Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Berrettini will play each other in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 5:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.444
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.78
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Berrettini square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 6-2 2-6 6-2 in the quarter in Rio de janiero back in 2022.
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-5 | 10-4 | 15-1 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Carlos reached the 4th round after defeating Jeremy Chardy 6-0 6-2 7-5, Alexandre Muller 6-4 7-62 6-3 and Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Carlos defeated Jarry (6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5). During the match, Alcaraz scored 158 points vs Jarry’s 142. Alcaraz was very aggressive to blast 72 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz scored 12 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (72/93) of his 1st serve and 52% (30/58) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alcaraz broke Jarry 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 79% of his matches (211-55). 8-0 on grass in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an overall12-2 match record in the last 6 years on grass.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he overcame Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 43-4 win-loss record in 2023, 8-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-10 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 38, the Italian got to the 4th round after defeating Lorenzo Sonego 6-75 6-3 7-67 6-3, Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-4 6-4 and Alexander Zverev 6-3 7-64 7-65.
In the 3rd round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-3 7-64 7-65). During the match Berrettini scored 102 points vs Zverev’s 99. Berrettini was very aggressive to blast 66 winners.
About the serving games, Berrettini fired 15 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matteo Berrettini conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 69% of his first serves in, winning 86% (66/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Zverev once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Berrettini’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Australia.
The Italian has a compiled 12-8 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 101 | 108 |
| Pts | 386-310 | 338-301 |
| Total Points | 696 | 639 |
| Winners | 163 | 186 |
| %Winners | 42% | 55% |
Both Alcaraz and Berrettini played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 1 set, while Matteo Berrettini conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Berrettini have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Alcaraz played 7 games less than Berrettini. Carlos scored 163 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian scored 186 winners (55%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 27 | 45 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 15 |
| 1st in | 208/333 | 217/335 |
| %1st in | 62% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 163/208 | 186/217 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 70/125 | 66/118 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 56% |
Alcaraz recorded 27 aces (9 per match). Berrettini recorded 45 aces (15 per match). Alcaraz won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 86% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 6 |
| Converted | 14/42 | 6/19 |
| % Converted | 33% | 32% |
| Conceded | 17 | 6 |
| Saved | 14 | 6 |
| % Saved | 82% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 14 times with a 33% conversion rate. Carlos lost his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponents 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. Matteo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R1 Chardy |
R2 Muller |
R3 Jarry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 7-5 | 6-4 7-62 6-3 | 6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 | 43 | 101 | |
| pts | 104-63 | 124-105 | 158-142 | 386-310 | |
| Total points | 167 | 229 | 300 | 696 | |
| Winners | 38 | 53 | 72 | 163 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 45/73 | 70/109 | 93/151 | 208/333 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 64% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 38/45 | 53/70 | 72/93 | 163/208 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 76% | 77% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 23/39 | 30/58 | 70/125 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 59% | 52% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 2/14 | 5/14 | 14/42 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 14% | 36% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/6 | 5/7 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 71% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Berrettini | |||||
| R1 Sonego |
R2 De Minaur |
R3 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-3 7-67 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 7-64 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 44 | 29 | 35 | 108 | |
| pts | 131-120 | 105-82 | 102-99 | 338-301 | |
| Total points | 251 | 187 | 201 | 639 | |
| Winners | 70 | 50 | 66 | 186 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 48% | 65% | 55% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 17 | 13 | 15 | 45 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 83/134 | 57/89 | 77/112 | 217/335 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 64% | 69% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 70/83 | 50/57 | 66/77 | 186/217 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 88% | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 32/51 | 17/32 | 17/35 | 66/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 53% | 49% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/8 | 1/5 | 6/19 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 20% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWLWWW
LWLWLWWLWW Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-2 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Laslo DjereDjere (6-4 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 4-6 3-6 6-4 7-68) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-3 7-64 7-65) – See score progression
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (7-65 7-63 7-62) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 7-62 6-75 6-79 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Liam BroadyBroady (4-6 6-2 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Maximilian MartererMarterer (6-4 6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Mikael YmerYmer (6-2 6-72 7-65 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-3 6-1 7-65) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Quentin HalysHalys (3-6 6-2 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Guido PellaPella (7-61 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-64 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-76 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-2 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander BublikBublik (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-1) – H2H and prediction
