% 86%
Times Broken 0 1 1 2
Andreeva
Q1
Vicens
Q2
Paquet
Q3
Korpatsch
R1
Wang
R2
Krejcikova
R3
Potapova
Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-1 6-2 7-5 5-7 6-2 6-4 3-6 7-5 6-3 4-0 ret. 6-2 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 2 2 14
Tot Games 16 15 32 31 13 20 127
pts 68-46 59-35 101-89 106-108 51-32 80-71 465-381
Total points 114 94 190 214 83 151 846
Winners 27 23 39 50 15 26 180
%Winners 40% 39% 39% 47% 29% 33% 39%
SERVE
Aces 0 2 3 4 4 0 13
Double Faults 1 0 5 4 0 1 11
1st in 36/57 30/47 63/99 72/118 20/30 40/63 261/414
% 1st in 63% 64% 64% 61% 67% 63% 63%
1st pts 27/36 23/30 39/63 50/72 15/20 26/40 180/261
% 1st pts 75% 77% 62% 69% 75% 65% 69%
2nd pts 11/21 9/17 17/36 24/46 9/10 10/23 80/153
% 2nd pts 52% 53% 47% 52% 90% 43% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 5 8 2 4 6 29
Converted 4/10 5/11 8/15 2/6 4/6 6/21 29/69
Converted % 40% 45% 53% 33% 67% 29% 42%
Conceded 2 1 13 10 0 9 35
Saved 2/2 0/1 7/13 9/10 0/0 6/9 24
Saved % 100% 0% 54% 90% 67% 104%
Times Broken 0 1 6 1 0 3 11

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

Upcoming matches in the draw