Elena Rybakina and Beatriz Haddad Maia will square off in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.32
Beatriz Haddad Maia -> 3.4
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia
This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Beatriz Haddad Maia square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Haddad Maia (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Haddad Maia won 6-1 3-1 ret. in the 2nd round in Stuttgart back in April 2023.
Highlights Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Elena Rybakina – Stuttgart 20-April-2023
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 1-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Elena got to the 4th round after defeating Shelby Rogers 4-6 6-1 6-2, Alize Cornet 6-2 7-62 and Katie Boulter 6-1 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Boulter (6-1 6-1). During the match, Rybakina scored 54 points vs Boulter’s 28. The Kazakhstani was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina bagged 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina was very efficient on serve to win 84% (21/25) of her 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Kazakhstani broke Boulter 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 60% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (278-125). 4-1 on grass in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakina has a composed26-8 win-loss record in the last 9 years on grass.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Indian Wells where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-6(11) 6-4 and in Rome where she beat Anhelina Kalinina in the final 6-4 1-0 ret..
Rybakina has a compiled 36-8 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Beatriz Haddad Maia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-27 | 25-17 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 16-14 | 13-5 | 4-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-23 | 23-14 | 14-5 | 2-2 | 12-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 76-25 | 37-13 | 35-10 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-2 | 27-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Brazilian got to the 4th round after defeating Yulia Putintseva 3-6 6-0 6-4, Jaqueline Cristian 4-6 6-2 6-4 and Sorana Cirstea 6-2 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Haddad Maia had a good straight sets win against Cirstea (6-2 6-2). During the match Haddad Maia scored 72 points vs Cirstea’s 50. Beatriz was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Haddad Maia bagged 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Beatriz Haddad Maia lost the serve once. Furthermore, Haddad Maia put 66% of her first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. Beatriz broke Cirstea 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The Brazilian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Abu Dhabi and at the French Open .
Haddad Maia has a compiled 26-14 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Haddad Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 69 |
| Pts | 226-153 | 265-209 |
| Total Points | 379 | 474 |
| Winners | 101 | 113 |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% |
Both Rybakina and Haddad Maia played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina lost 1 set, while Beatriz Haddad Maia conceded 2 sets. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Haddad Maia (7 vs 8). Therefore, Rybakina played 9 games less than Haddad Maia. Elena scored 101 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Haddad Maia blasted 113 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Haddad Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 7.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 119/191 | 152/213 |
| %1st in | 62% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 101/119 | 113/152 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 37/72 | 31/61 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 51% |
Rybakina made 23 aces (7.7 per match). Haddad Maia struck 14 aces (4.7 per match). Rybakina won 85% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Haddad Maia won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Haddad Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 14 |
| Converted | 11/21 | 14/35 |
| % Converted | 52% | 40% |
| Conceded | 7 | 14 |
| Saved | 6 | 9 |
| % Saved | 86% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Rybakina broke her opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani surrendered her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded. Beatriz broke her opponents 14 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||||
| R1 Rogers |
R2 Cornet |
R3 Boulter |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 7-62 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 21 | 14 | 60 | |
| pts | 87-62 | 85-63 | 54-28 | 226-153 | |
| Total points | 149 | 148 | 82 | 379 | |
| Winners | 41 | 39 | 21 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 46% | 39% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 4 | 7 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 44/68 | 50/85 | 25/38 | 119/191 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 59% | 66% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 41/44 | 39/50 | 21/25 | 101/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 78% | 84% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/24 | 19/35 | 8/13 | 37/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 54% | 62% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 2/5 | 5/7 | 11/21 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 40% | 71% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | – | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Haddad Maia | |||||
| R1 Putintseva |
R2 Cristian |
R3 Cirstea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-0 6-4 | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 28 | 16 | 69 | |
| pts | 94-75 | 99-84 | 72-50 | 265-209 | |
| Total points | 169 | 183 | 122 | 474 | |
| Winners | 44 | 41 | 28 | 113 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 41% | 39% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 58/75 | 59/85 | 35/53 | 152/213 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 69% | 66% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 44/58 | 41/59 | 28/35 | 113/152 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 69% | 80% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/17 | 17/26 | 8/18 | 31/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 65% | 44% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/12 | 5/12 | 14/35 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 33% | 42% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 | 1 | 14 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 7/9 | 0/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 78% | 0% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Madison KeysKeys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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