Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova will clash against each other in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:00 pm on Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.39
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 3
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
This will be the 6th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova face off. The head to head is 3-2 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they played, Alexandrova won 7-5 6-0 in the final in Hertogenbosch back in 2022.
Highlights Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aryna Sabalenka – Hertogenbosch 12-June-2022
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-11 | 30-6 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Aryna reached the 4th round after defeating Panna Udvardy 6-3 6-1, Varvara Gracheva 2-6 7-5 6-2 and Anna Blinkova 6-2 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Blinkova (6-2 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 70 points vs Blinkova’s 52. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka fired 9 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 63% of her first serves in, winning 65% (30/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Blinkova 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (301-147). 4-1 on grass in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has an overall31-17 record in the last 8 years on grass.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.
Aryna has an overall 38-7 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-22 | 14-11 | 1-7 | 3-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-4 | 4-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, the Russian reached the 4th round after defeating Emma Navarro 6-4 6-3, Madison Brengle 6-74 7-65 7-67 and Dalma Galfi 6-0 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Ekaterina had a good straight sets win against Galfi (6-0 6-4). During the match Alexandrova scored 57 points vs Galfi’s 33. Alexandrova was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
About the serving games, Alexandrova scored 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (20/25) of her 1st serve and 80% (12/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Galfi 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ekaterina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Hertogenbosch where she beat Veronika Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-4 7-6(3).
Ekaterina has an aggregate 23-12 win-loss record in 2023, 10-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 74 |
| Pts | 220-169 | 251-220 |
| Total Points | 389 | 471 |
| Winners | 89 | 89 |
| %Winners | 40% | 35% |
Both Sabalenka and Alexandrova played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka dropped 1 set, while Ekaterina Alexandrova conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Alexandrova have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Sabalenka played 13 games less than Alexandrova. Sabalenka scored 89 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Ekaterina fired 89 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 8.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 117/188 | 128/234 |
| %1st in | 62% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 89/117 | 89/128 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 33/71 | 53/106 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 50% |
Sabalenka scored 26 aces (8.7 per match). Alexandrova scored 11 aces (3.7 per match). Sabalenka won 76% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 16 |
| Converted | 13/32 | 16/29 |
| % Converted | 41% | 55% |
| Conceded | 12 | 23 |
| Saved | 7 | 14 |
| % Saved | 58% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 9 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Belarussian surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. Alexandrova broke her opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. Ekaterina conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R1 Udvardy |
R2 Gracheva |
R3 Blinkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 2-6 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 28 | 17 | 61 | |
| pts | 62-37 | 88-80 | 70-52 | 220-169 | |
| Total points | 99 | 168 | 122 | 389 | |
| Winners | 21 | 38 | 30 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 9 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 26/43 | 45/72 | 46/73 | 117/188 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 63% | 63% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 38/45 | 30/46 | 89/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 84% | 65% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 9/27 | 12/27 | 33/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 33% | 44% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/16 | 5/9 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 25% | 56% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/3 | 5/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 71% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Alexandrova | |||||
| R1 Navarro |
R2 Brengle |
R3 Galfi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-74 7-65 7-67 | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 39 | 16 | 74 | |
| pts | 63-56 | 131-131 | 57-33 | 251-220 | |
| Total points | 119 | 262 | 90 | 471 | |
| Winners | 27 | 42 | 20 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 32% | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 12 | 2 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 37/60 | 66/134 | 25/40 | 128/234 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 49% | 63% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 42/66 | 20/25 | 89/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 64% | 80% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/23 | 32/68 | 12/15 | 53/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 47% | 80% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 7/15 | 4/5 | 16/29 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 47% | 80% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 16 | 0 | 23 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 9/16 | 0/0 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 56% | – | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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